Outrageous Predictions
Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Investment Strategist
European defence shifts from headline budgets to contracts, delivery, and cash conversion.
Overlooked “enablers” include sensors, maintenance, shipbuilding, and propulsion, not only tanks.
New listings like CSG could widen the investable universe, but industrial risks stay real.
Czechoslovak Group (CSG) is trying to do something rare in European markets right now: turn defence momentum into a very large stock market listing.
CSG is a Prague-based industrial group with deep roots in ammunition, land systems, and defence electronics, plus meaningful civilian activities. The timing is not subtle. Europe is spending more on defence, Ukraine support remains a production challenge, and investors are suddenly willing to fund capacity, not just cheer headlines. If the world feels a bit less relaxed than it did a few years ago, this is one corporate response.
The planned listing in Amsterdam matters because it is not a “nice-to-have” marketing event. It is a financing and credibility move. CSG wants more flexibility to invest, to do deals, and to be taken seriously by global investors. In plain terms, the company seeks more access to capital, more visibility, and potentially a stronger balance sheet over time. The deal structure also signals confidence, with big institutions lining up early as cornerstone investors.
For long-term investors, the key question is simple. Is CSG a durable producer with repeat orders and disciplined execution, or a fast-growing group that risks tripping over its own demand?
Defence is a business where promises arrive quickly and cash arrives later. That is why the “boring” details matter most: how much of today’s demand becomes signed contracts, how fast factories deliver, and how reliably profits turn into cash.
Treat it like an industrial company first: track production capacity, delivery pace, and cash generation. Watch customer and geography exposure, including political and export-rule risks. Check debt and funding needs, because growth can be expensive even when demand is strong. Be price-aware: a great company can still be a demanding stock if expectations get too excited.