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Latest news from #SaxoStrats
Macro Dragon WK #39: Heavy Central Banks WK Ahead, From the Fed to the BCB to Norges Bank... plus the Asia Sell-Off continues
Macro Dragon = Cross-Asset Quasi-Daily Views that could cover anything from tactical positioning, to long-term thematic investments, key events & inflection points in the markets, all with the objective of consistent wealth creation overtime.
WCU: Surging energy sector disguise weakness elsewhere
The commodity rally continues with the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index hitting a fresh ten-year high. It is however worth noting a sharp divide has started to emerge between the different sectors with performance becoming a lot less synchronized than what we saw during the first half of 2021. The energy sector has seen a strong month so far with supply issues supporting both oil and gas, while precious metals once again has been exhibiting a strange behaviour by stabilizing on falling yields, only to slump when rising. Industrial metals were mixed with iron ore crashing on Chinese growth worries, and finally also a look at the ever increasing container freight rates
FX Update: Market touchy on yield moves, cue FOMC next Wednesday.
Yesterday saw the USD moving sharply higher and sustaining an intraday move for the first time in a while. A stronger than expected US Retail Sales report seemed to show how touchy the lowest yielding CHF and JPY are to anything that prompts a sharp move in US treasury yields. Next week is chock full of central bank meetings, highlighted by the FOMC meeting, but including potentially pivotal meetings from Sweden, Norway and the Bank of England.
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