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Latest news from #SaxoStrats
Has a long and painful journey to the bottom in equities just begun?
There is a lot of pain in equity markets already, but the ugly truth is that it could worse and that equities are a long way from finding a bottom. We look at the largest drawdowns in history to see what it tells us about the current drawdown.
FX Update: Is the JPY finally ready to roar?
The backdrop has increasingly weighed in support of the JPY as safe haven seeking in sovereign bonds has eroded the negative implications of the Bank of Japan’s yield-curve-control policy. And speculative positioning is very short the Japanese currency. Last week’s brief blow-up in the JPY crosses may have been a trial balloon for a far larger squeeze on JPY shorts.
Podcast: Market tilts back to the edge of the abyss
Today we break down the worst session for US equities in over two years after another large US retailer, this time Target, saw its share price gutted after noting inflation driving rising margin pressures. As stocks are back at the precipice of key support, we take a look at next potential downside targets, the remarkable lack of a "normal" VIX forward curve given market stress at present, Tesla's Elon Musk becoming a loose cannon after Tesla kicked off the S&P 500's ESG index, look at JPY wrestling with the USD in FX, CAD concerns, crude oil, industrial metals and grains and more.
Financial Markets Today: Quick Take – May 19, 2022
Yesterday, US stocks suffered their worst day since the Covid outbreak panic of more than two years ago. A second large US retailer in two days, this time Target, suffered a massive loss after reporting weak margins and a weak outlook due to inflation. US treasuries rallied sharply as a safe-haven and the yield curve flattened sharply, suggesting a darkening of the economic outlook. The USD and JPY both rallied yesterday on wobbly sentiment, but eased lower overnight.
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