Podcast - The fog of geopolitical tensions
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we look at the latest attempt by the market to piece together a rally on the hopes that a Biden-Putin summit is in the works, while wondering what could be discussed that hasn't already been in any new talks and generally bemoaning the scale of noise in the current situation over Ukraine relative to the signal. Elsewhere, earnings season marches on, but largely winds down this week. We maintain a very defensive stance here as we await further developments, with the Fed even able to surprise on the hawkish side again if it would like to as the market has unwound most of its expectations for a 50-basis point lift-off at the March FOMC meeting.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.