How big data and digital transformation are changing the oil & gas industry

How big data and digital transformation are changing the oil & gas industry

Investment theme
Saxo Be Invested

Saxo Group

Oil production used to depend on geology, machinery, and luck. Today, it depends on big data. Machines are learning to detect faults before they happen; algorithms are adjusting pipeline flow in real time; and even drilling decisions are increasingly made with the help of artificial intelligence.

Companies that apply data more effectively are starting to lower costs and reduce downtime, two key factors in operational performance. And this shift is no longer experimental. The global digital transformation market in the oil and gas industry is projected to grow by USD 56.4 billion from 2025 to 2029, driven by investments and partnerships in AI and other technologies.

These changes are rewriting how oil is found, moved, refined, and sold, and they’re already shaping how capital flows into the sector.

Digital transformation in the oil and gas industry

Digital transformation in oil and gas means using modern technologies, such as automation, AI, and advanced data tools, to improve how oil is found, produced, moved, and refined. These changes are helping companies cut costs, reduce delays, and improve safety across operations.

The impact shows up differently depending on the part of the industry:

  • In exploration and drilling, companies now use software to map underground reserves more accurately and reduce drilling errors.
  • In transport and storage, sensors track pipelines and tank levels in real time, helping to prevent leaks or bottlenecks.
  • In refining and distribution, digital systems adjust production to meet demand more efficiently and with fewer emissions.

Companies that implement integrated data management systems, such as enterprise resource planning (ERP) and advanced analytics platforms, can respond faster to problems, reduce operational costs, and improve performance under pressure.

This matters for investors. Digitally advanced companies tend to run more efficiently, react better to price swings, and show clearer progress on sustainability. In an industry where costs, emissions, and public pressure are critical, digital performance is a signal of long-term resilience.

Environmental and employment impact of digital transition in the oil and gas industry

Digital tools are changing how the oil and gas sector manages its environmental footprint and workforce structure.

On the environmental front, technologies such as emission sensors, satellite monitoring, and AI modelling are helping companies detect methane leaks, measure flaring, and forecast carbon output more accurately. This supports compliance with stricter climate regulations and improves the consistency of ESG reporting.

Workforce dynamics are shifting as well. While automation reduces the need for certain manual tasks, it increases demand for technical roles in data management, remote operations, and cybersecurity. The oil and gas industry employs more than 12 million people globally, but the skill requirements are changing fast. This transformation favours companies that invest in training and digital infrastructure.

Digitalisation does not remove environmental or social risks. However, it creates better tools to track, reduce, and manage them in a more accountable way.

Benefits of investing in oil and gas

Despite market shifts and the push for renewables, oil and gas continue to attract capital. Investors are drawn to oil and gas investments for specific reasons:

Exposure to global energy demand

Oil remains central to transport, manufacturing, agriculture, and chemicals. Even with the growth of renewables, global oil consumption is still expected to rise until 2030. Investment in the sector offers exposure to long-term energy demand from both developed and emerging markets.

Strong dividend potential

Many oil and gas companies return significant profits to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. High free cash flow generation, especially from low-cost producers, supports steady payouts, even in cyclical downturns. This income profile appeals to investors who want regular returns.

Inflation hedging

Oil has historically acted as a hedge against inflation. When prices rise, energy costs tend to rise with them, lifting revenues for producers. Holding exposure to oil-linked assets can help preserve purchasing power during inflationary periods.

Supply-driven pricing cycles

Unlike many industries where oversupply pushes prices downward, oil markets are often shaped by cartel-like behaviour (e.g., OPEC+) and production cuts. This introduces a unique dynamic where disciplined supply control can protect prices and producer margins.

Operational efficiency gains from digital transformation

Digitally enabled firms are able to reduce downtime, cut costs, and improve safety. Those that invest early in automation, AI, and analytics often display better capital discipline and resilience, which translates into stronger fundamentals over time.

Low correlation to tech-heavy equity indices

Oil and gas stocks often perform independently of broader market trends. In periods where growth equities lag, especially during interest rate hikes or stagflation, oil producers may outperform, offering useful diversification in a portfolio.

Key structural risks for the future of oil and gas

The oil and gas industry faces long-term risks that extend beyond market cycles. These include:

Geopolitical exposure and policy interference

Energy supply security is closely tied to political stability. Many oil and gas reserves are situated in regions prone to diplomatic or military conflicts. For instance, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has disrupted European gas supplies, leading to price spikes and prompting a reevaluation of energy dependencies. Such geopolitical events can result in abrupt regulatory changes and infrastructure threats, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.

Regulatory uncertainty and climate-driven mandates

Governments are imposing stricter carbon disclosure requirements and transition frameworks. These new rules affect financing, reporting obligations, and the future viability of upstream projects. Delays in permitting or inconsistency in cross-border policy alignment can reduce capital efficiency and complicate long-term planning. As a result, the political impact on the oil and gas industry now includes climate-linked financial risk, not just taxation or licensing issues.

Persistent oil price volatility

The oil and gas sector is characterised by significant price fluctuations, influenced by factors such as OPEC+ production decisions, futures market speculation, demand shocks, and broader economic shifts. While digital tools enhance forecasting and risk management, they cannot eliminate the inherent volatility. Investors must be prepared for both substantial gains and sharp downturns, particularly during global crises or periods of financial tightening.

Global supply chain fragility

Despite advancements in digital technologies, the oil and gas supply chain remains susceptible to disruptions. Infrastructure bottlenecks, port delays, and concentrated supplier networks can lead to operational inefficiencies and cost volatility. Events like hurricanes impacting Gulf Coast refineries exemplify how physical risks can disrupt supply chains, regardless of digital monitoring capabilities.

Cybersecurity and digital risk

As more systems come online, digital transformation introduces new vulnerabilities. A growing share of control systems, production sites, and trading platforms now depend on connected infrastructure. While these systems improve efficiency, they also widen the attack surface. The consequences of a breach, whether a pipeline shutdown or manipulation of pricing data, are increasingly systemic and costly.

Digital transformation matters for long-term oil and gas exposure

The oil and gas sector has always been shaped by physical limits—geology, geopolitics, and capital costs. But now, performance increasingly depends on how well companies use data to reduce downtime, cut emissions, and protect margins when conditions change fast.

Investors are paying closer attention to how companies operate, not just what they produce. Those with stronger digital capabilities tend to react faster, manage costs more effectively, and stay more stable when market conditions turn. In a sector that faces both volatility and transformation, that difference matters.

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Outrageous Predictions

    China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Having created history’s most epic debt bubble, China boldly bets that fiscal stimulus to the tune o...

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900 Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.