The models are broken
The market is trying to get back to the pre-Covid and pre-war times, but that model is broken. A new dawn is here and the financial world needs to adapt.
Steen Jakobsen,
Chief Investment Officer
This Quarterly Outlook looks at how the old macroeconomic and political models no longer work for the world we live in. It digs deeper into how this may affect global equities, and especially how the indication that China will once again pursue growth may affect both equities and commodities. The Outlook also looks at how forex and crypto may be challenged by the new global structures and how political alliances both in Europe and Asia will have an increasingly large impact on the markets in general.
Get our in-house analysts' views on the investment landscape in a tough macroeconomic world and plan your investment strategy for Q1 2023 and beyond.
Saxo's Q1 Outlook is out. It's called "The models are broken" and focuses on the new world order of high inflation and interest rates, deglobalisation and an ever-increasing focus on China and the Asian region. This Outlook looks at how the financial world is struggling to make this fit into old models that don't work anymore.
The market is trying to get back to the pre-Covid and pre-war times, but that model is broken. A new dawn is here and the financial world needs to adapt.
Steen Jakobsen,
Chief Investment Officer
A political switch in China towards less tough control of its people and companies may kick things back into gear.
Redmond Wong,
Market Strategist
While the economic situation in Europe may not be as bad as feared, there's still a plethora of things to fix.
Chris Dembik,
Head of Macroeconomic Research
As the world turns increasingly bipolar, equity markets face harsh times as they transition into the new reality.
Peter Garnry,
Head of Equity Strategy
New alliances and collaborations outside of China may lead to prosperous times in Asia.
Charu Chanana,
Market Strategist
For years, it was thought that the balanced portfolio was a thing of the past. But recent developments may have changed that.
Peter Siks,
Investment Coach
Following a dramatic and volatile 2022 with good returns, a lot of this year's commodity performance may be driven by Chinese politics.
Ole S. Hansen,
Head of Commodity Strategy
2023 could be a tough year for currencies but EUR and JPY may have some upside.
John J. Hardy,
Head of FX Strategy
The commodity-heavy Australian market may have a good start to 2023, as the Chinese focus on growth signals demand for Aussie resources.
Jessica Amir,
Market Strategist
From a near-perfect environment for speculative assets before 2022 to the opposite, crypto faces fundamental challenges.
Mads Eberhardt,
Cryptocurrency Analyst
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