Erik Schafhauser Zürich

Morning Brew April 20 2022

Morning Brew 1 minute to read
Erik
Erik Schafhauser

Senior Relationship Manager

Summary:  Dovish Speakers support Equities, Netflix drops after hours


Good Morning,

 

Equities had the best day in a month yesterday driven by earnings and dovish comments by Charles Evans and Atlanta Feds Raphael Bostic, the Dow gained 1.45%, the S&P 1.6% and the Nasdaq 2.15%, the German Dax gained to 14235 in the Future.

Real 10 year yields turned positive yesterday on 10 year yields exceeding the 3% level for the first time since 2018. Real Yields are the yield of the respective bond minus the expected inflation.

Oil fell 5% yesterday on worries of lower demand due to a lower growth forecast by the IMF, interestingly that did not affect equities. Over night , it can recover roughly 1%.

Japan’s trade balance come at a deficit 4 times higher than expected at JPY 412 bio, the Yen traded as low as 129.40 before a verbal intervention by the BoJ. EURUSD Is at 1.0813 and GBPUSD at 1.3025. Gold and Silver lost some ground on high yields and falling oil and are now at 1940 and 24.99. The USD Index falls slightly to 100.70

Netflix suffered falling subscriber numbers for the first time in a decade, stocks fell 24% in late trading. Twitter also lost 4.5% on uncertainty of a takeover. Elon Musk is rumored to provide an offer in the next ten days.

Credit Suisse expects Q1 loss due to legal costs.

Watch for Tesla earnings today.

 

Earnings this week:

  • Wednesday: Tesla, Alcoa, P&G, Nasdaq
  • Thursday: American Airlines, Snap, AT&T
  • Friday: Amex, Verizon, SAP, Schlumberger

Economic data:

  • Wednesday: German PPI at 08:00EU Industrial Production at 11:00, CA CPI at 14:30
  • Thursday: EU HICP at 11, US Labor Data at 14:30
  • Friday: UK CPI at 8:00, International PMI

Trade Safely!

 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900
Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.