Technical Update - Precious metals Technical Update - Precious metals Technical Update - Precious metals

Technical Update - Precious metals

Commodities 4 minutes to read
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

After Gold XAUUSD spot failed to take out all time high earlier this month it got sold off down to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at around $1,895 where it has bounced somewhat. Seems as if the buyers have run out of power at the 0.682 retracement at around $1,965.

Expect Gold XAUUSD to be stuck in this range for maybe a week or two. However, 16th March trough at 1.895 could come under pressure and if breaking below next support is at $1,848.
With RSI showing no divergence it indicates we should see a move higher. A move above $1,965 could lead to a renewed test of all-time highs. With resistance at $2,000 i.e. the 0.618 retracement.
Keep an eye on the RSI. Breaking above its falling trendline could be first indication of a breakout from the $1,895-1,965 range.

Source: Saxo Group

Almost identical picture (to Gold) Silver XAGUSD spot retraced “only” 0.5 of the February-March bull move to around $24.45. However, that retracement could be extended with the past two days move the 0.50 retracement seems to come under pressure. A downwards move to the 0.618 at around $23.90 retracement and the 200 SMA is not unlikely.
To resume uptrend XAGUSD needs to take out $25.85

Source: Saxo Group

If Palladium is the Canary in the Coal mine then there could be more downside for Gold and Silver. Palladium has dropped below its 0.618 Fibo retracement hovering between its 100 and 200 Daily SMA.
RSI is below 40 showing negative sentiment and Bollinger Bands are expanding which indicate further down side can be expected.
For Palladium to reverse the down trend a break above $2.639 is needed

Source: Saxo Group

Platinum XPTUSD spot showing almost identical scenario to Palladium. After break rising trend line selling pressure intensified. RSI below 40 and Bollinger Bands expanding, short term down trend confirmed. Some support around $950.

Source: Saxo Group


The Saxo Group entities each provide execution-only service, and access to analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Inspiration Disclaimer and (v) Notices applying to Trade Inspiration, Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular, no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (
Full disclaimer (

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments. Saxo Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Markets or its affiliates.

Saxo Markets
88 Market Street
CapitaSpring #31-01
Singapore 048948

Contact Saxo

Select region


Saxo Capital Markets Pte Ltd ('Saxo Markets') is a company authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) [Co. Reg. No.: 200601141M ] and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms & Risk Warning to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products such as Margin FX products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo Markets does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.