2026-07-24-SHELL-header

Shell into second-quarter earnings: two ways to use options for income

Options

Summary:  Shell has rallied back to the top of its range just as second-quarter results land on 30 July. The options market is pricing a real move, so can a holder be paid to wait for it?


You hold Shell for the exposure and the dividend. Can the options market pay you something extra while you wait for the second-quarter results?


Shell (SHELL:xams, the Amsterdam listing) has rallied back toward the top of its range, trading around EUR 39.10 into its second-quarter report (Source: Saxo and Bloomberg, 23 July 2026). The stock fell to roughly EUR 34 in late June, then recovered through July to sit above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, close to the EUR 40 to 41 area that capped it earlier in the year. Shell is scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results, and to declare its second-quarter interim dividend, on 30 July 2026 (Source: Shell advance notice).

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Shell (SHELL:xams) weekly since 2020 and daily year-to-date, trading around EUR 39.10 on 23 July 2026. The shares sit above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, near the EUR 40 to 41 area that has capped them this year. Source: Saxo, 23 July 2026. Illustrative and educational only, not predictive. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Shell (SHELL:xams) weekly since 2020 and daily year-to-date, trading around EUR 39.10 on 23 July 2026. The shares sit above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, near the EUR 40 to 41 area that has capped them this year. Source: Saxo, 23 July 2026. Illustrative and educational only, not predictive. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

For a long-term holder, results season is a familiar mix of opportunity and nerves. Investors may want to keep the shares and the dividend, while the report remains a known event that can move the price sharply in either direction. Options give an investor a way to act on a view they already hold, whether that view is a willingness to sell a little higher or to buy a little lower.


What the options market is pricing

The examples below use the standard monthly expiry of 21 August 2026, the third Friday of the month, which falls after the 30 July results. The reporting date and the expiry date are different, and a position held over 21 August spans the announcement and the weeks after it.

A common way to estimate the market-implied move is to add the at-the-money call premium and the at-the-money put premium for the expiry that captures the event. For 21 August, the EUR 39 call trades around EUR 1.21 and the EUR 39 put around EUR 1.25, a combined EUR 2.46 (Source: SaxoTraderPRO option chain, 23 July 2026). That points to a move of roughly 6% of the share price in either direction between now and expiry. Future outcomes are uncertain and may result in losses.

Implied volatility helps put that in context. Shell's 30-day implied volatility sits near 24.75%, with an implied volatility rank of about 53 over the past year (Source: Bloomberg, 23 July 2026). In our view that reads as a moderate rather than extreme level: above the one-year average near 22%, though well below the March peak above 32%. Option premiums appear a little richer than usual because the results fall inside the window, without pricing a crisis.


Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it’s crucial to make informed decisions.

The following examples are hypothetical and for educational use only; they are not advice or trade recommendations.

Income while you hold: the covered call

Consider an investor who owns 100 Shell shares, is comfortable holding through the report, and would be content to sell around EUR 41, a level the stock has struggled to clear this year. A covered call collects a premium today in exchange for agreeing to sell at that price if the shares finish above it. The EUR 41 strike sits near the upper edge of the range the chain is pricing.

Example structure (illustrative only – not a trade recommendation)

  • Hold 100 shares of Shell at EUR 39.10, a position value of EUR 3,910
  • Sell 1 Shell call, 21 August 2026 expiry, EUR 41 strike, at a mid price of about EUR 0.505 per share (bid 0.49, ask 0.52; implied volatility about 28%, delta about 0.28; open interest 506 contracts)
  • Premium received: approximately EUR 50 (EUR 0.505 multiplied by 100 shares)
  • Maximum gain if the shares are called away: approximately EUR 240, combining the premium and about EUR 190 of share appreciation to the strike
  • Maximum loss: approximately EUR 3,860, the full position value less the premium, if the shares fell to zero
  • Break-even on the share position: approximately EUR 38.59
  • Risk: below the break-even the investor keeps the full downside of the shares, offset only by the premium, while the upside above EUR 41 is capped, and the short call carries early-assignment risk
  • All figures are hypothetical and for education only. Past performance is not indicative of future results; figures are illustrative and not predictive.
  • Costs and charges apply to each leg; see Saxo pricing for full details.

The premium of about EUR 0.505 per share is roughly 1.3% of the current share price, collected for a holding period of about four weeks, and it lands on top of the dividend the shares already pay. That is the appeal of using calls to enhance the yield on a holding: the income may arrive whether or not the stock rises. The trade-off matters as well. Selling the call caps upside above EUR 41, so a strong post-results rally would be left on the table.

The investor retains the full downside risk of holding the shares; the premium received provides a partial offset, but it does not protect against a significant decline in the stock price. Theta, or time decay, works in the seller's favour here: the option loses a small amount of value each day, which benefits the seller.

Strategy insight – selling into strength. Placing the strike near a level the stock has repeatedly failed to clear means agreeing to sell where sellers have shown up before, which can make the capped upside easier to accept. The risk is the mirror image: if the results are strong enough to break that ceiling decisively, the shares are called away and the extension above EUR 41 is missed. Illustrative only, not a trade recommendation.

Covered call payoff at expiry, 100 Shell shares against one short EUR 41 call, 21 August 2026. Source: Saxo option chain, 23 July 2026. Illustrative and educational only, not predictive. Past performance is not indicative of future results; figures are illustrative and not predictive.Covered call payoff at expiry, 100 Shell shares against one short EUR 41 call, 21 August 2026. Source: Saxo option chain, 23 July 2026. Illustrative and educational only, not predictive. Past performance is not indicative of future results; figures are illustrative and not predictive.


Getting paid to buy: the cash-secured put

Consider instead an investor who does not own Shell yet but would like to, and who thinks the results could offer a better entry. A cash-secured put pays a premium today in exchange for agreeing to buy the shares at a lower price if they fall there by expiry. The EUR 37 strike sits near the lower edge of the range the chain is pricing.

Example structure (illustrative only – not a trade recommendation)

  • Sell 1 Shell put, 21 August 2026 expiry, EUR 37 strike, at a mid price of about EUR 0.46 per share (bid 0.44, ask 0.48; implied volatility about 28%, delta about -0.25; open interest 3,255 contracts)
  • Premium received: approximately EUR 46 (EUR 0.46 multiplied by 100 shares)
  • Cash set aside: EUR 3,700
  • Maximum profit: approximately EUR 46, if the put expires worthless
  • Maximum loss: approximately EUR 3,654 if the shares fell to zero
  • Effective purchase price if assigned: approximately EUR 36.54, around 6.5% below the current price
  • Risk: if Shell falls below EUR 37 the seller is obliged to buy at an effective EUR 36.54 and can lose further if the stock keeps dropping, and the contract is American-style so assignment may occur before expiry
  • All figures are hypothetical and for education only. Past performance is not indicative of future results; figures are illustrative and not predictive.
  • Costs and charges apply to each leg; see Saxo pricing for full details.

Selling a cash-secured put means agreeing to buy 100 shares at EUR 37 if the stock falls there by expiry. In exchange, the seller collects the premium today, again roughly 1.2% of the cash committed for about four weeks. If Shell holds above EUR 37, the put expires worthless and the premium is kept as income. If it falls below EUR 37, the shares are bought at an effective EUR 36.54 once the premium is counted, and the dividend starts to accrue to the new owner.

The risk is real: owning the stock at that price if it keeps falling, so this suits an investor who genuinely wants the shares, not one reaching for premium alone. As with the call, time decay works in the seller's favour.

Strategy insight – choosing an entry. The EUR 37 strike sits just below the July breakout and near where the 50-day average and the recent base meet, a level where buyers have recently stepped in. The seller is paid to set a limit order they were willing to place anyway. The catch is that a large, results-driven drop could take the stock well below EUR 37, leaving the investor holding shares already showing a loss. Illustrative only, not a trade recommendation.

Cash-secured put payoff at expiry, one short EUR 37 put on 100 Shell shares, 21 August 2026. Source: Saxo option chain, 23 July 2026. Illustrative and educational only, not predictive. Past performance is not indicative of future results; figures are illustrative and not predictive.Cash-secured put payoff at expiry, one short EUR 37 put on 100 Shell shares, 21 August 2026. Source: Saxo option chain, 23 July 2026. Illustrative and educational only, not predictive. Past performance is not indicative of future results; figures are illustrative and not predictive.


Before you trade

Both strikes sit on the more liquid standard monthly series, with open interest of 506 contracts on the EUR 41 call and 3,255 on the EUR 37 put (Source: SaxoTraderPRO option chain, 23 July 2026). Even so, the entry price can matter as much as the strategy choice. Options carry a high risk of rapid loss and are not suitable for every investor.

Before placing the trade, check

  • Bid and ask spreads, since wide spreads can erode the premium at entry
  • Volume and open interest at the specific strike and expiry chosen
  • That the 21 August 2026 expiry is a standard monthly, which it is, rather than a weekly
  • Whether the 30 July results are released before or after the market opens
  • Implied volatility relative to how much Shell typically moves
  • An exit plan, defined before entering the position

See Saxo pricing for costs and applicable charges: pricing overview.

Assignment risk note: Because Shell options are American-style, a short call or put can be assigned before expiry if it moves in the money, particularly close to expiration or around ex-dividend dates. Since Shell declares its interim dividend with these results, an investor holding a short call should monitor it carefully and understand the platform's assignment process. The seller of the option carries the assignment obligation; the buyer of a put or call does not.


Final thoughts

Neither of these strategies is a shortcut to quick profit. They are ways to act on a view an investor already holds about a stock they already follow: a willingness to sell a little higher, or to buy a little lower. The premium is a modest, illustrative supplement to the returns a Shell holding may already provide, not a guaranteed yield, and each strategy carries a clear obligation in exchange. Options carry a high risk of rapid loss and are not suitable for every investor.

Both positions can often be managed before expiry if the picture changes. A covered call can be bought back to keep the upside, and a cash-secured put can be closed if the view on the entry shifts. The point of options here is not to predict the 30 July results, but to decide in advance what an investor would happily do at a higher or lower price, and to be paid a little for the patience. Past performance is not indicative of future results.


This content is marketing material and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The author does not hold positions in any of the instruments mentioned in this article.

The Author is permitted to wait at least 24 hours from the time of the publication before they trade the instruments themselves.

The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

This content will not be changed or subject to review after publication.

Unfassbare Vorhersagen 2026

01 /

  • Die Grüne Revolution der Schweiz: 30 Milliarden Franken-Initiative bis 2050

    Outrageous Predictions

    Die Grüne Revolution der Schweiz: 30 Milliarden Franken-Initiative bis 2050

    Katrin Wagner

    Head of Investment Content Switzerland

    Die Schweiz startet bis 2050 eine Energie-Revolution im Umfang von 30 Milliarden Franken, die mit de...
  • „Die Schweizer Festung – 2026“

    Outrageous Predictions

    „Die Schweizer Festung – 2026“

    Erik Schafhauser

    Senior Relationship Manager

    Schweizer Wähler lehnen die EU-Verbindungen ab, stärken den Schweizer Franken und rufen die "Souverä...
  • Zusammenfassung: "Unfassbare Vorhersagen" 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Zusammenfassung: "Unfassbare Vorhersagen" 2026

    Saxo Group

    Saxo Group

  • Ein Fortune 500-Unternehmen ernennt eine KI zum CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    Ein Fortune 500-Unternehmen ernennt eine KI zum CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Trotz Bedenken verlaufen die Zwischenwahlen in den USA 2026 reibungslos

    Outrageous Predictions

    Trotz Bedenken verlaufen die Zwischenwahlen in den USA 2026 reibungslos

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Pekings goldener Yuan stellt Dollar-Dominanz in Frage

    Outrageous Predictions

    Pekings goldener Yuan stellt Dollar-Dominanz in Frage

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Adipositas-Medikamente für alle – auch für Haustiere

    Outrageous Predictions

    Adipositas-Medikamente für alle – auch für Haustiere

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Dumme KI löst Billionen-Dollar-Sanierung aus

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumme KI löst Billionen-Dollar-Sanierung aus

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Der Q-Day des revolutionären Quantensprungs kommt früher als erwartet, bringt die Kryptowährungen zum Absturz und destabilisiert die Finanzwelt

    Outrageous Predictions

    Der Q-Day des revolutionären Quantensprungs kommt früher als erwartet, bringt die Kryptowährungen zum Absturz und destabilisiert die Finanzwelt

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

  • SpaceX kündigt einen Börsengang an und belebt Märkte ausserhalb der Erde.

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX kündigt einen Börsengang an und belebt Märkte ausserhalb der Erde.

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

Dieser Inhalt ist Marketingmaterial.
 
Keine der auf dieser Website bereitgestellten Informationen stellt ein Angebot, eine Aufforderung oder eine Empfehlung zum Kauf oder Verkauf eines Finanzinstruments dar, noch ist es eine finanzielle, investitionsbezogene oder handelsspezifische Beratung. Die Saxo Bank Schweiz und ihre Einheiten innerhalb der Saxo Bank Gruppe bieten ausschliesslich Ausführungsdienste an, wobei alle Geschäfte und Investitionen auf selbstgesteuerten Entscheidungen basieren. Analyse-, Forschungs- und Bildungseinhalte dienen ausschliesslich Informationszwecken und sollten nicht als Beratung oder Empfehlung betrachtet werden.

Die Inhalte von Saxo Bank Schweiz können die persönlichen Ansichten des Autors widerspiegeln, die sich ohne vorherige Ankündigung ändern können. Erwähnungen spezifischer Finanzprodukte dienen nur zu Illustrationszwecken und können dazu beitragen, Themen der finanziellen Bildung zu verdeutlichen. Inhalte, die als Anlageforschung klassifiziert sind, sind Marketingmaterial und erfüllen nicht die gesetzlichen Anforderungen für unabhängige Forschung.

Die Saxo Bank Schweiz pflegt Partnerschaften mit Unternehmen, die Saxo Bank für Werbeaktivitäten auf ihrer Plattform entschädigen. Darüber hinaus hat die Saxo Bank Schweiz Vereinbarungen mit bestimmten Partnern, die Retrozessionen bieten, die davon abhängen, dass Kunden bestimmte von diesen Partnern angebotene Produkte erwerben.

Obwohl die Saxo Bank Schweiz aus diesen Partnerschaften eine Vergütung erhält, werden alle Bildungs- und Inspirationsinhalte mit der Absicht durchgeführt, den Kunden wertvolle Optionen und Informationen zu bieten.

Bevor Sie Anlageentscheidungen treffen, sollten Sie Ihre eigene finanzielle Situation, Bedürfnisse und Ziele bewerten und in Betracht ziehen, unabhängigen professionellen Rat einzuholen. Die Saxo Bank Schweiz garantiert nicht die Genauigkeit oder Vollständigkeit der bereitgestellten Informationen und übernimmt keine Haftung für Fehler, Auslassungen, Verluste oder Schäden, die aus der Nutzung dieser Informationen resultieren.

Der Inhalt dieser Website stellt Marketingmaterial dar und ist nicht das Ergebnis einer Finanzanalyse oder -forschung. Daher wurde es nicht gemäss den Richtlinien der Schweizerischen Bankiervereinigung zur Sicherstellung der Unabhängigkeit der Finanzanalyse erstellt und es besteht kein Verbot des Handels vor der Verbreitung des Marketingmaterials.

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Schweiz

Saxo kontaktieren

Schweiz
Schweiz

Wertschriftenhandel birgt Risiken. Die Verluste können die Einlagen auf Margin-Produkten übersteigen. Sie sollten verstehen wie unsere Produkte funktionieren und welche Risiken mit diesen einhergehen. Weiter sollten Sie abwägen, ob Sie es sich leisten können, ein hohes Risiko einzugehen, Ihr Geld zu verlieren. Um Ihnen das Verständnis der mit den entsprechenden Produkten verbundenen Risiken zu erleichtern, haben wir ein allgemeines Risikoaufklärungsdokument und eine Reihe von «Key Information Documents» (KIDs) zusammengestellt, in denen die mit jedem Produkt verbundenen Risiken und Chancen aufgeführt sind. Auf die KIDs kann über die Handelsplattform zugegriffen werden. Bitte beachten Sie, dass der vollständige Prospekt kostenlos über die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG oder den Emittenten bezogen werden kann.

Auf diese Website kann weltweit zugegriffen werden. Die Informationen auf der Website beziehen sich jedoch auf die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG. Alle Kunden werden direkt mit der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG zusammenarbeiten und alle Kundenvereinbarungen werden mit der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG  geschlossen und somit schweizerischem Recht unterstellt.

Der Inhalt dieser Website stellt Marketingmaterial dar und wurde keiner Aufsichtsbehörde gemeldet oder übermittelt.

Sofern Sie mit der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG Kontakt aufnehmen oder diese Webseite besuchen, nehmen Sie zur Kenntnis und akzeptieren, dass sämtliche Daten, welche Sie über diese Webseite, per Telefon oder durch ein anderes Kommunikationsmittel (z.B. E-Mail) der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG übermitteln, erfasst bzw. aufgezeichnet werden können, an andere Gesellschaften der Saxo Bank Gruppe oder Dritte in der Schweiz oder im Ausland übertragen und von diesen oder der Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG gespeichert oder anderweitig verarbeitet werden können. Sie befreien diesbezüglich die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG von ihren Verpflichtungen aus dem schweizerischen Bank- und Wertpapierhändlergeheimnis, und soweit gesetzlich zulässig, aus den Datenschutzgesetzen sowie anderen Gesetzen und Verpflichtungen zum Schutz der Privatsphäre. Die Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG hat angemessene technische und organisatorische Vorkehrungen getroffen, um diese Daten vor der unbefugten Verarbeitung und Offenlegung zu schützen und einen angemessenen Schutz dieser Daten zu gewährleisten.

Apple, iPad und iPhone sind Marken von Apple Inc., eingetragen in den USA und anderen Ländern. App Store ist eine Dienstleistungsmarke von Apple Inc.