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Latest news from #SaxoStrats
FX Update: Patience required after an NFP miss for the ages.
One month of weak payrolls does not a weak trend make, but the US April payrolls change release was a horrific miss relative to expectations and offers USD bears about as much support as they could expect, with the very important caveat that the kneejerk reaction to the data is maintained: lower US yields with a strong boost to speculative assets on the anticipation that Fed is sidelined and more stimmy checks are on the way down the line.
WCU: Commodities remain the hot property of 2021
The "everything rally" in commodities continues to gather steam with the Bloomberg Commodity Spot index rising for the fifth straight week to reach its highest level since 2011. Spurred on by multiple factors from a vaccine-led rebound in global growth, transportation bottlenecks crimping supplies, weather concerns in key growing regions along with rising inflation concerns and a speculative frenzy triggering increased investment demand
Podcast: What are real yields and bubble stocks telling us? Gold finally breaks higher.
Today we look at still very notable divergences in the US equity market, as bubble stocks and other richly valued corners of the market continue to stumble even as the broader market is looking back at the record high. Also, a discussion on what bond market, Fed expectations and breakevens vs. nominal rates are telling us, a zoom-in on big German equity names, a look at copper near record highs, while gold finally broke higher on real yields declining, a preview of today's US jobs report and much more. Today with Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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