2026-02-03-PLTR-header

Palantir after earnings: using options to define a potential entry price

Options 10 minutes to read
MicrosoftTeams-image (3)
Koen Hoorelbeke

Investment and Options Strategist

Summary:  Palantir’s post-earnings surge was followed by a pullback, a pattern many investors recognise after big results. This article explores how some investors use options to turn that volatility into a disciplined entry framework, with clear numbers on potential outcomes and risks.


Palantir after earnings: using options to define a potential entry price


Key takeaways

  • Palantir’s latest earnings release triggered a sharp gap higher at the market open, followed by a partial pullback later in the session. This pattern is common after earnings and often coincides with elevated option premiums.
  • A cash-secured put is one way some long-term investors approach such situations, allowing them to define a potential entry price while receiving compensation for waiting.
  • The example in this article is based on a snapshot taken around 20:00 Brussels time, roughly four and a half hours after the U.S. market opened following the earnings release. Prices and premiums may differ by the time this article is read. The example is shown for educational purposes only.
Weekly and daily price charts of Palantir showing the sharp post-earnings gap higher followed by a partial pullback later in the session.
Palantir’s post-earnings price action illustrates a classic gap higher at the open followed by consolidation and retracement, a pattern that often keeps option premiums elevated. Source: © SaxoTraderGo

Why Palantir is back in focus after earnings

Palantir Technologies reported quarterly results after the U.S. market close, with revenue and earnings coming in ahead of expectations and management issuing constructive guidance for the year ahead. The immediate market response was strong.

When regular trading opened the next day, the stock jumped into the mid-160s, well above its pre-earnings close in the high-140s. As the day progressed, some of that enthusiasm faded. By late afternoon U.S. time, the share price had pulled back toward the mid-150s.

For long-term investors, this sequence is familiar. Earnings can reprice a company very quickly, but the first post-earnings price is not always the level where the market eventually settles.


Why option premiums often stay high after earnings

Options are priced based on how much movement the market expects over the life of the contract. This expectation is known as implied volatility.

Even after earnings are released, implied volatility does not always drop immediately. When a stock has just made a large move and investors are still uncertain about what comes next, options can continue to reflect that uncertainty through higher premiums.

In Palantir’s case, the sharp gap higher followed by a pullback meant that put options were still offering relatively elevated premiums several hours into the trading session. This makes it a useful example for explaining how options can sometimes be used alongside a long-term investment approach.


What is a cash-secured put, in plain terms?

A cash-secured put is an options structure where an investor sells a put option and sets aside enough cash to buy the shares if required. One contract typically represents 100 shares.

In practical terms, it combines two ideas:

  • The investor is willing to buy shares, but only at a lower, predefined price.
  • The investor receives a premium upfront as compensation for making that commitment.

If the share price stays above the agreed price until the option expires, the option expires and the premium is kept. If the share price falls below that level, the investor may be required to buy the shares at the agreed price.

Palantir options chain highlighting the February 2026 150 put with premium around 4.40 and elevated open interest.
The options chain snapshot shows the February 2026 150 put offering a meaningful premium, reflecting elevated post-earnings uncertainty and strong focus on this strike. Source: © SaxoTraderGo

Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.


A Palantir case study: the 150 put

The screenshots accompanying this article show Palantir’s option prices roughly four and a half hours after the market opened following earnings. At that time, the shares were trading in the mid-150s.

One example from the options chain is a put option with a strike price of 150. At the time of the snapshot, this option was priced at about 4.40 per share, or roughly 440 USD per contract. Open interest at this level was relatively high, suggesting that many market participants were focused on this price area.

This structure defines three key numbers:

  • Commitment: an obligation to buy 100 shares at 150 USD if assigned.
  • Premium received: about 440 USD upfront.
  • Effective entry price if assigned: approximately 145.60 USD (150 minus the premium received).

These figures describe how the structure worked based on prices at that moment. They are not forecasts.


What does the premium mean in return terms?

Many investors naturally ask what this premium represents in terms of return.

In this example, the investor receives about 440 USD for committing 15,000 USD (100 shares at 150 USD). If the option expires without assignment, that premium corresponds to roughly 2.9% of the capital committed over the life of the option.

Because the option is short-dated, this return is earned over a relatively brief period rather than a full year. While it can be annualised for comparison purposes, doing so assumes similar opportunities could be repeated under comparable conditions, which is never guaranteed.

A more grounded way to view the premium is as compensation for accepting a specific obligation over a defined timeframe, rather than as a promised yield.

Risk and payoff graph of a cash-secured put on Palantir with maximum profit limited to the premium received and downside exposure below the breakeven level.
The payoff profile of a cash-secured put shows limited upside equal to the premium received and downside exposure similar to owning the shares below the effective entry price. Source: © SaxoTraderGo

Comparing this with buying shares outright

Buying shares in the mid-150s provides immediate exposure to any rebound, but also full downside risk from that level.

A cash-secured put takes a different approach. Ownership is delayed unless the price falls, and the investor is compensated for waiting. If shares are eventually acquired, they are bought at a lower effective price than the post-earnings market level at the time of the snapshot.


Possible outcomes at expiry

To make the trade-offs clear, it helps to consider three simplified scenarios:

  • Shares stay above 150: the option expires, the investor keeps the premium, and no shares are purchased.
  • Shares fall below 150: assignment may occur and shares are bought at 150, with the premium reducing the effective cost.
  • Shares fall sharply: losses begin below the effective entry level, similar to owning shares from that level.

A simple payoff table or expiry chart can help visualise these outcomes at a glance.


Risks and limitations to understand

While cash-secured puts are often viewed as conservative, they are not risk-free.

  • The obligation to buy shares remains even if the stock price falls quickly or sentiment deteriorates.
  • If the stock rallies sharply, the investor does not participate beyond the premium received.
  • Post-earnings periods can remain volatile, particularly for widely followed stocks.

The strategy also requires discipline. Even if a trading platform does not require the full cash amount upfront, the position should be treated as fully funded.


Why this approach can appeal to long-term investors

For buy-and-hold investors, a cash-secured put can be seen as a structured way to express patience. Instead of waiting passively for a pullback, the investor defines an acceptable entry price and is compensated for that willingness.

For more active investors, the same structure offers a way to engage with post-earnings volatility without chasing price movements.


Final note

This Palantir example is intentionally framed as an educational snapshot. It illustrates how post-earnings volatility can influence option pricing and how some investors think about balancing opportunity, income, and risk.

Market conditions change, and outcomes are never guaranteed. The purpose of this article is to explain the mechanics and trade-offs, not to suggest a specific course of action.


Frequently asked questions

What happens if I am assigned on a cash-secured put?

If assignment occurs, the investor is required to buy 100 shares per contract at the strike price. In this example, that would mean buying Palantir shares at 150 USD. The premium received upfront lowers the effective purchase price, but once the shares are owned, their value will continue to move with the market.

Is a cash-secured put safer than buying shares outright?

It can reduce entry risk by lowering the effective purchase price and by paying a premium upfront. However, it does not eliminate downside risk. If the stock falls significantly below the effective entry level, losses can still occur, similar to owning shares from that level.

Can the option be closed before expiry?

Yes. Options can generally be bought back before expiry. Some investors choose to close a position early if most of the premium has been earned or if market conditions change. Closing early may lock in gains or limit risk, but it depends on prices and liquidity at the time.

Why not just place a limit order instead?

A limit order sets a desired purchase price but does not provide compensation while waiting. A cash-secured put combines a conditional purchase price with premium income, in exchange for taking on an obligation.

Does a cash-secured put always result in owning the shares?

No. If the share price remains above the strike price until expiry, the option expires and no shares are purchased. The outcome depends entirely on how the share price behaves over the life of the option.


This content is marketing material and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The Author is permitted to wait at least 24 hours from the time of the publication before they trade the instruments themselves.
The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
This content will not be changed or subject to review after publication.
Related articles/content             
Golds pullback - thinking beyond buy or sell | 3 Feb 2026
Why options got so popular in recent years | 28 Jan 2026
Netflix earnings - using a cash-secured put to set a lower entry price | 16 Jan 2026
Micron covered call - harvesting extra income after a strong rally | 13 Jan 2026
The Venezuela oil shock - Trading the reconstruction without chasing the hype | 6 Jan 2026
Nike - using earnings volatility to set a cheaper entry level | 16 Dec 2025
Oracle earnings - understanding one way long-term investors can plan an entry price | 9 Dec 2025
Cloud, debt and AI promises: the Oracle checklist before earnings | 9 Dec 2025
A more patient way to buy bitcoin - using an ETF and a cash buffer | 4 Dec 2025
Alphabets AI momentum - a simple way for shareholders to enhance their returns | 27 Nov 2025
Staying sane in noisy markets - investing through market and news volatility | 25 Nov 2025
Netflix after the stock split - how investors can set their own entry price | 20 Nov 2025 
Why crypto is selling off - and what it means for risk assets | 18 Nov 2025
Protecting your core stocks - practical illustrations across five names | 14 Nov 2025
A deliberate way to prepare for potential Novo Nordisk ownership | 13 Nov 2025
Novo vs Lily | 12 Nov 2025
How investors are using collar strategies on some of the most-traded stocks | 10 Nov 2025
How to protect your stocks with options when markets get shaky | 7 Nov 2025
A smarter way to start investing in Rheinmetall - with more control and lower risk | 4 Nov 2025
Exploring a conservative way to buy Amazon shares at a lower level | 28 Oct 2025
What long-term Microsoft investors can do with short-term volatility | 27 Oct 2025
How investors can turn Alphabets volatility into opportunity | 23 Oct 2025
Cash-secured puts on Tesla - how expiry choice shapes risk and reward | 20 Oct 2025
How long-term investors can use ASML mini options ahead of earnings | 10 Oct 2025
Intel just jumped on Nvidias vote of confidence What now | 19 Sep 2025
Oracle - how long-term investors can earn extra income after the stocks big move | 18 Sep 2025
A lower-cost alternative to generate income on Nike - the poor man covered call | 8 Sep 2025
What long-term investors can do with Nike options ahead of earnings | 4 Sep 2025
Earnings around the corner - how to use a cash-secured put to set your Alibaba buy price | 13 Aug 2025
Disney - earn while you wait for your ideal entry price | 11 Aug 2025
An income idea for Palantir shareholders | 1 Aug 2025
Collect monthly income from UBS - a beginners guide to covered calls | 31 Jul 2025
How Amazon shareholders can collect extra income before earnings | 29 Jul 2025
After the drop - two smarter ways to invest in ASML today | 18 Jul 2025
The overlooked strategy turning cash into consistent income | 11 Jul 2025
Getting paid to buy Novo Nordisk - earn income while waiting for a better price | 8 Jul 2025
Get paid to wait - how to earn income while preparing to buy Palantir shares | 30 Jun 2025
There s another way to buy SAP - one that pays you | 27 Jun 2025
How to get paid for your patience - Using cash-secured puts to invest in Intel 23 Jun 2025
How to turn your Intel shares into an income machine - even in a tough market | 20 Jun 2025
Already own Logitech - or want to - There is a smarter way to invest either way
How long-term investors can earn income or buy Alibaba at a discount with options
Earning extra income and buying at a discount - Covered calls and cash-secured puts on Palantir
How to earn extra Income from your Nestle shares - without taking on unnecessary risk
How to use cash-secured puts to buy UBS stock - or earn income while you wait
Learn how to generate income from ASML shares using MINI-options
Learn how you can earn income or buy Bitcoin at a discount
How a covered call on AMD generates extra income for long-term investors
Learn how you can earn income or buy Bitcoin-exposure at a discount
More from the author             

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Outrageous Predictions

    China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Having created history’s most epic debt bubble, China boldly bets that fiscal stimulus to the tune o...

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900 Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.