Outrageous Predictions
Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026
Saxo Group
Identifying price areas where a financial asset has previously attracted buying interest can be useful in technical analysis. In trading, this type of price area is often described as support. It does not tell you exactly when to buy or sell. However, when combined with other technical indicators, market context, and risk management, it may help you structure your analysis.
This guide defines support levels in trading and explains how traders may use them as one input in technical analysis.
Note: Trading involves risk. Prices can move against a position, and technical analysis does not guarantee profitable trades or correct timing.
Support, in general terms, is a price area where an asset has historically tended to attract buying interest after falling. Traders sometimes describe support as a ‘floor’, but prices can break below support, sometimes temporarily and sometimes more permanently.
The first caveat is that identifying a support level requires time and analysis. A single low point on a chart is usually not enough. Traders often look for repeated reactions around a similar price area, but support does not need to hold perfectly every time to be relevant.
The second caveat is that support levels can change. A price area may appear relevant during one period, but later lose relevance if market conditions, volume or investor sentiment change. When the price moves below support, traders often call this a breakdown or break of support.
If the breakout is short-lived, the old support level might remain intact. For example, if the support was USD 1 and dipped to USD 0.90 for five minutes but didn’t reach that low again, we could say USD 1 is still the support level. However, if the price continues to hit or approach USD 0.90, that would be the new support level.
This means you have to be fluid in your understanding and assessment of support levels. They are used to find the floor, aka the lowest price, an asset reaches before rebounding. But sometimes the price breaks through this proverbial floor and a new low is established. Support levels can shift over time as market conditions change.
A support level for a stock could look something like this:
Price High: $100
Price Low: $90
Price Average: $95
Price High: $110
Price Low: $93
Price Average: $101.50
Price High: $105
Price Low: $91
Price Average: $98
In this example, the daily highs vary, while the daily lows remain close to USD 90. On a very basic level, traders might view the area around USD 90 as a possible support area, although three daily observations would not usually be enough on their own to confirm a reliable support level.
Support levels can indicate price areas where an asset has previously rebounded or where buying interest has appeared. They do not guarantee that the price will rebound again, and prices can move below support if selling pressure increases.
No one knows for certain how markets will move. Support levels are one way traders try to organise price information, but they do not bring certainty and should not be used in isolation.
Traders may use support levels to identify price areas that have previously attracted buying interest:
Common uses include:
Some traders use support levels as one input when assessing possible entry or exit points. For example, if the current price is close to a support area and other indicators suggest buying activity is increasing, some traders may use this as an input when forming a view, alongside other analysis and risk management considerations.
Some traders use support levels when deciding where to place stop-loss orders. Stop-loss placement usually depends on risk tolerance, position size, market liquidity and the trader’s wider plan. For example, if USD 50 is viewed as a support area, some traders may place a stop-loss order below that area, while recognising that prices can gap through the order level.
Some traders place stop-loss orders around support areas, but prices can gap through levels and stop-loss orders may execute at a worse price than expected.
Support levels may also provide context for recent price behaviour. If an asset trades well above a support area, it may suggest stronger recent momentum. If it trades near support, it may indicate uncertainty or testing of buying interest, but outcomes can vary.
Support levels are often discussed alongside resistance levels. A simple comparison is:
Traders sometimes describe support and resistance as a floor and a ceiling, but both are areas rather than fixed barriers. Prices can break through either level.
There are several ways traders look for possible support areas. Some are simple visual methods, while others use technical indicators or historical price data. Common approaches include:
Round-number analysis is based on the idea that some traders pay attention to prices such as USD 50, USD 100 or USD 1,000. Prices may sometimes react around round numbers, but this is not reliable and varies by market. One possible reason is order clustering. Some traders may place orders around round numbers because they are easy reference points. For example, a trader may focus on USD 100 more readily than USD 100.02.
Round numbers may also attract larger orders in some markets, although this is not guaranteed. Order clustering around round numbers may contribute to support or resistance in some cases, but it is not reliable and varies by market and time.
Plotting trendlines on a price chart may help traders identify possible support areas. The aim here is to connect a series of relevant lows over the period being analysed. A trendline can suggest a possible support area, but it is subjective and can be redrawn as new price data emerges.
Some traders use technical indicators alongside price action when assessing possible support areas. Moving averages are trend indicators that some traders watch as dynamic support or resistance, but they do not define a fixed low point and can be crossed frequently. A moving average smooths price data over a selected period, making the broader trend easier to see. Some traders treat a moving average as a possible support area when the price repeatedly reacts around it, but this does not mean the level will hold forever.
Other technical indicators may also be used to assess possible support areas. One example is Fibonacci retracement, which some traders use to identify possible support or resistance zones.
One reason traders use support levels is to create a reference point for price analysis. If an asset has repeatedly rebounded around a similar price area, traders may use that area as one input in their analysis. If the price is significantly above support, it may suggest stronger recent momentum, while repeated tests of support may suggest uncertainty or weakening buying interest.
The limitation is that support levels are interpretive. They are chart-based reference areas rather than standalone signals. A support line isn’t fixed, and prices can move below it. This means support levels are usually reviewed alongside other indicators, market context and risk management. They should not be treated as exact barriers. They are better treated as reference areas.
Some traders use support bands rather than single lines.
This creates a price range rather than a single point and can reflect how prices often react around zones rather than at exact numbers. Support bands are also interpretive, though. Prices can still fall below the lower end of a support band. However, a support band may be useful for identifying an area where buying interest has previously appeared.
Thinking about support levels in this way may help you structure your analysis across different markets, although it does not guarantee better trading decisions.
Combining support levels with other market data may help structure analysis, but it does not guarantee profitable trades or correct timing.
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