Quarterly Outlook
Q4 Outlook for Investors: Diversify like it’s 2025 – don’t fall for déjà vu
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
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Weekly FX Chartbook: Heavy central bank focus as FOMC, BOJ, BOE, SNB, RBA meet
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Summary: Bank of Japan’s pivot away from negative rates is becoming a baseline view ahead of Tuesday’s announcement, but gains in the Japanese yen could remain limited by dovish commentary and risks of a hawkish surprise by the Fed the next day. Two-way risks for the dollar this week as markets anticipate a hawkish shift in dot plot, but CHF sees downside risks as SNB can surprise with a rate cut or stronger FX language. GBP also has a lot at stake this week with BOE meeting vote split and Nvidia-driven equity momentum in focus.
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Other recent Macro/FX articles:
18 Mar: Global Market Quick Take - Asia
14 Mar: FOMC vs. BOJ: Who moves the Yen?
12 Mar: Dampening equity sentiment could test GBP resilience
11 Mar: US inflation report: How to trade the event
11 Mar: Macro & FX Podcast: Have soft landing hopes turned into expectations?
11 Mar: Weekly FX Chartbook: JPY eying wage talk headlines and US CPI
6 Mar: Bitcoin fever is running high, again
5 Mar: FX & Macro Podcast: US jobs data, China's "Two Sessions" & Super Tuesday
4 Mar: Weekly FX Chartbook: NFP miss may not be enough to turn the dollar around
28 Feb: Navigating Japanese equities: Strategies for hedging JPY exposure
26 Feb: Weekly FX Chartbook: Focus will shift back to inflation and rates trajectory
23 Feb: Nvidia momentum spills over to FX markets
21 Feb: Central bank divergence on the radar: Hawkish RBNZ, Dovish BOC and SNB
19 Feb: Macro & FX Podcast: How the debate about the US economy has shifted
19 Feb: Weekly FX Chartbook: Dollar rally looking stretched, bullish signals for NZD
15 Feb: Swiss Franc’s bearish view gets more legs
14 Feb: Sticky US inflation could make dollar strength more durable
13 Feb: Weekly FX Chartbook: US and UK disinflation story in focus, watch for ECB split widening
9 Feb: Japanese Yen is throwing a warning
8 Feb: FX 101: USD Smile and portfolio impacts from King Dollar
5 Feb: Weekly FX Chartbook: More and more reasons to stay long US dollar
1 Feb: FOMC out, BOE and NFP next – will the hawkish waves continue?
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