Peter Garnry

SaxoStrats

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Peter Garnry joined Saxo Bank in 2010 and is Head of Equity Strategy. In 2016, he became responsible for the quantitative strategies team, which focuses on how to apply computer models to financial markets. He develops trading strategies and analyses of the equity markets as well as individual company stocks applying statistics and models.

Garnry developed Saxo Bank’s Alpha Picks which is a monthly publication selecting the most attractive stocks across the US, Europe and Asia. He also contributes to the Saxo Bank Quarterly Outlooks and the annual Outrageous Predictions and is a regular commentator on television, including CNBC and Bloomberg TV.

Follow @PeterGarnry

@petergarnry
With elevated US debt levels the Fed has to control rates. With increasing supply of Treasuries due to fiscal defic… https://t.co/BUoacPFtar
@petergarnry
Finally some quality assessment of the NIPA vs S&P 500 GAAP earnings gap that people have freaking out about... https://t.co/guAMg32OG2
@petergarnry
RT @johnjhardy: Hosting my latest interactive FX Update in about an hour - sign up to join here: https://t.co/uVnx0TPL6k Just updating our…
@petergarnry
It's important note something crucial here. On the surface markets will look more efficient over time based on mark… https://t.co/oivTqYMYJJ
@petergarnry
The final solution is to do what people did before the financial industry circus started in the 1960s. That is to i… https://t.co/tKUcYgEu2J
@petergarnry
The only sensible approach where you have a chance as a human is by playing the game in the low frequency domain. T… https://t.co/8Y7MipyC7U
@petergarnry
But also the reason why you constantly hear the phrases "I don't understand this market", "this market is wrong", "… https://t.co/ePpLPP2Zrw
@petergarnry
P ≠ NP and thus logic predicts that financial markets should get less and less efficient over time. But the ineffic… https://t.co/7nVJCIyqcP
@petergarnry
RT @johnjhardy: Today's Market Call podcast in which we, among other things discuss whether equity melt-up is getting a bit parabolic and n…
@petergarnry
No crisis in Singapore. Is massive container throughput and exports to the US just transshipment to avoid tariffs o… https://t.co/HGUKq8CyNa
@petergarnry
RT @johnjhardy: A rising federal budget deficit is making it more difficult for the Fed to manage rates, as volatility in the repo market h…
@petergarnry
RT @johnjhardy: Today's Market Call podcast, with extra focus on the US-China trade deal and whether the numbers and the market reaction ad…
@petergarnry
Important observation on China's retail sales in November... https://t.co/KBA0Nb7wcN
@petergarnry
RT @TN: S&P 500 is very top heavy again: top five stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Facebook & Amazon) at 16.5% - the most weight since 199…
@petergarnry
The most scary statistic I have read in 2019... https://t.co/rrnYbPcju5
@petergarnry
I would as far as saying that many startups use AI disguised of simple models to intentionally defraud investors of… https://t.co/sDuBERknwp
@petergarnry
UK election shows that the radical/far left doesn't hold a chance in realpolitik. Spells trouble for E. Warren's bi… https://t.co/zTMEdfLIA2
@petergarnry
@AndreasSteno @MikaelSarwe S&P 500 market cap / GDP ratio doesn't reject the unit root test, so zero inference can… https://t.co/YCcxrhTyGK
@petergarnry
Very good point Ole... https://t.co/zLmo812JDK
@petergarnry
@BeingHorizontal Might work (but I'm skeptical) on an inefficient market such as crypto, but never in the real arena of financial markets.
@petergarnry
Like the Roman emperors BoJo has figured out that it's better to spend, and spend hard, to get voters and stay in p… https://t.co/IWADvWmy6a
@petergarnry
Now that the UK Conservatives are the "new labour party" and don't believe in austerity and cheap labour immigratio… https://t.co/wrYuoKsAMU
@petergarnry
@0ptionsRookie @NorthmanTrader @netfilx Netflix's content algorithms will continue suggest production of the same t… https://t.co/NLUS8A8Bi7
@petergarnry
@AndreasSteno We have been doing that for 10 years...I think we can take a year more :) but you are right in that w… https://t.co/iYwp54Y8Eo
@petergarnry
Discussing the flurry of events with @johnjhardy and @Ole_S_Hansen and how we see it impacting markets... https://t.co/Fuf25JyTfy
@petergarnry
Maximum support for equities: 1) massive Fed Jan repo, 2) clearance on Brexit, 3) trade deal, 4) OECD indicators sh… https://t.co/egf6lTvpoF
@petergarnry
RT @Ole_S_Hansen: $50 billion!!! Over what time period? #grains #oil #commodities https://t.co/Ilbbhga86G
@petergarnry
RT @NorthmanTrader: I scanned @netfilx for a show to watch last night. Tons of content, but couldn’t find anything of interest. Quantity do…
@petergarnry
RT @johnjhardy: Today's Market Call podcast, talking #FOMC meeting this evening and much more: https://t.co/6Odc33lp5j Today with @Ole_S_…
@petergarnry
RT @johnjhardy: Finally we test what the market is really trading on.... https://t.co/fBC5w7sAgp
@petergarnry
RT @johnjhardy: UK election: it is hard to trade consensus outcomes - thoughts about #Brexit and sterling and UK assets over this Thursday'…
@petergarnry
Worth 40 pts in DAX futures
@petergarnry
Eurozone expectations for economic growth jumps to highest level since March 2018...green shoots?
@petergarnry
Judging from the reaction function the futures market did not anticipate how investors in the cash market would rea… https://t.co/vYwKOgRu63
@petergarnry
Okay here is the likely trigger. German is moving closer to a financial transaction tax... https://t.co/73LZAsXQD6
@petergarnry
Are we just witnessing cVaR triggers being put to action in European session? Big move in DAX futures given our low… https://t.co/tz2u2SA4IH
@petergarnry
@Bigeberg Exactly. That's also why we say that the OECD data point comes with a lot of uncertainty. Macro is very m… https://t.co/f2b5S90fhN
@petergarnry
Market Call podcast is out discussing a wide ranging issues from OECD leading indicators, stronger copper, short sq… https://t.co/2pZ2GctyWU
@petergarnry
OECD's global leading indicators (CLI) suggest October was a turning point. Still high uncertainty and could be adj… https://t.co/MTLMCGRH8Q
@petergarnry
@TeisKnuthsen Drop fastkurspolitikken?
@petergarnry
In this special edition podcast we discuss our Outrageous Predictions for 2020. Let us know what you think - hate o… https://t.co/Ji7rvi53Tf
@petergarnry
@PeterSainsbury7 @Ole_S_Hansen It is, but the feedback so far is showing that our OP "Democrats win a clean sweep i… https://t.co/1thGjNSghs
@petergarnry
@Bigeberg @Ole_S_Hansen Thanks...we will make some changes starting next week to significantly increase the energy.… https://t.co/Oyb4cauRFC
@petergarnry
RT @Ole_S_Hansen: In today's #podcast we discuss German industrial production shocker, #OPEC's #oil production cut, #Aramco's IPO valuation…
@petergarnry
RT @choffstein: Factor definitions matter https://t.co/kZW5kLRsQ1
@petergarnry
RT @Ole_S_Hansen: Equity Monthly from @petergarnry titled: Is Sweden signaling spillover into services? #Stocks $SPX https://t.co/ABAiYktFU…
@petergarnry
@TheRealHawky X-axis is where we are on equity valuation in terms of standard deviations (higher = higher valuation… https://t.co/Ym6G8emuy8
@petergarnry
US equity valuations are getting close to the 50/50 point of getting pos/neg real returns the next 10 years. When w… https://t.co/QNHAKvFAsa
@petergarnry
Europe and UK have not really joined the club of "large deficits during low employment"...potential upside to Europ… https://t.co/J1bmy2Xyh1
@petergarnry
Initial jobless claims smoothed are basically saying that there is zero spillover effects from manufacturing into s… https://t.co/ZflAGdxois

Equities

The Swedish rate experiment; miners are not buying the “rebound” trade

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Equities

Maximum support for equities but watch those G7 rates

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Equities

Equity presentation December 2019

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Equities

Adapt or die, UK election and the Brazilian superstar

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Equities

Was October the turning point?

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Equities

Corporate boards have failed in stock option compensation

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Equities

Equity Monthly: Is Sweden signaling spillover into services?

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Outrageous Predictions

OP 2020: In energy, green is not the new black

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Outrageous Predictions

OP 2020: Danish banks stage a stunning comeback

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

Outrageous Predictions

OP 2020: Chips go cold in AI winter

Peter Garnry

Head of Equity Strategy

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SaxoStrats

Peter Garnry

Follow @PeterGarnry

The Swedish rate experiment; miners are not buying the “rebound” trade

Maximum support for equities but watch those G7 rates

Equity presentation December 2019

Adapt or die, UK election and the Brazilian superstar

Was October the turning point?

Corporate boards have failed in stock option compensation

Equity Monthly: Is Sweden signaling spillover into services?

OP 2020: In energy, green is not the new black

OP 2020: Danish banks stage a stunning comeback

OP 2020: Chips go cold in AI winter

Our team of experts

Getting started is easy

Create an account

Deposit funds

Do it yourself

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