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Latest news from #SaxoStrats
Suddenly, the Bitcoin futures ETF out of nowhere
This week there is one news item to rule them all, namely the highly anticipated first Bitcoin futures ETF set to start trading in the US. We walk you through why the surprise new ETF is important, while possibly also meaning hardly anything for the market.
FX Update: Strongest themes getting overdone?
The contrarian in me is making a bit of a fuss as recent market developments like JPY weakness and commodity currency strength look extremely extended for at least the short term. This week looks short on macro catalysts, but US yields pressing back higher could add some fresh energy and a pushback against the sharp relief rally in risk sentiment last week.
Energy is building towards...what?
Today we run through a choppy start to the week as the market digests the latest sharp advance in energy prices and bond yields and casts a nervous eye on the feeble Chinese growth data for Q3. We also dive into the sharp flattening of the US yield curve, the hot CPI reading out of New Zealand overnight, look at what drives GBPUSD even more than the recent drastic repricing of the Bank of England's rate hike expectations in recent months, talk extreme JPY weakness and whether it is sustainable, preview the busy earnings calendar for the week ahead and a less busy, but still interesting macro calendar as well. Today's pod hosted by John J. Hardy.
COT: Brent and grains sold; industrial-linked metals in demand
Futures positions and changes made by hedge funds across commodities, forex, bonds and stock indices up until last Tuesday, October 12. A week where stocks traded close to unchanged ahead of the start of the US earnings season while bond yields and the dollar both rose ahead of Wednesday's FOMC and CPI releases. Commodities generally traded softer after hitting a fresh multi-year high with selling concentrated in Brent, natural gas and grains.
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