Outrageous Predictions
Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026
Saxo Group
Saxo Group
Many people who have never invested reach a point where investing feels out of reach. Years spent focusing on work, bills, or family responsibilities can make it seem as if the best window has already closed for them. The idea of building wealth later in life feels uncertain, and the noise around compounding or market timing often deepens that doubt.
However, starting later may still be appropriate for some people, depending on their financial position, goals, time horizon, liquidity needs, and tolerance for loss. A later start usually means less time to recover from market downturns, so the investment plan needs to be realistic about contributions, costs and risk.
“Too late” is less about age alone and more about whether investing fits your time horizon, cash flow, liquidity needs and ability to take risk. These practical factors can help determine whether starting to invest is realistic:
If you still have at least a few years before you’ll need to draw on your money, you may have time to invest, depending on risk tolerance and goals. Even a 10-year window may allow investment growth to compound, but outcomes depend on market returns, fees, inflation and the asset mix. Shorter horizons usually require more emphasis on liquidity and lower-volatility assets rather than growth exposure.
Regular income, including from part-time or freelance work, can make contributions easier to maintain and may reduce the need to sell investments unexpectedly. If your cash flow comfortably covers essential expenses, investing may still be realistic, depending on goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon.
Many people keep an emergency fund (often around three to six months’ expenses) to reduce the risk of forced selling. Without it, unexpected costs may increase the risk of selling investments during unfavourable market conditions.
Age influences risk appetite but doesn’t dictate it. What matters is whether you can tolerate short-term market swings without abandoning your plan. If volatility causes you anxiety, some people choose a more conservative mix of assets rather than avoiding markets entirely (the right mix depends on circumstances).
Regular contributions could help create a habit and reduce reliance on choosing a single entry point. They do not guarantee better returns, but they can make an investment plan easier to maintain.
Age affects your time horizon, liquidity needs and ability to take risks. Each stage brings different priorities, so investing decisions should be assessed against your personal circumstances rather than age alone.
Let’s look at different age groups:
At 30, many investors still have a long time horizon before retirement. Some may choose higher equity exposure through diversified funds because they may offer more time to recover from downturns, but the right level of risk depends on your goals, income stability, and tolerance for losses.
At 35, many people have larger financial commitments, such as housing, family costs or career changes. A higher income may allow for larger contributions, but regular investing still needs to be balanced against your debt, emergency savings, and other priorities.
At 40, many investors balance competing goals such as growing savings, paying off debt, supporting family needs and planning for children or retirement. At that age, some keep growth exposure while placing more emphasis on liquidity and downside risk.
At 45, retirement planning may become more prominent. Some investors review whether they can increase contributions through pension or tax-advantaged accounts where available, while also reassessing risk exposure and liquidity needs. Rules vary by country.
At 50, some investors place more emphasis on drawdown planning, managing volatility and reviewing future income needs. Dividend-paying assets or tax-advantaged accounts may be relevant in some cases, but dividends are not guaranteed, tax treatment varies by country and equity exposure should reflect your time horizon and capacity for loss rather than age alone.
Note: Dividends are not guaranteed and can be cut. Also, equity exposure should be aligned to your time horizon and capacity for loss, not age alone.
At 60, many people prioritise liquidity and withdrawal planning while maintaining some growth exposure where appropriate.
When withdrawals are close, sequence-of-returns risk becomes more important because early losses can affect how long assets last. Cash or short-term bond buffers may reduce the need to sell growth assets during downturns, although they do not remove market or inflation risk entirely
Note: When withdrawals are close, returns early in retirement can have an outsized impact on outcomes (sequence-of-returns risk). Holding a cash or short-term bond buffer and planning withdrawals can help manage this.
There is no single moment that fits every investor. Before investing, many people review their goals, time horizon, cash buffer, debt and ability to take risks.
Investors usually start by defining what the money is for and when it may be needed. Goals with shorter timelines, such as a home purchase, usually require more liquidity and lower-volatility assets, while longer-term goals may allow more market exposure.
Keep an emergency fund separate from your investments. This cash buffer may reduce the need to sell investments when unexpected expenses arise.
Debt with high interest rates can compound quickly and may outweigh the expected return from investing, especially after fees and taxes. Paying it off before investing may free up cash flow and reduce your financial stress.
Regular, automatic investing may make contributions easier to maintain. Fixed monthly contributions can reduce reliance on choosing a single market entry point.
Many investors use diversified, low-cost funds (such as broad index funds or ETFs) to spread risk, though suitability depends on objectives and risk tolerance.
Markets shift, and so does your portfolio’s risk. An annual or semi-annual review may help investors assess whether their allocations still align with their goals and risk tolerance.
Investing at any age depends on whether the structure fits the investor’s goals, timeframe, liquidity needs and risk tolerance. Consistency can help maintain the plan, but it does not replace the need to review risk and affordability.
When markets move sharply, many people hesitate, afraid to invest just before a fall. The truth is that it’s difficult to time the markets, and, as a result, you can never be sure about when it’s the best time to invest.
So, whenever you have this concern, you may want to consider one of these two approaches:
Lump-sum investing means investing the full amount at once. It may increase time in the market, but it also exposes the full amount to immediate market movements, so short-term outcomes can be negative. Whether this approach is appropriate depends on your time horizon, risk tolerance, cash needs and objectives.
Phased investing means spreading your investment across monthly or quarterly instalments. This approach, often called cost averaging, can reduce reliance on a single entry point and may feel easier for investors concerned about short-term volatility. Depending on price paths, it may lower the average entry cost, but not in all markets.
Investing later in life can still be realistic for some people, but a shorter time horizon leaves less room for avoidable errors.
Common mistakes include:
Trying to predict the ideal moment to enter the market often results in inaction. Waiting also reduces the time available for any positive returns to compound. Many investors focus first on whether their financial base is ready rather than whether the market feels calm.
Switching funds or strategies based only on recent results can increase the risk of buying after prices have risen and selling after they have fallen. A consistent process may help reduce reactive decisions.
High management or trading fees reduce net returns. Lower-cost funds or ETFs may reduce fee drag, but product choice should still be assessed alongside risk, exposure and investment objective.
Many late starters stick to cash because they fear volatility. Over long periods, cash returns may lag inflation, especially after tax, though this varies by interest-rate environment and jurisdiction. Some equity exposure may help address inflation risk over longer periods, but equities can fall in value and may not be appropriate for short horizons.
Relying on one region, sector, or fund can increase concentration risk. Diversification may reduce reliance on a single market or theme, although it does not prevent losses.
Investing without periodic reviews can cause portfolios to drift from their intended allocation. A review once or twice a year may help investors check whether their allocations still align with their goals and risk tolerance.
Starting later does not automatically rule out investing, but it usually leaves less time for markets to recover and for compounding to work. The priority is to match any investment plan to your time horizon, cash needs, debt, emergency savings and tolerance for loss.
Regular contributions, diversified exposure and periodic reviews may help you build a more structured plan, but the right approach depends on personal circumstances, and outcomes remain uncertain, especially when the investment horizon is short.