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Market complacency challenged by latest blitz of Trump administration moves.
Summary: A rocky start to the week as the market looks on with unease at the latest Trump administration move against Fed independence, but the move could also be about this story reinforcing a wider pattern. Elsewhere, Merck is pursuing a giant acquisition, earnings season is set to kick off tomorrow and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Listen to the full episode now or follow the Saxo Market Call on your favorite podcast app.
Today’s Links
Chance to listen in on live webinar on outlook across markets. Solid state battery in production now - is it for real? Reasons for near term caution, longer term optimism? Civil war risks in Europe? I overstated on the podcast how certain a deal might be for the biotech company Revolution Medicines - the quoted figures were according to FT, whose sources suggest that Merck and possibly AbbVie may be vying to bid USD 28-32 billion for Revolution Medicines. The company closed Friday with a market cap of about USD 23 billion after a wild rise of about 50% last week, and a doubling from September levels before that. Revolution Medicines is a biotech company with no revenue, but has a promising drug candidate for treating common but difficult cancers to treat. The patent for Merck’s Keytruda, a USD 30 billion in sales per year blockbuster and the world’s highest revenue drug, runs out in 2028.
I will host with Chief Economist at CME Group Erik Norland on the outlook across markets. Find the sign-up here.
The whimsically named Donut Lab is claiming the world’s first production solid state battery, one that has been put into a crazy Verge “hubless” electric motorbike and is claiming a stunning range. The batteries may debut soon in an EV car as well. Is this company’s tech for real? The Verge takes a stab at finding out - and it sounds inconclusive - stay tuned!
Macrovoices.com podcast with Darius Dale of 42 Macro outlines the case for near term caution even if constructive on the outlook for a fiscal pickup later this year and into 2027, also discusses the role gold is playing when bonds don’t do anything to raise the robustness of portfolios at risk-off moments.
I thought this was click-bait when I first read the headline this morning in a Danish newspaper, but the story actually stems from rather soft-spoken and very much not particularly self-promotional historian and academic David Betz, who was interviewed by Danish journalist Paul Høi (for the Danish-speaking audience) and some months ago by the Triggernometry crew on the ingredients and historical parallels that point to the risk of partisan strife and even a civil conflict in European countries.Chart of the Day - Revolution Medicines (RVMD)
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