Important earnings this week from Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon

But before the important technology earnings on Thursday, the market will already get its appetizer tomorrow with key macro earnings from UPS, Caterpillar, and Snap. All three companies will provide different input on the macro economy which can be of great use for the investor. UPS is the world’s largest logistic company and thus is a good temperature on cross-border trading and e-commerce. Analysts expect UPS to report a meagre 1.1% y/y revenue growth and flat EPS y/y at $3.58. Caterpillar is always interesting because of its footprint in cyclical industries such as mining and construction including its large revenue exposure to China. Analysts expect revenue growth of 11% y/y and EPS growth of 30% y/y driven by strong demand in its mining equipment business. In the last couple of earnings seasons Snap has been a market moving event as the company provides the first picture of global online advertising demand. Analysts are quite muted going into the Q4 earnings seeing only 0.5% revenue growth y/y but EPS increasing to $0.08 up from $0.01 a year ago.

Insane margin pressure in US technology companies

The conclusions so far about Q4 earnings are that the outlook is deteriorating, uncertainty remains elevated, and margins are coming down hard making it difficult for companies to deliver the consensus EPS estimates for FY23. The Nasdaq 100 companies are so far reporting a 1.2%-point reduction q/q in the profit margin in Q4 extending the 0.9% reduction q/q in Q3. Since the peak in profit margin in Q2 2021 the profit margin has declined by 3.9%-points in the Nasdaq 100 to the current level of 13.3% which is below the average of 13.8% since 2010. The margin squeeze theme will stay with market for the first half of the year and then depending on whether we get a recession or not the theme could extend into the second half. With equity markets priced for perfection on inflation, earnings, and recession we only need a small deviance from expectations before equity markets could be roiled again.

The list below highlights all the most important earnings releases this week across the different equity markets we track.

• Today: Ryanair, UniCredit, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Canon, Philips, NXP Semiconductors, GE HealthCare Technologies
• Tuesday: Canadian Pacific Railway, Daiichi Sankyo, Fujitsu, UBS Group, Exxon Mobil, Pfizer, McDonald’s, UPS, Caterpillar, Amgen, AMD, Mondelez, Marathon Petroleum, Electronic Arts, Spotify, Snap
• Wednesday: Novo Nordisk, Orsted, Keyence, Hitachi, GSK, BBVA, Novartis, Meta, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Southern Copper
• Thursday: DSV, Dassault Systemes, Siemens Healthineers, Infineon Technologies, Deutsche Bank, Sony, Takeda Pharmaceutical, Shell, ING Groep, Banco Santander, Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, Nordea, Roche, ABB, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Eli Lilly, ConocoPhillips, Qualcomm, Honeywell, Starbucks, Gilead Sciences, JD.com, Ford Motor, Ferrari
• Friday: Coloplast, Sanofi, Intesa Sanpaolo, Denso, CaixaBank, Naturgy Energy, Assa Abloy, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals