ChatGPT Image May 19 2026 123500 PM

Berkshire's Q1 portfolio shifts: Buffett's principles, Abel's playbook

Charu Chanana
Charu Chanana

Chief Investment Strategist

Key points:

  • Berkshire’s Q1 2026 13F showed a more active and focused portfolio, with a major increase in Alphabet, new exposure to Delta Air Lines, and exits from several large names including Amazon, UnitedHealth, Visa and Mastercard.

  • The early Abel playbook does not look like a rejection of Buffett’s principles. It looks more like an update: value investing applied to a market where technology platforms now carry the cash flow, scale and moat characteristics that old-economy franchises once dominated.

  • For investors, the message is not to copy the filing. It is to understand the signal: Big Tech is becoming core market infrastructure, but the next phase of the AI trade will likely reward selectivity, cash-flow discipline and valuation awareness.


Key Berkshire changes in Q1 2026

Berkshire Hathaway’s latest 13F was especially closely watched because it was the first major quarterly filing under Greg Abel’s leadership. Berkshire remains Berkshire: concentrated, patient and cash-flow focused. But the latest reshuffle also suggests that the portfolio may be adapting to a market where technology is no longer just a growth sector — it is part of the economy’s operating system.

Additions and increases

HoldingTickerApprox. value added / position value% changeWhy it matters
AlphabetGOOGL / GOOGPosition increased to around $16.6bnMore than tripledThe most important signal. Berkshire appears more willing to own dominant digital platforms when the moat, cash flow and valuation case align.
Delta Air LinesDALNew position of around $2.65bnNew holdingSuggests selective interest in travel and consumer resilience, although airlines remain exposed to fuel prices and economic slowdowns.
LennarLEN / LEN.BAdded roughly $270mn, taking the position to around $897mnClass A +43%; Class B +31%Adds a housing-cycle angle to the portfolio. It suggests Berkshire is still willing to own cyclical, rate-sensitive businesses when valuations look attractive.
Macy’sMNew position of around $55mnNew holdingSmall in Berkshire terms, but notable as a selective consumer/retail bet. The size suggests it is more of a watch item than a major portfolio signal.
New York TimesNYTStake more than doubledMore than doubledA smaller but interesting signal around subscription-based media and durable consumer relationships.
Overall portfolioU.S.-listed equity portfolio value fell to around $263bn, from around $274bn at end-2025Berkshire was still a net seller of equities, so this was not a broad risk-on shift. It was a reshuffle, not a buying spree.

Complete exits: biggest names first

Berkshire’s full exits were broad, but the largest ones deserve the most attention. The exit from Visa and Mastercard stands out because both have historically been viewed as high-quality compounders. The exit from UnitedHealth adds to the sense of portfolio clean-up, while Amazon is smaller in dollar terms but symbolically important given the shift toward Alphabet.

HoldingTickerApprox. value exited% changeWhy it matters
VisaV$2.71bn-100%Biggest full exit; notable because of Visa’s quality and payments moat.
MastercardMA$2.14bn-100%Major payments exit alongside Visa.
UnitedHealth GroupUNH$1.50bn-100%Large healthcare exit amid stock-specific and regulatory overhangs.
Domino’s PizzaDPZ$1.32bn-100%One of the biggest consumer exits.
AonAON$1.22bn-100%Large exit from insurance and professional services exposure.
Pool CorpPOOL$668mn-100%Meaningful full exit from a cyclical consumer/housing-linked business.
AmazonAMZN$505mn-100%Smaller by Berkshire standards, but symbolically important given the Big Tech angle.
HEICOHEIA$301mn-100%Exit from aerospace-linked exposure.
Liberty Formula OneFWONK$275mn-100%Full exit from a tracking-stock/media exposure.
Charter CommunicationsCHTR$234mn-100%Full exit from cable and connectivity exposure.
Lamar AdvertisingLAMR$152mn-100%Full exit from advertising and outdoor media exposure.
AllegionALLE$119mn-100%Full exit from security products exposure.
Liberty Latin America CLILA$19mn-100%Smaller full exit.
DiageoDEO$18mn-100%Small position fully exited.
Liberty Latin America ALILAK$11mn-100%Smaller full exit.
Atlanta Braves HoldingsBATRK$5mn-100%Small but complete exit.

Reductions, not exits

These trims are also important, but they should be read differently from the full exits. Chevron was the biggest reduction by value, but it remained a major Berkshire holding. Constellation Brands was nearly eliminated, but not fully exited.

HoldingTickerApprox. value reduced% changeWhy it matters
ChevronCVX$8.23bn-35.17%Biggest reduction by value, but still a top holding. Not necessarily a bearish oil call.
Constellation BrandsSTZ$1.79bn-95.13%Near-exit, but not a full exit.
NucorNUE$415mn-39.03%Sharp reduction in steel and industrial exposure.
DaVitaDVA$160mn-4.05%Modest trim.
Bank of AmericaBAC$156mn-0.71%Small trim only; not a major signal by itself.
Liberty Live HoldingsLLYVK$29mn-3.03%Small trim only.

The headline is not that Berkshire has suddenly become a technology fund. Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, Bank of America and Chevron still matter deeply to the portfolio. But the Alphabet move is hard to ignore. It suggests Berkshire may now be more comfortable treating some mega-cap technology companies as modern value stocks: dominant, cash-rich, highly profitable and strategically embedded in the global economy.


The new Abel playbook: Buffett principles, updated for an AI economy

The risk with every Berkshire 13F is overinterpretation. The filing does not tell us which individual manager made each decision, why a position was changed, or whether the position still exists today. But the scale and direction of the Q1 changes still offer a useful lens.

This does not look like a clean break from Buffett. It looks more like an evolution of the Berkshire toolkit.

1. Value investing is moving where the cash flows are

For decades, classic value investing was associated with banks, consumer staples, insurance, railroads, energy and industrial businesses. But the market has changed. Some of the strongest balance sheets and most durable cash flows now sit inside mega-cap technology.

Alphabet, Microsoft, Apple and other platform companies are not just “growth stocks” anymore. They have recurring revenues, global scale, high margins, enormous cash generation and the ability to fund major investment cycles internally. That gives them some defensive qualities even when valuations look demanding.

The Abel-era message may be this: value is not defined by sector. It is defined by durability of cash flows, competitive advantage and price paid.

2. Big Tech is becoming defensive growth

The latest 13Fs across major investors point to a broader shift. Big Tech is increasingly being treated not only as a source of growth, but also as a form of balance-sheet quality in an uncertain macro environment.

This matters because investors are dealing with higher yields, geopolitical shocks, inflation risks and uneven growth. In that environment, companies with net cash, pricing power, recurring revenues and high returns on capital naturally become more attractive.

That does not mean Big Tech is risk-free. It means the strongest names are now being used by investors as a blend of growth exposure and quality exposure.

3. AI exposure is becoming more selective

The AI trade is not over, but it is maturing.

The market is moving away from simply rewarding any company with an AI narrative. Investors are becoming more focused on the difference between AI spend, AI revenue and AI margins.

That is why the split across major investors matters. Some are adding Alphabet. Some are adding Microsoft. Others are rotating between the same mega-cap names. The message is that the AI theme remains powerful, but the winners may become more stock-specific.

Investors may need to ask:

  • Who is spending heavily on AI?

  • Who can monetise AI through existing customer relationships?

  • Who has the balance sheet to fund the capex cycle?

  • Who is already priced for perfection?

  • Where is the market still underestimating long-term cash flow?

4. Portfolio concentration is rising, but retail investors should be careful

Berkshire’s portfolio became more focused in Q1. That fits a wider market pattern: many leading investors are concentrating around fewer, higher-conviction franchises.

But this is not a signal for everyday investors to run concentrated portfolios blindly. Berkshire has permanent capital, deep research resources and the ability to absorb volatility that most investors do not.

The more useful lesson is that diversification should not mean owning everything equally. In a market driven by earnings dispersion, quality dispersion and AI dispersion, investors may want to be more thoughtful about what each holding is doing in the portfolio.


What it means for investors

1. Do not copy 13Fs blindly

13Fs are useful, but they are backward-looking. They show what large investors owned at quarter-end, not necessarily what they own today. They also do not show the full portfolio picture, including shorts, derivatives or non-U.S. holdings.

The value of 13Fs is not in copying trades. It is in understanding how sophisticated investors are thinking about themes, valuation and risk.

2. The definition of “value” is changing

The Berkshire-Alphabet move is a reminder that value investing does not have to mean avoiding technology. In today’s market, some of the best cash-flow machines are technology platforms.

The important distinction is between buying technology because it is fashionable and buying technology because the business model is durable. Berkshire’s move looks closer to the second category.

3. Big Tech remains central, but selectivity is rising

The latest filings reinforce that mega-cap technology remains a core part of institutional portfolios. But they also show rotation within the group.

That means investors should avoid treating Big Tech as one single trade. Alphabet, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Meta and Nvidia all sit inside the technology ecosystem, but their risk drivers are different: advertising, cloud, devices, enterprise software, AI infrastructure, chips, capex and regulation.

The next phase of the AI trade may be less about owning the broad story and more about identifying where AI investment converts into revenue, margin resilience and free cash flow.

4. Quality matters more when yields are high

Higher bond yields raise the bar for equities. That makes companies with weak balance sheets, distant profits or uncertain cash flows more vulnerable.

This is why many large investors remain drawn to businesses with pricing power, scale and high returns on capital. In a world where the cost of capital is no longer zero, quality is not a luxury. It is a risk-management tool.

5. The old economy has not disappeared

Berkshire still owns large positions in financials, consumer franchises and energy. The Delta purchase and Chevron trim also show that the portfolio is not simply rotating into technology.

The better interpretation is that Berkshire is building a portfolio that spans both old and new economy cash flows. That may be an important lesson for investors: AI can be a core theme, but it does not remove the need for diversification across sectors, economic cycles and risk drivers.


Bottom line

The latest 13F season sends a clear message: even the most valuation-conscious investors are making room for mega-cap technology when the business quality is strong enough.

Berkshire’s larger Alphabet stake is not necessarily a call to chase AI. It is a signal that the line between value and growth has blurred. In the Abel era, Berkshire may still be following the same discipline — buy durable businesses at sensible prices — but the opportunity set now includes digital platforms that Buffett’s earlier playbook never fully embraced.

For investors, the takeaway is simple: Big Tech remains important, AI still has structural legs, but selectivity is becoming crucial. The winners in the next phase may not be those with the loudest AI story, but those that can turn AI spending into durable cash flow.


This content is marketing material and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options..

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Carry trade unwind brings USD/JPY to 100 and Japan’s next asset bubble

    Outrageous Predictions

    Carry trade unwind brings USD/JPY to 100 and Japan’s next asset bubble

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    A Trump-driven Fed pivot crashes the carry trade, hurling USD/JPY to 100 and unleashing Japan’s wild...
  • Drone taxis make Singapore skies the new causeways

    Outrageous Predictions

    Drone taxis make Singapore skies the new causeways

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Singapore transforms regional travel with electric air taxis that replace causeways and ferries, tur...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...

Disclaimer

The Saxo Group entities each provide execution-only service, and access to analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Inspiration Disclaimer and (v) Notices applying to Trade Inspiration, Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular, no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments. Saxo Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Markets or its affiliates.

Saxo Markets
88 Market Street
CapitaSpring #31-01
Singapore 048948

Contact Saxo

Singapore
Singapore

Saxo Capital Markets Pte Ltd ('Saxo Markets') is a company authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) [Co. Reg. No.: 200601141M ] and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms & Risk Warning to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products such as Margin FX products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo Markets does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-sg/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.