Technical Update - Oil hitting Fibonacci levels
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
Brent Crude oil
Oil opened this week gapping higher with Brent Crude above resistance level at $126/brl shooting even higher to 1,382 Fibonacci extension of the of the 3rd vawe (that means when 3rd wave is the length of 1, the 5th is the length of wave 3 x 1.382.) However, when wave 5 is extended as it seems to be it can extend to 1.618 i.e. to around $148/brl. All time high recorded back in 2008 was $147.50.
There is no divergence on RSI and MACD indicating we could see higher levels.
WTI Light Sweet Crude oil
Just shy of a dollar the 1.618 Projection of the 2020 sell-off in WTI (where WTI went to minus $40/brl) was reached this morning, and within a couple of dollars of the 1.382 Fibo Extension (at 133.98) of wave 3. If it extends to 1.618 at $146 it will be close to all time high at $147.26.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.