Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
BEL20 bounced from 3,500 support. Trend is down however and will remain so until a close above 3,767. If BEL retreats and closes below 3,638 bear trend is likely to resume and a re-test of the 3,500 key level is likely. RSI is showing negative sentiment and no divergence indicating lower levels are likely
CAC40 bounced from support at 6,031 and is testing minor resistance at 6,304. A close above and CAC could move higher to test the key resistance at 6,450.
If CAC slips back below 4,200 the support at 6,031 is likely to be tested once again. If that plays out the support is quite likely broken and July lows at 5,786 is likely to be tested.
RSI showing bearish sentiment and no divergence supports the bearish outlook.