Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank
This week the entire crypto market cap fell 9% to just under $270 billion. Similarly, Bitcoin fell by 7% after rising for the previous two weeks. Ethereum outpaced Bitcoin and the general market by falling 10% over the last week. The market is likely consolidating after a strong two-week rally. Keep in mind that the overall market trend is currently to the downside.
SEC rejects Winklevoss ETF proposal
Last week the SEC denied the Winklevoss brothers' second attempt to bring a Bitcoin ETF to market. The brothers, who are famous for their early involvement in Facebook, are no strangers to rejection from the SEC with the previous attempt failing in March of last year. This application was one of many ETFs awaiting a decision from the SEC. The market is waiting for a decision on the VanEck SolidX Bitcoin Trust that is backed by Cboe, which some believe has the best chance of being approved of any of the outstanding applications.
Galaxy Digital will begin trading today
The cryptocurrency firm Galaxy Digital run by billionaire investor Mike Novogratz, formerly of Goldman Sachs, is set to trade August 1 on the TSX Venture Exchange. The firm will join a host of publicly traded companies listed on the Canadian exchange that offer exposure to the cryptocurrency markets. The firm sold shares at CAD $5 apiece in January around the peak of the cryptocurrency market. It will be interesting to see at what price the shares trade at the market open.
Bitmain made $1bn in profit in one quarter
The largest bitcoin mining operator and hardware provider made more than $1bn of profit in the first quarter of this year despite the down market. In a leaked email, the term sheet for a proposed IPO stated that the company has almost surpassed its total 2017 profit in the first quarter of 2018. A conservative estimate puts profits at $2-3bn for 2018. Additionally, Bitmain will look to file for an IPO soon with a valuation multiple similar to chipmakers like NVidia and AMD.
2024: The wasted year
Markets are driven by election optimism, overshadowing growing debt and liquidity concerns. The 2024 elections loom large, but economic fundamentals and debt issues warrant cautious investment.
As US economic slowdown hints at a shift away from exceptionalism, USD faces downside with looming Fed cuts. AUD and NZD set to outperform as their rate cuts lag. JPY gains on carry unwind bets and BOJ pivot.
Amid AI and obesity drug excitement, equities see varied prospects: neutral on overvalued US stocks, negative on Japan due to JPY risks, positive on Europe. European defence stocks gain appeal.
With the economic slowdown, quality assets will gain favour, especially sovereign bonds up to 5 years. Central banks' potential rate cuts in Q2 suggest extending duration, despite policy and inflation concerns.
Commodities poised for rebound. The "Year of the Metal" boosts gold and silver, copper awaits rate cuts. Grains may recover, natural gas stabilises. Gold targets $2,300-$2,500/oz, copper's breakout could signal growth.
Markets are driven by election optimism, overshadowing growing debt and liquidity concerns. The 2024 elections loom large, but economic fundamentals and debt issues warrant cautious investment.
As US economic slowdown hints at a shift away from exceptionalism, USD faces downside with looming Fed cuts. AUD and NZD set to outperform as their rate cuts lag. JPY gains on carry unwind bets and BOJ pivot.
Amid AI and obesity drug excitement, equities see varied prospects: neutral on overvalued US stocks, negative on Japan due to JPY risks, positive on Europe. European defence stocks gain appeal.
With the economic slowdown, quality assets will gain favour, especially sovereign bonds up to 5 years. Central banks' potential rate cuts in Q2 suggest extending duration, despite policy and inflation concerns.
Commodities poised for rebound. The "Year of the Metal" boosts gold and silver, copper awaits rate cuts. Grains may recover, natural gas stabilises. Gold targets $2,300-$2,500/oz, copper's breakout could signal growth.
