The future of crypto derivatives
Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Summary: This week the entire crypto market cap fell by 3.5%, bringing the market cap to $250 billion. Bitcoin is up by less than 0.2%. Meanwhile, Ethereum rose by 13%. Bitcoin’s and Ethereum’s month-to-date returns are 48% and 58% respectively
CME reaches highest notional volume ever
On 13 May the CME Group reported over a billion US dollars in record volume for their Bitcoin Futures products. This volume dwarfs that previous record by 50%. This brings the volume traded for at over $6.6bn for May. We see a similar trend for other derivative providers, such as Crypto Facilities and Deribit showing record months in May. This trend highlights that institutions are increasingly using derivatives to both hedge and gain exposure to the nascent technology.
SEC delays Bitcoin ETF again
This week the SEC decided to delay the decision on the VanEck Bitcoin ETF, a day earlier than expected. Despite this surprise the BTC price barely moved on the news, possibly signalling the lack of speculation around an ETF approval. The new deadline for a decision is 22 August. The market has been unfazed by ETF decisions ever since the rejection of the Winklevoss ETF in March 2017. Approval of the ETF can only bring greater liquidity to Bitcoin, while never approving an ETF will only serve to disenfranchise specific investor segments.
Bakkt set to test launch in July
The physically settle futures exchange Bakkt announced that it would launch user testing in July. The company has been in close collaboration with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to develop fully compliant contracts and clearing. They are set to launch both a daily and monthly settled product. This product would be the first of its kind on a regulated exchange. Since Bitcoin is a unique bearer instrument, custody of the asset is of the utmost importance which is why the firm is seeking licenses as a trust company in New York. The approval of the New York Department of Financial Services is essential in the launch of Bakkt.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.
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