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Trump desperation grows ahead of midterms. US yields pop ahead of CPI.
Summary: Today, we note the fresh pop in US treasury yields to new cycle highs after the Treasury market buyback and Treasury Secretary Bessent's posturing failed to shore up confidence. Elsewhere, it was a rather negative day for risk sentiment on the latest aggravated rise in crude oil prices and that rise in yields, with Europe particularly spooked ahead of today's ECB meeting. We note key equity stories like Apple's (Gen Z targeted?) pricey new foldable phone, Meta's pop on the enthusiasm for its Muse AI agent. Most of all, we queue up what to look for over tomorrow's US CPI release. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
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Links
- Trump wants cheap hamburger meat ahead of the mid-terms. Matt Stoller covers the story and shows what this may cost him politically with some of his base - and what it may cost those consuming the questionable meat. Yikes.
- The FT version of the widely covered resignation of an Anthropic researcher over concerns that the company is not doing enough to enforce safety guardrails and that AI could end humanity as the company and OpenAI are "'gambling' with the future of mankind".
- Michael Every reposted a news item on X that Germany's Deutsche Bank will be appointed as the clearer and settler of RMB (Chinese yuan) transactions in Europe. Wasn't the EU supposed to be gearing up for a less friendly face to China on concerns it is undermining EU industry with its cheap and subsidized exports?
- (HT FTAlphaville) A Bruegel long-form piece poking into the factors that are driving the rise in long-term interest rates - it's not just about fiscal profligacy.
- ProPublica earlier this year looked into how Trump might look to call the mid-term election results into question if they are not favourable for Republicans - a high risk on this front, but how high when the president himself is so unpopular?