Quarterly Outlook
Q3 Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Saxo Group
Healthcare is no longer just a matter of doctors, hospitals, and pharmaceuticals. It is becoming a high-stakes data and technology sector, where algorithms assist in diagnostics, robotic arms carry out surgeries, and patient records are secured through decentralised systems. These realities continue to reshape how care is delivered and where capital is moving.
Investors are watching this shift closely. From imaging tools trained on millions of scans to blockchain platforms ensuring patient data integrity, the digital transformation of healthcare is well underway. And as public systems struggle with rising costs, ageing populations, and workforce strain, demand for scalable tech-driven solutions is growing.
Healthcare systems are under increasing pressure. Ageing populations, rising rates of chronic disease, and widespread workforce shortages are straining capacity and resources. At the same time, costs are mounting, both for providers and for governments tasked with maintaining public health infrastructure.
Innovation is no longer a future-facing concern. It is becoming central to how modern health systems operate. Technologies that improve diagnostics, speed up treatment, and reduce administrative burdens are now essential. Tools that once belonged in research labs, like AI-enabled triage or predictive analytics, are now being deployed in hospitals and clinics.
From an investment perspective, this shift is opening up new growth areas. Companies offering scalable solutions to inefficiencies in care delivery, resource management, or clinical operations are gaining attention. The focus is shifting from pure scientific breakthroughs to practical, scalable solutions that help healthcare systems operate more efficiently.
Core areas of healthcare already incorporate artificial intelligence:
These tools are not theoretical; they are in active use.
AI is also accelerating the development of new medicines. Instead of testing thousands of potential drug formulas individually, machine learning can spot the most promising ones early by analysing vast amounts of data. This process helps companies move faster from lab research to actual patient trials, cutting costs and saving time.
Interest in companies using AI in diagnostics, early-stage research, patient engagement, and operational efficiency is growing. With cost pressures rising, any technology that supports faster decisions, better targeting, or lower error rates is being viewed as commercially strategic.
Robotics in healthcare is now widely used across hospitals for surgeries, rehabilitation, and even logistics. In operating rooms, robots assist with precision tasks in orthopaedics, cardiology, and urology, helping reduce blood loss, shorten recovery times, and improve accuracy in complex procedures.
Beyond surgery, robots support medication delivery, patient lifting, and guided physical therapy. Some hospitals also use automated systems to transport supplies and maintain hygiene, freeing up time for clinical staff.
Investor interest is growing in companies that offer both robotic hardware and supporting software. The focus isn’t just on surgical tools but also on robotics integrated with sensors, AI monitoring, and hospital IT systems.
However, scalability remains a challenge. Adoption of robotic technologies is more prevalent in well-funded urban centres, while factors such as cost, training requirements, and system integration pose obstacles in other regions.
Healthcare systems rely on trust between patients, providers, and insurers. Blockchain is being explored as a way to strengthen that trust by making data more secure, traceable, and harder to tamper with. Unlike traditional databases, blockchain records are time-stamped, encrypted, and distributed across a decentralised network, reducing the risk of unauthorised changes or data losses.
One of the most promising applications is in patient record management. Blockchain in healthcare enables accurate, permission-based sharing of medical data across hospitals, insurers, and clinics. In theory, patients can gain greater control over who accesses their medical data and for what duration, although the actual implementation in practice still varies.
Blockchain is also being tested to track pharmaceuticals through supply chains, helping verify drug authenticity and reduce fraud. In insurance and billing, smart contracts could streamline claims by automating approvals and reducing disputes, although adoption is still in its early stages.
While several startups and large healthcare players are piloting blockchain solutions, regulatory frameworks, cost, and system integration remain barriers to widespread use. Still, the potential for greater security and transparency is driving continued interest and investment.
Drug development has always carried high uncertainty. Most experimental treatments never make it past clinical trials, and even those that do often face delays or regulatory setbacks.
To address these challenges, biotech firms are increasingly leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to analyse molecular structures, predict protein folding, and identify potential drug targets. In clinical trials, AI aids in designing protocols, selecting suitable patient populations, and forecasting outcomes, thereby improving efficiency and reducing costs.
Pharmaceutical companies are also adopting digital infrastructure to manage large-scale data from genomics, electronic health records, and wearable devices. This enables more precise targeting of therapies, as well as better measurement of treatment outcomes.
Despite these advances, the industry continues to grapple with long development timelines, regulatory complexities, and intense competition. Still, investors are watching biotech firms that combine strong scientific research with advanced analytics and adaptive trial models.
The pace of healthcare innovation is accelerating, but its adoption is not keeping up. Even when technologies prove effective in trials, implementation often stalls once they reach hospitals or public systems. Several systemic barriers stand in the way:
Healthcare is one of the most tightly regulated sectors in the world, with oversight from bodies like the FDA, EMA, and national health agencies. While this protects patients, it also slows innovation. Many digital health tools and AI-based solutions don’t fit neatly into existing regulatory categories, creating ambiguity around approval pathways. As a result, companies often face long delays in getting to market, particularly when their products evolve faster than the regulatory frameworks that govern them.
As AI becomes more integrated into healthcare decision-making, questions of trust and accountability are becoming more urgent. Bias in training data, lack of transparency in algorithms, and unclear lines of responsibility raise ethical risks. Clinicians may hesitate to rely on AI outputs, while patients may resist care driven by opaque systems.
Hospitals and health systems often rely on legacy software and established workflows that are difficult to update. Integrating new tools can be time-consuming and costly. Procurement cycles are slow, retraining staff takes time, and technical integration isn’t always seamless. In many cases, institutional habits are the greatest obstacles.
Even the most promising healthcare technologies can’t scale if the broader ecosystem isn’t equipped to support them. Many markets face budget constraints, fragmented digital infrastructure, and misaligned incentives between payers, providers, and policymakers. These structural limitations—outside any single institution’s control—can make widespread adoption impossible, regardless of product quality or clinical need.
Healthtech adoption often depends on more than innovation alone. Public policy and funding play a decisive role in turning promising technologies into scalable solutions.
Governments in the US, UK, and EU are backing digital transformation through large-scale programmes:
These efforts create more stable demand and reduce investment risk by clarifying regulatory paths and encouraging adoption. Many also promote public–private partnerships, allowing companies to scale faster through institutional contracts.
Reimbursement models are evolving, too. More countries now support payments for virtual care, AI-supported diagnostics, and remote monitoring. This is helping turn pilot projects into long-term revenue streams.
For investors, tracking public funding and regulatory alignment is crucial. Policy shapes where and when adoption takes hold.
Healthcare is moving beyond hospitals and pharmaceuticals into a tech-driven sector. AI is improving diagnostics and accelerating drug discovery; robotics is advancing surgery and hospital logistics; and blockchain is strengthening data security and payment transparency.
This technological transformation is influencing investment flows, with digital health tools becoming integral components of healthcare infrastructure. While the sector growth will depend on policy alignment, clinical integration, and system readiness, we see a clear trajectory: these technologies are redefining how care is delivered, measured, and scaled.