APAC Global Macro Morning Brief – Happy Macro Tue 12 Nov 2019: Stay In The Game APAC Global Macro Morning Brief – Happy Macro Tue 12 Nov 2019: Stay In The Game APAC Global Macro Morning Brief – Happy Macro Tue 12 Nov 2019: Stay In The Game

APAC Global Macro Morning Brief – Happy Macro Tue 12 Nov 2019: Stay In The Game

Macro 1 minute to read
Kay Van-Petersen

Global Macro Strategist

Summary:  Morning APAC Global Macro & Cross-Asset Snapshot

(Note that these are solely the views & opinions of KVP, they do not constitute any trade or investment recommendations of any kind.)

To see this wk’s Macro Monday click here

APAC Global Macro Morning Brief


Happy Macro Tue 12 Nov 2019: Stay In The Game


So the US gets fully back in today, post Monday’s Veterans day. Overnight sessions was dominated by risk-off sentiment, which was likely a combination of profit taking from last wk, US/CH trade jitters & escalations on the streets of HK

With all that said, US equity futures bounced from the lows, c. -0.50% at one point before finishing -0.10% for the sessions – neither here nor there

Early days this Tues Asia Morning but we are a touch lower at -0.10% on US equity futures, and up to -0.35% on ASX futures, however the Nikkei & Hang Seng are looking up at +0.26% & +0.70% - the latter, likely a technical bounce after pulling back -2.6% yesterday

And just for context, people were being sent home from work across businesses in HK for their safety – so going c. + 5months of protests, the level of conflict is increasing. Its tough to see things changing for the better anytime soon

At the end of the day, this is a structural social imbalance problem, a massive concentration of wealth in the hands of the few – which is by itself is not necessarily bad – yet at the expense of where the many, have little to no options available to them from a housing, working & living perspective – which is obviously unacceptable for a long-term functioning society

The extradition bill, was just the proverbial straw on the camel’s back on what has been brewing for years

And the fascinating (& sad… yet perhaps long-term good) thing is we are seeing this across the globe, Trump, Brexit, Argentina, Chile, Europe… not trying to say all these places are the same, nor justifying violence by any means... yet its this breaking down of the "social contract" – where its quite clear that whilst there was a lot of growth & low fruit in the system, policy makers & officials could coast along, yet it’s a very different world we live in today

The countries & societies that will thrive, will be those that will be proactive on these structural challenges

As very successful & wealthy individual once told me, what’s the point of being rich if you need an armoured car to take you from one heavily guarded location to another heavily guarded location - you may as well live in a jail 


New overnight that Nigel Farage will focus on labor instead of Tories (& not contest seats in the election for the Brexit Party), puts some fuel in cable's rockets, as we jumped +0.63% to 1.2855. To be honest these are likely crosses that see a lot more sterling strength. 

Have a brilliant day & watch out for FOMC’s Clarida today 18:30 SGT (05:30 ET) as he may give some hints on Powell’s testimony on the economy later this wk




  • AU: NAB Business Confidence
  • NZ: Inflation Expectations Q/Q 1.86%p
  • JP: 30y bond auction, preliminary machine tool orders
  • US: NFIB Small Business Index, Mortgage Delinquencies
    • FOMC’s Clarida @ 18:30 SGT (05:30 ET)




The Saxo Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-sg/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments. Saxo Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Capital Markets or its affiliates.

Saxo Markets
88 Market Street
CapitaSpring #31-01
Singapore 048948

Contact Saxo

Select region


Saxo Capital Markets Pte Ltd ('Saxo Markets') is a company authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) [Co. Reg. No.: 200601141M ] and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms & Risk Warning to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products such as Margin FX products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo Markets does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-sg/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.