14fxL

Key Stories from the past week: All time highs and lows

Macro

It was a week of historical significance as the German Bundestag approved a major increase in government borrowing, including an overhaul of debt rules. The Turkish Lira fell to a record low vs US dollar as Istanbul's mayor, Ekrem Imamoglu, a key rival to President Erdogan, was detained on fraud and terror charges. While gold hit a fresh record above $3055 an ounce in response to a softer dollar and lower bond yields after the FOMC’s projected slower US growth and higher tariff-related inflation, raising the fear of stagflation.

The Fed waits for clarity
The Fed held policy rates in 4.25%-4.50% target range as expected citing uncertainty around the economic outlook resulting in weaker growth, rising unemployment, and higher inflation. The dot plot showed Fed officials expect 50bps of cuts this year. The uncertainty has led markets to believe the Fed will cut further with markets pricing 70bps by end of year.
March FOMC

Tariffs stretch metal prices
New York copper futures hit record high this week of $5.14/lb due to global trade dislocation triggered by Trump's tariffs. Traders were rushing copper to the US, thereby tightening the rest of the world ahead of tariffs. In London the LME price reached $10,000/ton
Copper surges on arbitrage opportunity

BYD charging breaktrough
While Tesla brand value continue to suffer, shares of EV maker BYD jumped this week. BYD unveiled a fresh line-up of electric vehicles supported a new battery and charging system that can provide around 400 kilometers of range in 5 minutes and make it almost as quick as to refuel a gasoline car.
5-minute EV charge times are a blow to Tesla

Nike, not quite at the races
Nike reported Q3 earnings that showed the company's ongoing turnaround effort is being drawn-out due to challenges with inventory clearance. The company furthermore expects revenue and profitability to decline due to US tariffs on products from China and Mexico.
Nike beat earnings and sales. Why the stock is down

Next week includes the announcement of the Australian federal budget (Tuesday) and the UK Chancellor’s ‘Spring Forecast’ (Wednesday). Economic data to look out for includes European and US PMIs (Monday),  US Feb New home sales (Tuesday), US Feb Durable good orders (Wednesday), US Initial Jobless claims (Thursday), US Feb Core PCE price index (Friday). It’s a light week for company earnings but US names Dollar Tree, Chewy (Wednesday), and Lululemon (Thursday) can provide more insight into current consumer strength.

This content is marketing material. 

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Capital Market Ltd. (SCML) provides execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice or a recommendation.

SCML content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

SCML partners with companies that provide compensation for promotional activities conducted on its platform. Some partners also pay retrocessions contingent on clients investing in products from those partners. 

While SCML receives compensation from these partnerships, all educational and research content remains focused on providing information to clients.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. SCML does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992