Login Open account
International
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.
Show more
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs, FX or any of our other products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Show less
By using our website you agree to our use of cookies in accordance with our cookie policy.
Okay
Markets Markets Markets

Markets unnerved by trade war escalation

Commodities
Strats-Ole-88x88
Ole Hansen

Head of Commodity Strategy

Financial markets are growing increasingly nervous ahead of Thursday, when President Trump is expected to slap another round of punitive tariffs on Chinese imports. The dollar is seeing some broad-based gains while stocks are trading lower.

The reaction in commodities has been broadly negative with crude oil and products being the noticeable exception as momentum buyers respond to Iran supply risks and Tropical Storm Gordon currently moving through the Gulf of Mexico. 

Bloomberg commodities index
Source: Bloomberg, Saxo Bank
Precious and industrial metals have been hit by this renewed focus on the trade war, which carries a risk to future growth and demand.

Copper is currently trading down on the day by 2.5% and silver has hit a 2-1/2 year low against the dollar and a near 10-year low against gold on its link to industrial metals.
Commodities
Source: Saxo Bank

Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived

  • The End Game has arrived

    Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
    Read article

  • Productivity and innovation have never been more important

    As the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
    Read article

  • The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading it

    If the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
    Read article

  • Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctions

    With supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
    Read article

  • Between a rock and a hard place

    Geopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
    Read article

  • The Great Erosion

    Inflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
    Read article

  • Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recession

    While global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
    Read article

  • Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with reality

    With the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.
    Read article

Disclaimer

 The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/saxoselect-disclaimer/disclaimer)

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900
Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International
Products & pricing
Platforms
Accounts & service
General
Other
Legal

Trade responsibly
All trading carries risk. Read more. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank A/S and is not specific to any entity of Saxo Bank Group. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank A/S and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank A/S and thus governed by Danish Law.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.