silver

Technical Update - Metals finding support and rebounding: Gold, Silver, Platinum and Copper

Commodities 3 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

  • Metals have been hit with a swift bearish correction but have not found some support
  • Silver is once again leading the direction with a rebound and Platinum is following
  • Gold and Copper with fairly muted response but could just be a question of time
  • Keep an eye on support levels for continued correction
  • Europe and US metals and mining ETFs listed in the article

Gold (XAUUSD) seems to be bouncing from the cloud (shaded area—the Ichimoku Cloud) between the 0.618 and the 0.786 retracement, and the minor support at around 2,326. A dip down to the 0.786 retracement at 2,314 could still occur before rebounding.

If breaking above 2,385, the uptrend is likely to resume with a push towards previous peak levels and possibly to 2,500. The 55-day moving average will add to the bullish support.

A close below 2,277 confirms a downtrend.

The strength indicator RSI is showing divergence, indicating the uptrend is in exhaustion mode. However, a close back above the 60 threshold and above the upper falling trendline would be a strong indication of another bullish push in gold

gold d 2705
Source all charts and data: Saxo Group

Silver (XAGUSD) is bouncing from the 0.382 retracement at USD 30 and is likely to resume its uptrend. Daily RSI is still showing positive sentiment with no divergence, indicating silver could push to levels above 32.52. If it takes out 32.52, there is no strong resistance until around 34.40–35.40 (see weekly chart).

A break below 30 could continue the correction down to the 0.618 retracement at 28.50

silver d 2705
silver w 2705

Platinum (XPTUSD) correction has bounced from the upper support area 1,015–1,007 and seems to be resuming its uptrend. The uptrend has no resistance until around 1,130 (see weekly chart), which is close to the 1.382 projection of the correction from last week at 1,128.50.
The 2.00 projection is at 1,179, within a few cents of the 2022 peak at 1,182, which is not unlikely to be reached.

If platinum drops below 1,015, it is likely to be hit by another sell-off down to the 0.618 retracement at 974.50.

Positive RSI sentiment with no divergence supports the bullish scenario of a move to 1,130

platin d 2705
platin w 2705

Copper has found support at the 0.618 retracement of the early May bullish move at 474.50. A bounce could be seen. However, if it breaks below 474, the correction is likely to continue to the 0.786 retracement at 462.25 or to the 0.382 retracement of the entire uptrend since February at 460.

There is minor divergence on the RSI, but if RSI closes back above the 60 threshold, copper is likely to rebound further. A copper close above 492 is likely to confirm a strong rebound that could take the metal to 510.

Copper d 2705

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Outrageous Predictions

    China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Having created history’s most epic debt bubble, China boldly bets that fiscal stimulus to the tune o...

This content is marketing material. 

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice or a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Saxo partners with companies that provide compensation for promotional activities conducted on its platform. Some partners also pay retrocessions contingent on clients investing in products from those partners. 

While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all educational and research content remains focused on providing information to clients.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900 Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.