Chief Investment Officer
Summary: How should you navigate the volatile financial markets? - see latest research from SaxoStrats below
How to spot low in market (if at all possible) - Peter Garnry
Two monitors to observe for change in markets:
Turning point indicators #1 – VIX futures term structure
Turning point indicators #2 – Financials to utilities ratio
Helicopter Money - Christopher Dembik
From Macro Perspective we have reached end-of-the-road for monetary policy meaning government and more precise helicopter money is up - Please educate yourself via Christopher Dembik piece below and prepare for inflation risk in your portfolio and mortgages! (broken down supply chains, infinite free money spending and assets and energy at floor levels è Big reflation / inflation coming - Yes hedge your mortgage next three months for next 30 years)
Killer Dollar - John Hardy
The killer dollar is on the loose
Commodities - Ole S Hansen
Gold remains troubled but headlines unlikely to persist
COT: Commodity exposure cut as deleveraging reigns
Finally my piece:
Pro’s and Con’s is 10.000 feet perspective on the markets and how to navigate them:
Macro Digest: Pros & Cons of risk and markets. Do you feel lucky?
Follow SaxoStrats on the daily Market Call - and see below for newest research
2020-03-17 - Market Quick Take - March 17, 2020
2020-03-17 - Macro Digest: Pros & Cons of risk and markets. Do you feel lucky?
2020-03-16 - Market Quick Take - March 16, 2020
2020-03-13 - Steen's Chronicle - The 10 year bull market just died of coronavirus
2020-03-13 - Market Quick Take - March 13, 2020
2020-03-17 - FX Update: The killer dollar is on the loose.
2020-03-16 - FX Update: Fed bazooka fails to impress. G7 meeting next test.
2020-03-13 - FX Update: Markets picking up the pieces after the deluge
2020-03-12 - FX Update: ECB needs to shock and awe today, then FOMC next week
2020-03-11 - FX Update: Policymakers readying their bazookas
2020-03-13 - US stocks in focus for mean-reversion
2020-03-13 - NAV discounts in credit ETFs underscores the 'dash for cash' environment
2020-03-12 - Today Europe committed an historic policy mistake
2020-03-11 - Will European policy makers pull out the bazooka tomorrow?
2020-03-10 - Lessons from 2008 on how to navigate equities in high volatility
2020-03-15 - COT: Commodity exposure cut as deleveraging reigns
2020-03-15 - COT: Dollar long cut by most in eight years
2020-03-13 - A lesson from 2008 - watch gold as a leading indicator
2020-03-10 - Crude oil collapse highlights the global virus disruption
2020-03-17 - It's time for free money
2020-03-16 - France is the next front in the coronavirus battle
2020-03-16 - Chart of the Week: Container volumes at the Port of Los Angeles
2020-03-12 - ECB: Time for SME bailout
2020-03-11 - Credit Impulse Update: A key engine of US growth is stalling
The market is trying to get back to the pre-Covid and pre-war times, but that model is broken. A new dawn is here and the financial world needs to adapt.
Steen Jakobsen,
Chief Investment Officer
A political switch in China towards less tough control of its people and companies may kick things back into gear.
Redmond Wong,
Market Strategist
While the economic situation in Europe may not be as bad as feared, there's still a plethora of things to fix.
Chris Dembik,
Head of Macroeconomic Research
As the world turns increasingly bipolar, equity markets face harsh times as they transition into the new reality.
Peter Garnry,
Head of Equity Strategy
New alliances and collaborations outside of China may lead to prosperous times in Asia.
Charu Chanana,
Market Strategist
For years, it was thought that the balanced portfolio was a thing of the past. But recent developments may have changed that.
Peter Siks,
Investment Coach
Following a dramatic and volatile 2022 with good returns, a lot of this year's commodity performance may be driven by Chinese politics.
Ole S. Hansen,
Head of Commodity Strategy
2023 could be a tough year for currencies but EUR and JPY may have some upside.
John J. Hardy,
Head of FX Strategy
The commodity-heavy Australian market may have a good start to 2023, as the Chinese focus on growth signals demand for Aussie resources.
Jessica Amir,
Market Strategist
From a near-perfect environment for speculative assets before 2022 to the opposite, crypto faces fundamental challenges.
Mads Eberhardt,
Cryptocurrency Analyst
Disclaimer
The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.
Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-gb/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
