Macro: Sandcastle economics
Invest wisely in Q3 2024: Discover SaxoStrats' insights on navigating a stable yet fragile global economy.
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Brent Crude oil
Oil opened this week gapping higher with Brent Crude above resistance level at $126/brl shooting even higher to 1,382 Fibonacci extension of the of the 3rd vawe (that means when 3rd wave is the length of 1, the 5th is the length of wave 3 x 1.382.) However, when wave 5 is extended as it seems to be it can extend to 1.618 i.e. to around $148/brl. All time high recorded back in 2008 was $147.50.
There is no divergence on RSI and MACD indicating we could see higher levels.
WTI Light Sweet Crude oil
Just shy of a dollar the 1.618 Projection of the 2020 sell-off in WTI (where WTI went to minus $40/brl) was reached this morning, and within a couple of dollars of the 1.382 Fibo Extension (at 133.98) of wave 3. If it extends to 1.618 at $146 it will be close to all time high at $147.26.
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