Saxo Group
Summary: For many traders, especially for beginners, poor position sizing is often the root cause to poor trading performance. By mathematically calculating a proper position size for the trade, you're able to better control risk and maximize returns on the risk taken.
Position sizing refers to the ideal number of units invested in a security given your 1) account risk and 2) trade risk. While many traders determine order sizes randomly, calculating proper position sizing will help you control drawdown risk if your bet goes against you, and optimize profits if your trade idea materializes. Traders should calculate their ideal position sizing using an informed and strategic methodology – rather than letting the gut feeling influencing their decision making.
The first step towards applying appropriate position sizing is to determine your account risk. Typically, this is expressed as a percentage of your entire account value (cash at hand + invested money). A rule of thumb among retail traders is to use no more than 2% of your account value, meaning you’re never putting more than 2% of your account value at risk.
For instance, if you got an account value of USD 100,000 (80,000 in cash and 20,000 in securities), you should not risk more than USD 2,000 on any given trade.
The advantage of applying the 2% rule is that if you’re strictly adhere to it, you would have to make dozens of consecutive 2% losing trades in order to lose the money in your account.
Bear in mind that the 2%-rule is just one way of determining your account risk. You should pick any percentage you’re comfortable with, as for instance 1%. You can learn more about determining your account risk by using the 2%-rule here.
Following determining the account risk, you need to identify where to place your stop-loss for the given trade. If you’re trading shares, the trade risk is the distance between the entry-price and the stop-loss price.
For instance, if you’re planning to buy Microsoft at USD 250 and place a stop-loss at USD 230, your trade risk is USD 20 per share.
One way to determine stop-loss levels is to use the average true range method, which you can read more about here.
Ideal position size
The ideal position size per trade is calculated by dividing the account risk by the trade size. In our Microsoft example, this equals USD 2000/USD 20 = 100. In other words, given your account value and stop-loss level, you can buy 100 Microsoft shares to make sure you’re not losing more than 2% of your total capital.
2024: The wasted year
Markets are driven by election optimism, overshadowing growing debt and liquidity concerns. The 2024 elections loom large, but economic fundamentals and debt issues warrant cautious investment.
As US economic slowdown hints at a shift away from exceptionalism, USD faces downside with looming Fed cuts. AUD and NZD set to outperform as their rate cuts lag. JPY gains on carry unwind bets and BOJ pivot.
Amid AI and obesity drug excitement, equities see varied prospects: neutral on overvalued US stocks, negative on Japan due to JPY risks, positive on Europe. European defence stocks gain appeal.
With the economic slowdown, quality assets will gain favour, especially sovereign bonds up to 5 years. Central banks' potential rate cuts in Q2 suggest extending duration, despite policy and inflation concerns.
Commodities poised for rebound. The "Year of the Metal" boosts gold and silver, copper awaits rate cuts. Grains may recover, natural gas stabilises. Gold targets $2,300-$2,500/oz, copper's breakout could signal growth.
Markets are driven by election optimism, overshadowing growing debt and liquidity concerns. The 2024 elections loom large, but economic fundamentals and debt issues warrant cautious investment.
As US economic slowdown hints at a shift away from exceptionalism, USD faces downside with looming Fed cuts. AUD and NZD set to outperform as their rate cuts lag. JPY gains on carry unwind bets and BOJ pivot.
Amid AI and obesity drug excitement, equities see varied prospects: neutral on overvalued US stocks, negative on Japan due to JPY risks, positive on Europe. European defence stocks gain appeal.
With the economic slowdown, quality assets will gain favour, especially sovereign bonds up to 5 years. Central banks' potential rate cuts in Q2 suggest extending duration, despite policy and inflation concerns.
Commodities poised for rebound. The "Year of the Metal" boosts gold and silver, copper awaits rate cuts. Grains may recover, natural gas stabilises. Gold targets $2,300-$2,500/oz, copper's breakout could signal growth.
