Quick Take Asia

Asia Market Quick Take – 1 April, 2026

Macro 6 minutes to read

Key points:

  • Macro: US plans to leave Iran in 2-3 weeks
  • Equities: Nasdaq 100 gains 3.8%, S&P 500 rallies 2.9% on Iran comments to end war
  • FX: Dollar drops as Iran de-escalation; USDJPY below 159
  • Commodities: Gold extended a three‑day advance pushing above $4,700.
  • Fixed income: US Treasuries rally, paring their biggest monthly loss in over a year

------------------------------------------------------------------

Screenshot 2026-04-01 090425

 Disclaimer: Past performance does not indicate future performance.

  

Macro:

  • President Trump said the US could leave Iran within two to three weeks and indicated a deal with Tehran may be close, raising hopes the war that has jolted global markets may be nearing a conclusion.
  • Iran's official news agency said the country's president was willing to end the conflict but wants guarantees against further attacks. Trump also urged Straits users to secure it themselves.
  • US job openings fell by 358,000 to 6.88 million in February 2026, below expectations, with declines across all regions and in accommodation, food services, and mining. Hires slipped to 4.8 million, while separations held at 5.0 million, with quits at 3.0 million and layoffs and discharges at 1.7 million.
  • US job quits fell to 2.97 million in February 2026, the lowest since August 2020, down from 3.13 million in January and 3.15 million a year earlier. The quits rate eased to 1.9%, with declines across all regions and most major sectors.
  • Japan’s large manufacturers grew more confident for a fourth straight quarter, with the Tankan index rising to 17 from 16, beating forecasts and supporting the BOJ’s ongoing rate-hike stance.
  • South Korea's exports continued to surge in March with shipments adjusted for working-day differences soaring 41.9% from a year earlier, driven by robust semiconductor demand.

Equities: 

  • US: US equity indexes surged on Tuesday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping more than 1,125 points, the S&P 500 up 2.9% to 6,528.52, and the Nasdaq Composite catapulting almost 800 points or 3.8% to 21,590.63 amid optimism that the Iran war is about to end. Communication services, technology, and consumer discretionary led the gains. S&P 500 futures were up 0.3% as of 8:04pm Tuesday in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.5%. Nike shares sank 9% after hours after the company forecast more falling sales and conceded its turnaround efforts were taking longer than expected.
  • EU: European stock index futures climbed sharply with contracts on the Euro Stoxx 50 up about 1.9% as of 1:18am in London on hopes for an end to the Iran war. The FTSE 100 rose for the second day on Tuesday, climbing 0.5% or 48.49 points to 10,176.45 in London, reaching the highest closing level since March 18, with Rolls-Royce contributing the most to the index gain.
  • Asia: Asian stocks jumped at the open, tracking a Wall Street rally, with equities in Japan, South Korea and Australia rising and sending the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index up 1.6%. Japan's Nikkei climbed more than 3% to 52,792.66 while the Topix rose 3.1% to 3,607.25. South Korea's Kospi surged nearly 5% at the open to 5,330.04, snapping a four-day loss, with the Korea Exchange briefly halting program trading after Kospi 200 futures jumped more than 5%, triggering a sidecar. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix jumped as much as 7.1% and 9.5% respectively. Recruit Holdings shares rose 7.6% after announcing a buyback plan. KDDI shares fell 3.3% after cutting fiscal year earnings forecasts.

Earnings this week:

  • Wednesday: SAIC Motor

FX:

  • USD softened on Tuesday, trimming its strong monthly gain as reports of possible de‑escalation in the Iran conflict reduced safe‑haven demand The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.6% on the day but still ended March up about 2.4%, its best month since July.
  • Intervention worries persisted in Japan as USDJPY slipped 0.6% to 158.69 but remained up 1.7% on the month, with TD Securities flagging higher intervention risk only on sustained moves toward 162–164.
  • USDCAD edged lower as Canadian GDP showed modest early‑year growth, and EURUSD rebounded 0.9% to 1.1563 despite a 2.1% monthly drop amid highly volatile European rates.
  • AUDUSD climbed 0.7% to 0.6900, extending a five‑quarter winning streak, with the RBA highlighting uncertainty over its policy path.

Commodities:

  • Oil steadied with Brent trading below $105 a barrel after losing 3.2% on Tuesday, while WTI was near $102, as President Trump signaled the potential end to the Iran war that has roiled markets, even after more troops arrived in the region and Tehran said no peace talks were taking place.
  • Gold extended a three‑day advance, with bullion above $4,700 an ounce after a 3.5% jump, as President Donald Trump said the US could end the Iran war within two to three weeks and had largely met its military goals, while Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian signalled readiness to end the war if its demands are met.

Fixed income:

  • Treasuries extended Monday’s belly‑led rally as oil fell on hopes of Iran de‑escalation and stocks rose with traders rebuilding Fed rate‑cut premia for this year and 2027, though 30‑year bonds erased gains. Month‑end rebalance and the market broadly trimmed its biggest monthly loss in over a year. The newest 10-year JGB yield fell 3 basis points to 2.325% after the Tankan survey beat forecasts across the board with a notable jump for the large manufacturing outlook, opening the door for a BOJ hike this month.

For a global look at markets – go to Inspiration.

 

This content is marketing content and should not be considered investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee for future performance.
The instrument(s) mentioned in this content may be issued by a partner, from which Saxo receives promotion, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all content is conducted with the intention of providing clients with valuable options and information.

Disclaimer

Confidentiality and Usage:
You may not reproduce, distribute, or transmit this material or any portion thereof without prior written permission from Saxo.

Nature of Information:
The information provided herein is based on current market conditions and analysts' opinions, which may reflect personal views of the author, and are subject to change without notice. This material does not include a record of any trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, or endorsement to enter into any transaction in any investment product. Any forecast on the economy, markets and economic trends of the markets provided is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the investment product subject of this material.

Responsibility and Liability:
Saxo accepts no liability for any use that may be made of these comments or for any consequences that arise from such use. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

The information provided in this material is solely for information only. It is intended for general circulation and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. Accordingly, it should not be relied on or treated as a substitute for specific advice concerning specific situations of any person. Please seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before you make a commitment to purchase an investment product. In the event that you choose not to seek advice from a financial adviser, you should consider whether any investment product mentioned in this publication is suitable for you.

Notwithstanding the above, insofar as any information provided herein contains research analyses or reports concerning any investment product authored by any foreign research house and is issued or promulgated to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor, and/or institutional investor, Saxo Capital Market Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility for the contents of this material to the extent required by law. Recipients of such material are to contact Saxo Capital Markets Pte. Ltd. in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this material.

Risk Disclosure:
Trading in investment products involve significant risk, including the risk of losing your entire investment. Historical returns are not a guarantee of future returns. Prices can both rise and fall, and there is a risk that you will not get back the money you invested.

Conflicts of interest:
The author may hold positions in the investment products mentioned. The author does not own positions in the underlying investment product exceeding 0.5% of its market capitalisation, save as otherwise declared. The author is not permitted to trade the mentioned investment products within the first 24 hours after the publication of this article.

Saxo maintains partnerships with companies that compensate Saxo for promotional activities conducted on its platform. Additionally, Saxo has agreements with certain partners who provide retrocession contingent upon clients purchasing specific investment products offered by these partners. While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all content is conducted with the intention of providing clients with valuable options and information.

Publication details:
If any listed companies are the subject of the material, the content has not been submitted to the companies in question prior to publication.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Markets
88 Market Street
CapitaSpring #31-01
Singapore 048948

Contact Saxo

Singapore
Singapore

Saxo Capital Markets Pte Ltd ('Saxo Markets') is a company authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) [Co. Reg. No.: 200601141M ] and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms & Risk Warning to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Saxo is part of the J. Safra Sarasin Group.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products such as Margin FX products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo Markets does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-sg/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.