Summary: Today we shake up the podcast format a bit, something we plan to do from here on out by offering shorter, sub-10 minute episodes for quicker turnaround, while keeping the longer format for perhaps once or twice a week. Today, a look at Friday's very interesting session that was chock full of remarkable divergences as small caps massively outperformed big tech. Also, some thoughts on European defense, crypto, macro and FX. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Listen to the full episode now or follow the Saxo Market Call on your favorite podcast app.
Are private equity firm going for broke before they are headed for a credit event or worse? An interesting read-between-the-lines moment for the entire private equity space as Bloomberg covers the flood of debt issuance that PE companies are indulging in of late to reward themselves with dividends. Interesting claim - did AI reveal the circular financing problem in the AI space, one that could bring the whole sector crashing down? An interesting claim and a lot of data to support. A ton of news and commentary on MSTR and its possible exclusion from key indices that will trigger forced selling, with perhaps the most interesting angle on whether this represents some kind of titanic struggle between the forces of Wall Street and the megabanks and the Fed and Main Street and Trump and Bessent that want to use crypto infrastructure to restructure the entire financial system. Still trying to wrap my head around all of this. A cheeky way to look at the crypto meltdown: if Bitcoin is a currency, it is currently suffering an episode of hyperinflation - from UBS’ Paul Donovan. I always like to pass along the latest Felder Report when I notice it is out - this one from Saturday has lots of additional links to important topics, from the stark maths of the implications of all of the AI spending to what stocks might do well because of their lack of correlation with the recent market leaders. Here is someone pushing back against the perhaps over-hyped figure of Yann LeCun and the significance of his exit from Meta.
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Head of Investment Content Switzerland
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Senior Relationship Manager
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Chief Investment Strategist
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Chief Investment Strategist
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Global Head of Macro Strategy
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Global Head of Macro Strategy
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Global Head of Investment Strategy
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Global Head of Investment Strategy
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Global Head of Macro Strategy
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Saxo Group