How to trade copper: A quick guide

Key takeaways:

• Copper is often called the “king of green metals” because it plays a central role in electrification, renewable energy, power grids and electric vehicles. That broad industrial use means copper demand is closely tied to the green transformation and rising global electricity needs.
• Copper prices are shaped by several major drivers, including supply and demand dynamics, global economic conditions, monetary policy, weather disruption and investor sentiment. Demand can rise quickly, but supply often responds slowly due to higher mining costs, lower ore grades and long project lead times.
• China and the United States remain especially important for copper markets because copper is widely used in construction, manufacturing and infrastructure. As a result, shifts in growth expectations, policy decisions and industrial activity in major economies can move prices sharply.
• There are several ways to trade copper, including copper ETFs or ETCs, copper miners, and more direct products such as copper futures and CFDs. ETFs and mining shares can provide exposure in a more accessible way, while futures and CFDs offer a closer link to copper prices but involve greater complexity and risk.
• Copper futures and CFDs are leveraged products, and options are complex derivatives, so gains and losses can be magnified. Depending on the product, strategy, client categorisation and jurisdiction, losses may be limited to the premium paid or can exceed the margin/deposit posted. Choosing how to trade copper depends not just on the market outlook, but also on risk tolerance, time horizon and understanding of the product used.

Copper is called the "king of green metals" because of its usage in multiple applications- from batteries, electrical traction motors, solar PV technologies, wind turbines, and not least the electrical grid required to deal with the electrification of the world. In this guide we provide some examples of how to invest and trade copper, while highlighting some of the key drivers dictating the price.

Here are some of the main influences that can affect the price of copper:

• Supply and demand dynamics: The fundamental principle of supply and demand plays a significant role in determining copper prices. Increased demand for copper, particularly from industries focusing on electrification, transmission, electronics, and EV's can drive prices up. The green transition has become an increasingly important driver behind copper demand growth, occurring at a time where miners are struggling with higher input prices from fuel, construction material and labour, as well as lower ore grades requiring more materials to be dug out of the ground to retrieve the copper. Also, rising regulatory and start-up costs for new projects have led to a prolonged period of mismatch between increasing demand and inelastic supply.

• Weather and natural disasters: Extreme weather events like hurricanes, floods, and earthquakes may significantly disrupt copper mining and transportation infrastructure. This can affect supply negatively and in turn drive up prices.

• Global economic conditions: Copper is widely used in construction and manufacturing, so its price is sensitive to changes in global economic conditions, not least in major economies, such as China and the United States.

• Monetary policy: The policies of the US Federal Reserve significantly influence the price of commodities, including industrial metals such as copper. Changes in interest rates can influence commodity prices (for example, via financing costs, the US dollar, and risk appetite), but the relationship is not consistent.

• Investor sentiment and speculation: Like other commodities, copper prices can be influenced by investor sentiment and speculative trading in commodity markets. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and macroeconomic policy decisions can affect investor perceptions and lead to price fluctuations.

• Green transformation: The global transition towards renewable energy sources and sustainable technologies is driving a significant increase in demand for so-called green metals, not least copper, often called the “king of green metals” given its use in multiple clean energy technologies. In addition, increased demand for power, and rising electricity demand (including from data centres) may increase investment in transmission, supporting demand for copper.