Podcast - We have crossed the geopolitical Rubicon
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we discuss the fresh market deleveraging triggered by Russian President Putin's recognition of the self-proclaimed republics carved out of eastern Ukraine, a move that was preceded by belligerent rhetoric that suggests that we have severed any chance at a diplomatic approach to the situation from here. The next critical step will be the nature of the sanctions from the US, the EU and UK and the degree to which these feed any further disruption for Russia-exposed entities and for the oil price. Elsewhere, we look at rising credit spreads, key equity stories and the focus on Europe and particularly Germany with the current geopolitical backdrop and more. Today's pod features Althea Spinozzi on fixed income, Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.