Quarterly Outlook
Q4 Outlook for Investors: Diversify like it’s 2025 – don’t fall for déjà vu
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Saxo Group
In your 50s, it’s natural to shift focus from growing your wealth as much as possible, to making what you’ve saved so far work harder for you. You’ve most likely built a solid base through work, saving and experience, and retirement is now close enough to plan for in practical terms. The aim now is to keep your money productive while managing the risks that could disrupt your progress.
This decade can often bring competing priorities: supporting children, caring for ageing parents, paying down the mortgage, and planning for life after work. So make sure to check the essentials: a clear view of your net worth, an emergency buffer, manageable debt, and the right insurance. From there, invest with a structure that matches your timeframe and income needs, so short-term market moves don’t derail long-term plans.
In this guide, we’ll help you check the basics, set a clear investment structure for your timeframe and income needs, and avoid common mistakes—so you can make steady, informed progress towards retirement.
Before fine-tuning your investments, check that your financial base is secure. Focus on the following essentials:
These checkpoints help you identify where you stand and what adjustments are needed before focusing on portfolio growth.
In your 50s, your strategy should shift from aggressive accumulation to structured, risk-aware growth. Your portfolio should aim to generate returns but must also protect against volatility that could undermine years of progress.
The following strategies can help you maintain that balance:
Define a target mix between equities, bonds, and cash that reflects your shorter time horizon and income needs. A common range for investors in their 50s is 50–65% in equities, with the rest in fixed income and cash equivalents, but the right mix depends on risk tolerance, time to retirement and guaranteed income sources. Revisit this mix yearly to keep it aligned with both your risk tolerance and upcoming life milestones.
Divide your portfolio by time horizon: one bucket for near-term spending (cash and short bonds), one for medium-term stability (balanced funds), and one for long-term growth (equities). This structure helps provide liquidity for upcoming needs while keeping part of your capital compounding beyond retirement.
Consider maintaining two to five years of essential expenses in low-volatility assets like cash or short-term bonds, adjusting for guaranteed income, spending flexibility and total portfolio size. This buffer protects you from selling growth investments during market downturns, preserving long-term returns when early losses would be hardest to recover from.
Check your allocations once or twice a year and rebalance when they drift from your targets. This prevents overexposure to recent winners and keeps your portfolio’s risk consistent through different market cycles.
Take advantage of higher savings limits after age 50 by increasing your contributions to pension or tax-advantaged accounts. Redirect salary increases, bonuses, or freed cash flow from paid-off loans to raise your investment rate steadily without lifestyle restrictions.
Focus on companies or funds with a record of sustainable dividend increases. Dividend-growth strategies aim to provide a rising income stream and have at times held up better in volatile markets, though performance varies and sector tilts can add risks.
At this stage of your life, you should have enough growth to preserve your purchasing power and enough stability to protect what you’ve built. The focus shifts from maximising returns to building a diversified portfolio of reliable, income-producing, and inflation-resilient assets.
Here are some investment options you can consider:
Equities still drive long-term returns, but selectivity matters. Choose global or regional ETFs that focus on companies with consistent profitability, strong free cash flow, and moderate valuation ratios. Funds tracking quality or dividend-growth indices can help you maintain exposure to growth without excessive risk.
Bond exposure can help stabilise performance and generally provides more predictable income than equities, though values and distributions can still fluctuate. Prefer high-quality government or corporate bond ETFs with shorter maturities to reduce interest-rate sensitivity. These instruments are easy to access and can serve as part of your income reserve.
Dividend ETFs and mutual funds focusing on established payers in sectors such as healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples can provide regular cash flow while retaining capital growth potential. Reinvesting dividends through accumulation share classes supports steady compounding.
Inflation-linked government bonds or ETFs indexed to consumer prices can help you protect your real returns. Including a measured allocation can ensure that your future income keeps pace with rising living costs.
Listed infrastructure and clean-energy ETFs often offer exposure to assets with long-term revenue contracts and, in some cases, inflation-linked cash flows, but revenues can be sensitive to regulation, demand and financing costs. These options provide diversification from traditional equities and may benefit from structural investment trends.
For investors who prefer simplicity, multi-asset or target-date funds can automatically manage diversification and risk reduction as retirement approaches. These professionally managed options rebalance across asset classes, reducing the need for manual oversight, but glide paths and risk levels vary by provider and series.
Consider keeping liquidity for short-term goals in high-yield savings accounts (typically deposit-protected, subject to scheme limits) or money-market funds (investments that can fluctuate and may impose liquidity fees or gates). These options are easy to access and aim to preserve capital while offering modest returns.
Starting to invest at 50 still gives you enough time to build lasting wealth. What matters most is consistency and direction.
Here’s how to make progress from this stage:
Try to save around 20–30% of your income if possible. Each time your salary rises or expenses fall, add a little more to your monthly investment amount. Gradual increases compound faster than large, irregular contributions.
Combine your old pensions, workplace plans or investment accounts that are hard to track or come with high fees, but check for guaranteed benefits, exit fees and potential tax consequences before transferring. Fewer accounts mean better oversight, clearer allocation, and less duplication of assets.
Money from bonuses, side income, or property sales can speed up your progress. Instead of keeping it idle, divide it into several smaller investments over a few months. This spreads out your entry price and reduces the risk of poor timing.
After turning 50, most national pension schemes and retirement accounts allow larger yearly deposits. For example, some workplace plans and private pensions let you contribute thousands more each year. These higher limits help you build retirement savings faster and benefit from extra tax reliefs.
Avoid stopping or reducing your contributions when the markets are volatile. Continuing regular investments allows you to buy at lower prices when markets dip, as well as benefit when they recover.
Retirement is no longer a distant concept in your 50s. Planning now means turning your assets into a future income stream that can sustain your lifestyle for decades.
Here’s how to build a structure that supports financial independence:
Estimate when you want to stop working and how much you’ll need to maintain your lifestyle. Include everyday expenses, travel, healthcare, and one-off goals. Knowing your target age and cost base helps you decide how much more to save and how aggressively to invest.
Set aside a few years of essential expenses in cash or short-term bonds before your final working year. This “income runway” covers the early years of retirement and protects you from having to sell investments during market downturns.
Run scenarios for market declines, inflation surges, or early retirement. Adjust savings rates, spending, or asset allocation if the plan doesn’t hold up. It’s easier to make small corrections now than large sacrifices later.
Healthcare often becomes one of the most significant expenses after retirement. Review public and private coverage options, and consider setting aside a dedicated healthcare fund or insurance product if available in your country.
Review wills, pension beneficiaries, and powers of attorney (POA). Make sure these reflect your current wishes and dependents. Keeping your documents up to date prevents complications and ensures your wealth is passed on as intended.
Once you’ve built structure into your investments, the next challenge is protecting it. Small missteps can carry greater weight now, especially with less time to recover losses. Below are the most frequent mistakes people make in their 50s — and how to avoid them:
A sharp market drop early in retirement can have lasting effects on your income stability. Without a reserve of safer assets, you may need to sell investments at a loss to cover expenses. Holding two to five years of essential spending in cash or short-term bonds helps absorb volatility and protect long-term returns.
Many investors shift too heavily toward bonds or high-dividend funds too soon. This reduces long-term growth and leaves portfolios exposed to inflation. Keep a balanced mix that still includes quality equities for capital appreciation.
Poor withdrawal sequencing can trigger avoidable taxes and shorten the life of your savings. Plan which accounts to tap first based on local tax rules and your circumstances; the optimal order varies between taxable, tax-deferred and tax-free accounts.
Medical expenses and longer life expectancy can drain savings faster than expected. Set aside funds for potential long-term care needs or review insurance options while premiums are still affordable.
Outdated wills, beneficiary designations, or powers of attorney can create costly complications later. Review your estate plan regularly to keep it aligned with your current circumstances and family needs.
A new home, inheritance, or early retirement decision can alter your entire risk profile. Reassess your portfolio when circumstances shift, not just on a fixed schedule.
In your 50s, the priority is matching your investments to your timeframe and income needs, and managing what you’ve saved so it continues to support your long-term goals. With a clear view of your spending, an allocation that balances growth and stability, and a sensible cash buffer, you give yourself room to make considered decisions rather than react to short-term market moves.
Focus on what you can control—how much you save, how you manage risk, and how you plan to turn your assets into dependable income when the time comes. Taking these steps can help you enter the next stage with fewer surprises and more flexibility, keeping you in control as retirement comes into view.