2026-02-03-PLTR-header

Palantir after earnings: using options to define a potential entry price

Options 10 minutes to read
MicrosoftTeams-image (3)
Koen Hoorelbeke

Investment and Options Strategist

Summary:  Palantir’s post-earnings surge was followed by a pullback, a pattern many investors recognise after big results. This article explores how some investors use options to turn that volatility into a disciplined entry framework, with clear numbers on potential outcomes and risks.


Palantir after earnings: using options to define a potential entry price


Key takeaways

  • Palantir’s latest earnings release triggered a sharp gap higher at the market open, followed by a partial pullback later in the session. This pattern is common after earnings and often coincides with elevated option premiums.
  • A cash-secured put is one way some long-term investors approach such situations, allowing them to define a potential entry price while receiving compensation for waiting.
  • The example in this article is based on a snapshot taken around 20:00 Brussels time, roughly four and a half hours after the U.S. market opened following the earnings release. Prices and premiums may differ by the time this article is read. The example is shown for educational purposes only.
Weekly and daily price charts of Palantir showing the sharp post-earnings gap higher followed by a partial pullback later in the session.
Palantir’s post-earnings price action illustrates a classic gap higher at the open followed by consolidation and retracement, a pattern that often keeps option premiums elevated. Source: © SaxoTraderGo

Why Palantir is back in focus after earnings

Palantir Technologies reported quarterly results after the U.S. market close, with revenue and earnings coming in ahead of expectations and management issuing constructive guidance for the year ahead. The immediate market response was strong.

When regular trading opened the next day, the stock jumped into the mid-160s, well above its pre-earnings close in the high-140s. As the day progressed, some of that enthusiasm faded. By late afternoon U.S. time, the share price had pulled back toward the mid-150s.

For long-term investors, this sequence is familiar. Earnings can reprice a company very quickly, but the first post-earnings price is not always the level where the market eventually settles.


Why option premiums often stay high after earnings

Options are priced based on how much movement the market expects over the life of the contract. This expectation is known as implied volatility.

Even after earnings are released, implied volatility does not always drop immediately. When a stock has just made a large move and investors are still uncertain about what comes next, options can continue to reflect that uncertainty through higher premiums.

In Palantir’s case, the sharp gap higher followed by a pullback meant that put options were still offering relatively elevated premiums several hours into the trading session. This makes it a useful example for explaining how options can sometimes be used alongside a long-term investment approach.


What is a cash-secured put, in plain terms?

A cash-secured put is an options structure where an investor sells a put option and sets aside enough cash to buy the shares if required. One contract typically represents 100 shares.

In practical terms, it combines two ideas:

  • The investor is willing to buy shares, but only at a lower, predefined price.
  • The investor receives a premium upfront as compensation for making that commitment.

If the share price stays above the agreed price until the option expires, the option expires and the premium is kept. If the share price falls below that level, the investor may be required to buy the shares at the agreed price.

Palantir options chain highlighting the February 2026 150 put with premium around 4.40 and elevated open interest.
The options chain snapshot shows the February 2026 150 put offering a meaningful premium, reflecting elevated post-earnings uncertainty and strong focus on this strike. Source: © SaxoTraderGo

Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.


A Palantir case study: the 150 put

The screenshots accompanying this article show Palantir’s option prices roughly four and a half hours after the market opened following earnings. At that time, the shares were trading in the mid-150s.

One example from the options chain is a put option with a strike price of 150. At the time of the snapshot, this option was priced at about 4.40 per share, or roughly 440 USD per contract. Open interest at this level was relatively high, suggesting that many market participants were focused on this price area.

This structure defines three key numbers:

  • Commitment: an obligation to buy 100 shares at 150 USD if assigned.
  • Premium received: about 440 USD upfront.
  • Effective entry price if assigned: approximately 145.60 USD (150 minus the premium received).

These figures describe how the structure worked based on prices at that moment. They are not forecasts.


What does the premium mean in return terms?

Many investors naturally ask what this premium represents in terms of return.

In this example, the investor receives about 440 USD for committing 15,000 USD (100 shares at 150 USD). If the option expires without assignment, that premium corresponds to roughly 2.9% of the capital committed over the life of the option.

Because the option is short-dated, this return is earned over a relatively brief period rather than a full year. While it can be annualised for comparison purposes, doing so assumes similar opportunities could be repeated under comparable conditions, which is never guaranteed.

A more grounded way to view the premium is as compensation for accepting a specific obligation over a defined timeframe, rather than as a promised yield.

Risk and payoff graph of a cash-secured put on Palantir with maximum profit limited to the premium received and downside exposure below the breakeven level.
The payoff profile of a cash-secured put shows limited upside equal to the premium received and downside exposure similar to owning the shares below the effective entry price. Source: © SaxoTraderGo

Comparing this with buying shares outright

Buying shares in the mid-150s provides immediate exposure to any rebound, but also full downside risk from that level.

A cash-secured put takes a different approach. Ownership is delayed unless the price falls, and the investor is compensated for waiting. If shares are eventually acquired, they are bought at a lower effective price than the post-earnings market level at the time of the snapshot.


Possible outcomes at expiry

To make the trade-offs clear, it helps to consider three simplified scenarios:

  • Shares stay above 150: the option expires, the investor keeps the premium, and no shares are purchased.
  • Shares fall below 150: assignment may occur and shares are bought at 150, with the premium reducing the effective cost.
  • Shares fall sharply: losses begin below the effective entry level, similar to owning shares from that level.

A simple payoff table or expiry chart can help visualise these outcomes at a glance.


Risks and limitations to understand

While cash-secured puts are often viewed as conservative, they are not risk-free.

  • The obligation to buy shares remains even if the stock price falls quickly or sentiment deteriorates.
  • If the stock rallies sharply, the investor does not participate beyond the premium received.
  • Post-earnings periods can remain volatile, particularly for widely followed stocks.

The strategy also requires discipline. Even if a trading platform does not require the full cash amount upfront, the position should be treated as fully funded.


Why this approach can appeal to long-term investors

For buy-and-hold investors, a cash-secured put can be seen as a structured way to express patience. Instead of waiting passively for a pullback, the investor defines an acceptable entry price and is compensated for that willingness.

For more active investors, the same structure offers a way to engage with post-earnings volatility without chasing price movements.


Final note

This Palantir example is intentionally framed as an educational snapshot. It illustrates how post-earnings volatility can influence option pricing and how some investors think about balancing opportunity, income, and risk.

Market conditions change, and outcomes are never guaranteed. The purpose of this article is to explain the mechanics and trade-offs, not to suggest a specific course of action.


Frequently asked questions

What happens if I am assigned on a cash-secured put?

If assignment occurs, the investor is required to buy 100 shares per contract at the strike price. In this example, that would mean buying Palantir shares at 150 USD. The premium received upfront lowers the effective purchase price, but once the shares are owned, their value will continue to move with the market.

Is a cash-secured put safer than buying shares outright?

It can reduce entry risk by lowering the effective purchase price and by paying a premium upfront. However, it does not eliminate downside risk. If the stock falls significantly below the effective entry level, losses can still occur, similar to owning shares from that level.

Can the option be closed before expiry?

Yes. Options can generally be bought back before expiry. Some investors choose to close a position early if most of the premium has been earned or if market conditions change. Closing early may lock in gains or limit risk, but it depends on prices and liquidity at the time.

Why not just place a limit order instead?

A limit order sets a desired purchase price but does not provide compensation while waiting. A cash-secured put combines a conditional purchase price with premium income, in exchange for taking on an obligation.

Does a cash-secured put always result in owning the shares?

No. If the share price remains above the strike price until expiry, the option expires and no shares are purchased. The outcome depends entirely on how the share price behaves over the life of the option.


This content is marketing material and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The Author is permitted to wait at least 24 hours from the time of the publication before they trade the instruments themselves.
The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
This content will not be changed or subject to review after publication.
Related articles/content             
Golds pullback - thinking beyond buy or sell | 3 Feb 2026
Why options got so popular in recent years | 28 Jan 2026
Netflix earnings - using a cash-secured put to set a lower entry price | 16 Jan 2026
Micron covered call - harvesting extra income after a strong rally | 13 Jan 2026
The Venezuela oil shock - Trading the reconstruction without chasing the hype | 6 Jan 2026
Nike - using earnings volatility to set a cheaper entry level | 16 Dec 2025
Oracle earnings - understanding one way long-term investors can plan an entry price | 9 Dec 2025
Cloud, debt and AI promises: the Oracle checklist before earnings | 9 Dec 2025
A more patient way to buy bitcoin - using an ETF and a cash buffer | 4 Dec 2025
Alphabets AI momentum - a simple way for shareholders to enhance their returns | 27 Nov 2025
Staying sane in noisy markets - investing through market and news volatility | 25 Nov 2025
Netflix after the stock split - how investors can set their own entry price | 20 Nov 2025 
Why crypto is selling off - and what it means for risk assets | 18 Nov 2025
Protecting your core stocks - practical illustrations across five names | 14 Nov 2025
A deliberate way to prepare for potential Novo Nordisk ownership | 13 Nov 2025
Novo vs Lily | 12 Nov 2025
How investors are using collar strategies on some of the most-traded stocks | 10 Nov 2025
How to protect your stocks with options when markets get shaky | 7 Nov 2025
A smarter way to start investing in Rheinmetall - with more control and lower risk | 4 Nov 2025
Exploring a conservative way to buy Amazon shares at a lower level | 28 Oct 2025
What long-term Microsoft investors can do with short-term volatility | 27 Oct 2025
How investors can turn Alphabets volatility into opportunity | 23 Oct 2025
Cash-secured puts on Tesla - how expiry choice shapes risk and reward | 20 Oct 2025
How long-term investors can use ASML mini options ahead of earnings | 10 Oct 2025
Intel just jumped on Nvidias vote of confidence What now | 19 Sep 2025
Oracle - how long-term investors can earn extra income after the stocks big move | 18 Sep 2025
A lower-cost alternative to generate income on Nike - the poor man covered call | 8 Sep 2025
What long-term investors can do with Nike options ahead of earnings | 4 Sep 2025
Earnings around the corner - how to use a cash-secured put to set your Alibaba buy price | 13 Aug 2025
Disney - earn while you wait for your ideal entry price | 11 Aug 2025
An income idea for Palantir shareholders | 1 Aug 2025
Collect monthly income from UBS - a beginners guide to covered calls | 31 Jul 2025
How Amazon shareholders can collect extra income before earnings | 29 Jul 2025
After the drop - two smarter ways to invest in ASML today | 18 Jul 2025
The overlooked strategy turning cash into consistent income | 11 Jul 2025
Getting paid to buy Novo Nordisk - earn income while waiting for a better price | 8 Jul 2025
Get paid to wait - how to earn income while preparing to buy Palantir shares | 30 Jun 2025
There s another way to buy SAP - one that pays you | 27 Jun 2025
How to get paid for your patience - Using cash-secured puts to invest in Intel 23 Jun 2025
How to turn your Intel shares into an income machine - even in a tough market | 20 Jun 2025
Already own Logitech - or want to - There is a smarter way to invest either way
How long-term investors can earn income or buy Alibaba at a discount with options
Earning extra income and buying at a discount - Covered calls and cash-secured puts on Palantir
How to earn extra Income from your Nestle shares - without taking on unnecessary risk
How to use cash-secured puts to buy UBS stock - or earn income while you wait
Learn how to generate income from ASML shares using MINI-options
Learn how you can earn income or buy Bitcoin at a discount
How a covered call on AMD generates extra income for long-term investors
Learn how you can earn income or buy Bitcoin-exposure at a discount
More from the author             

Unfassbare Vorhersagen 2026

01 /

  • Die Grüne Revolution der Schweiz: 30 Milliarden Franken-Initiative bis 2050

    Outrageous Predictions

    Die Grüne Revolution der Schweiz: 30 Milliarden Franken-Initiative bis 2050

    Katrin Wagner

    Head of Investment Content Switzerland

    Die Schweiz startet bis 2050 eine Energie-Revolution im Umfang von 30 Milliarden Franken, die mit de...
  • „Die Schweizer Festung – 2026“

    Outrageous Predictions

    „Die Schweizer Festung – 2026“

    Erik Schafhauser

    Senior Relationship Manager

    Schweizer Wähler lehnen die EU-Verbindungen ab, stärken den Schweizer Franken und rufen die "Souverä...
  • Zusammenfassung: "Unfassbare Vorhersagen" 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Zusammenfassung: "Unfassbare Vorhersagen" 2026

    Saxo Group

  • Ein Fortune 500-Unternehmen ernennt eine KI zum CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    Ein Fortune 500-Unternehmen ernennt eine KI zum CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Trotz Bedenken verlaufen die Zwischenwahlen in den USA 2026 reibungslos

    Outrageous Predictions

    Trotz Bedenken verlaufen die Zwischenwahlen in den USA 2026 reibungslos

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Pekings goldener Yuan stellt Dollar-Dominanz in Frage

    Outrageous Predictions

    Pekings goldener Yuan stellt Dollar-Dominanz in Frage

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Dumme KI löst Billionen-Dollar-Sanierung aus

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumme KI löst Billionen-Dollar-Sanierung aus

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Der Q-Day des revolutionären Quantensprungs kommt früher als erwartet, bringt die Kryptowährungen zum Absturz und destabilisiert die Finanzwelt

    Outrageous Predictions

    Der Q-Day des revolutionären Quantensprungs kommt früher als erwartet, bringt die Kryptowährungen zum Absturz und destabilisiert die Finanzwelt

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

  • SpaceX kündigt einen Börsengang an und belebt Märkte ausserhalb der Erde.

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX kündigt einen Börsengang an und belebt Märkte ausserhalb der Erde.

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Taylor Swift-Kelce Hochzeit kurbelt weltweites Wachstum an

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce Hochzeit kurbelt weltweites Wachstum an

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

Dieser Inhalt ist Marketingmaterial.
 
Keine der auf dieser Website bereitgestellten Informationen stellt ein Angebot, eine Aufforderung oder eine Empfehlung zum Kauf oder Verkauf eines Finanzinstruments dar, noch ist es eine finanzielle, investitionsbezogene oder handelsspezifische Beratung. Die Saxo Bank Schweiz und ihre Einheiten innerhalb der Saxo Bank Gruppe bieten ausschliesslich Ausführungsdienste an, wobei alle Geschäfte und Investitionen auf selbstgesteuerten Entscheidungen basieren. Analyse-, Forschungs- und Bildungseinhalte dienen ausschliesslich Informationszwecken und sollten nicht als Beratung oder Empfehlung betrachtet werden.

Die Inhalte von Saxo Bank Schweiz können die persönlichen Ansichten des Autors widerspiegeln, die sich ohne vorherige Ankündigung ändern können. Erwähnungen spezifischer Finanzprodukte dienen nur zu Illustrationszwecken und können dazu beitragen, Themen der finanziellen Bildung zu verdeutlichen. Inhalte, die als Anlageforschung klassifiziert sind, sind Marketingmaterial und erfüllen nicht die gesetzlichen Anforderungen für unabhängige Forschung.

Die Saxo Bank Schweiz pflegt Partnerschaften mit Unternehmen, die Saxo Bank für Werbeaktivitäten auf ihrer Plattform entschädigen. Darüber hinaus hat die Saxo Bank Schweiz Vereinbarungen mit bestimmten Partnern, die Retrozessionen bieten, die davon abhängen, dass Kunden bestimmte von diesen Partnern angebotene Produkte erwerben.

Obwohl die Saxo Bank Schweiz aus diesen Partnerschaften eine Vergütung erhält, werden alle Bildungs- und Inspirationsinhalte mit der Absicht durchgeführt, den Kunden wertvolle Optionen und Informationen zu bieten.

Bevor Sie Anlageentscheidungen treffen, sollten Sie Ihre eigene finanzielle Situation, Bedürfnisse und Ziele bewerten und in Betracht ziehen, unabhängigen professionellen Rat einzuholen. Die Saxo Bank Schweiz garantiert nicht die Genauigkeit oder Vollständigkeit der bereitgestellten Informationen und übernimmt keine Haftung für Fehler, Auslassungen, Verluste oder Schäden, die aus der Nutzung dieser Informationen resultieren.

Der Inhalt dieser Website stellt Marketingmaterial dar und ist nicht das Ergebnis einer Finanzanalyse oder -forschung. Daher wurde es nicht gemäss den Richtlinien der Schweizerischen Bankiervereinigung zur Sicherstellung der Unabhängigkeit der Finanzanalyse erstellt und es besteht kein Verbot des Handels vor der Verbreitung des Marketingmaterials.

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Schweiz

Saxo kontaktieren

Schweiz
Schweiz

Wertschriftenhandel birgt Risiken. Die Verluste können die Einlagen auf Margin-Produkten übersteigen. Sie sollten verstehen wie unsere Produkte funktionieren und welche Risiken mit diesen einhergehen. Weiter sollten Sie abwägen, ob Sie es sich leisten können, ein hohes Risiko einzugehen, Ihr Geld zu verlieren. Um Ihnen das Verständnis der mit den entsprechenden Produkten verbundenen Risiken zu erleichtern, haben wir ein allgemeines Risikoaufklärungsdokument und eine Reihe von «Key Information Documents» (KIDs) zusammengestellt, in denen die mit jedem Produkt verbundenen Risiken und Chancen aufgeführt sind. Auf die KIDs kann über die Handelsplattform zugegriffen werden. Bitte beachten Sie, dass der vollständige Prospekt kostenlos über die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG oder den Emittenten bezogen werden kann.

Auf diese Website kann weltweit zugegriffen werden. Die Informationen auf der Website beziehen sich jedoch auf die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG. Alle Kunden werden direkt mit der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG zusammenarbeiten und alle Kundenvereinbarungen werden mit der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG  geschlossen und somit schweizerischem Recht unterstellt.

Der Inhalt dieser Website stellt Marketingmaterial dar und wurde keiner Aufsichtsbehörde gemeldet oder übermittelt.

Sofern Sie mit der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG Kontakt aufnehmen oder diese Webseite besuchen, nehmen Sie zur Kenntnis und akzeptieren, dass sämtliche Daten, welche Sie über diese Webseite, per Telefon oder durch ein anderes Kommunikationsmittel (z.B. E-Mail) der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG übermitteln, erfasst bzw. aufgezeichnet werden können, an andere Gesellschaften der Saxo Bank Gruppe oder Dritte in der Schweiz oder im Ausland übertragen und von diesen oder der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG gespeichert oder anderweitig verarbeitet werden können. Sie befreien diesbezüglich die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG von ihren Verpflichtungen aus dem schweizerischen Bank- und Wertpapierhändlergeheimnis, und soweit gesetzlich zulässig, aus den Datenschutzgesetzen sowie anderen Gesetzen und Verpflichtungen zum Schutz der Privatsphäre. Die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG hat angemessene technische und organisatorische Vorkehrungen getroffen, um diese Daten vor der unbefugten Verarbeitung und Offenlegung zu schützen und einen angemessenen Schutz dieser Daten zu gewährleisten.

Apple, iPad und iPhone sind Marken von Apple Inc., eingetragen in den USA und anderen Ländern. App Store ist eine Dienstleistungsmarke von Apple Inc.