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How do changes in US real yields impact asset classes?
Falling US real yields have historically been coincident with rising gold, ringing EURUSD and falling USDJPY. These relationships are not that confusing but over time equities do have a positive relationship with real yields and as such equities should not behave as it does right now under rapidly falling real yields as they reflect falling expectations for growth. When we analyse the entire spectrum over change in US real yields we observe that equities rise rapidly under both significantly falling and rising real yields.
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