Amazon_image

Amazon reports results: three engines drive profitable growth into the AI build out

Key takeaways

  • Strong quarter with sales and profit beat. AWS margin up. Ads grew fast. Holiday guidance steady.
  • AWS remains the profit swing factor, AI usage and margin expansion matter more than headline growth.
  • Key risks: another AWS outage, power limits, or heavier promotions could hit margins and cash.

Amazon’s three engines keep turning

Investors wanted proof that Amazon could grow the parts that print cash. They got it. For the quarter to 30 September 2025, net sales were USD 180.2 billion versus USD 177.8 billion expected, while earnings per share were USD 1.95 versus USD 1.58 expected.

This came in a week when the mega-caps put numbers on the table and investors leaned toward growth over defence. For Amazon, the question was simple: did cloud, ads and delivery get stronger together? The short answer is yes, with a few caveats worth watching into the holidays.

Cloud: profitable growth, not just growth

Amazon Web Services, the cloud arm, delivered USD 33.0 billion of revenue, up 20.2 percent year on year, and USD 11.4 billion of operating income. That put the operating margin at 34.6 percent, firmer than recent quarters. Management said demand for artificial intelligence training and inference is flowing through, and flagged ongoing investments in chips, data centres and power capacity to support it. Watch billed usage, not just bookings.

Capacity still decides outcomes. Amazon highlighted a 3.8 gigawatt step-up in power over 12 months and continuing heavy capital expenditure to build AI-ready infrastructure. That spend weighed on free cash flow, which fell over the last year as property and equipment purchases surged. The trade-off is clear: build now to monetise AI later.

Ads: Prime Video turns attention into cash

Advertising services posted USD 17.7 billion, up 24 percent year on year. This remains Amazon’s quiet second engine. Sponsored products keep compounding, while Prime Video’s ad tier adds connected-TV reach on top of retail media.

Ads carry high margins and help fund logistics and cloud capex without stretching the income statement. Into Q4, look for updates on Prime Video ad load, live sport formats and shoppable video experiments.

Retail: faster speeds, steadier margins

Retail is about physics and patience. Same-day and next-day delivery continue to rise, supported by denser local nodes and more third-party sellers using ‘Fulfilment by Amazon’.

North America generated USD 4.8 billion of operating income, but excluding a USD 2.5 billion Federal Trade Commission settlement, it would have been USD 7.3 billion. International added USD 1.2 billion. Inventory discipline and routing efficiency are doing their job.

The cost side matters too. Amazon plans to cut about 14,000 corporate roles, including in gaming, framing it as simplification and speed. Fewer layers tend to reduce decision cycle times and protect margins when promotions rise into peak season.

Outage as a reality check

Two weeks ago, a major Amazon Web Services outage knocked parts of the internet offline. It was a reminder of concentration risk — and of AWS’s central role in global computing.

Synergy Research Group estimates AWS accounts for about 30 percent of global cloud infrastructure spending, ahead of Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud. When AWS sneezes, the web catches a cold. For customers, that argues for multi-region and multi-cloud redundancy. For Amazon, it underscores both power and responsibility.

Guidance and the holiday test

Management guided fourth-quarter net sales to USD 206–213 billion and operating income to USD 21–26 billion. The near-term test: keep retail margins steady while delivery speeds rise, let ads compound in the background, and continue translating AI workloads into AWS operating income. If that mix holds, the story shifts from good to durable.

What to watch in AI context

  • AI usage, not just buzz. Comments on Bedrock, the Amazon Q assistant and newer data services sitting above raw compute are the best tells for monetisation.
  • Capacity and power. Chip supply is improving, but grid connections and substation build-outs are now the gating factors. Amazon called out a large power ramp this year.
  • Margin discipline. AWS margins at 34–35 percent calm nerves about AI capex. Ads help here, too.

Risks and early warning signs

  • Softer cloud margins if price competition intensifies or AI projects slip. Watch AWS operating margin and deferred revenue trends.
  • Weaker consumer demand or heavier promotions that dent retail profit. Monitor shipping cost per unit and inventory build on the call materials.
  • Regulatory and legal drag. The USD 2.5 billion Prime settlement hit this quarter; more remedies could follow.
  • Operational risk. Another large outage would re-ignite resilience questions for customers and regulators.

Can Amazon keep the rhythm?

Back to the simple test from the top. Cloud monetises AI. Ads monetise attention. Faster delivery monetises intent. This quarter, all three moved the right way. AWS margins held up as AI usage grew. Ads kept compounding. Faster delivery supported retail profit.

The setup is solid, though not risk free. Cloud margins could soften if pricing tightens or AI projects slip, yet rising usage and cost control help. Power and grid work may slow data centre builds. Retail faces demand and promotion risk, while ads can cool if budgets pause. Elevated spend keeps free cash flow sensitive. Let execution set the throttle, not promises.


This material is marketing content and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Disclaimer

Confidentiality and Usage:
You may not reproduce, distribute, or transmit this material or any portion thereof without prior written permission from Saxo.

Nature of Information:
The information provided herein is based on current market conditions and analysts' opinions, which may reflect personal views of the author, and are subject to change without notice. This material does not include a record of any trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, or endorsement to enter into any transaction in any investment product. Any forecast on the economy, markets and economic trends of the markets provided is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the investment product subject of this material.

Responsibility and Liability:
Saxo accepts no liability for any use that may be made of these comments or for any consequences that arise from such use. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

The information provided in this material is solely for information only. It is intended for general circulation and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. Accordingly, it should not be relied on or treated as a substitute for specific advice concerning specific situations of any person. Please seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before you make a commitment to purchase an investment product. In the event that you choose not to seek advice from a financial adviser, you should consider whether any investment product mentioned in this publication is suitable for you.

Notwithstanding the above, insofar as any information provided herein contains research analyses or reports concerning any investment product authored by any foreign research house and is issued or promulgated to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor, and/or institutional investor, Saxo Capital Market Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility for the contents of this material to the extent required by law. Recipients of such material are to contact Saxo Capital Markets Pte. Ltd. in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this material.

Risk Disclosure:
Trading in investment products involve significant risk, including the risk of losing your entire investment. Historical returns are not a guarantee of future returns. Prices can both rise and fall, and there is a risk that you will not get back the money you invested.

Conflicts of interest:
The author may hold positions in the investment products mentioned. The author does not own positions in the underlying investment product exceeding 0.5% of its market capitalisation, save as otherwise declared. The author is not permitted to trade the mentioned investment products within the first 24 hours after the publication of this article.

Saxo maintains partnerships with companies that compensate Saxo for promotional activities conducted on its platform. Additionally, Saxo has agreements with certain partners who provide retrocession contingent upon clients purchasing specific investment products offered by these partners. While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all content is conducted with the intention of providing clients with valuable options and information.

Publication details:
If any listed companies are the subject of the material, the content has not been submitted to the companies in question prior to publication.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Markets
88 Market Street
CapitaSpring #31-01
Singapore 048948

Contact Saxo

Singapore
Singapore

Saxo Capital Markets Pte Ltd ('Saxo Markets') is a company authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) [Co. Reg. No.: 200601141M ] and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms & Risk Warning to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Saxo is part of the J. Safra Sarasin Group.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products such as Margin FX products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo Markets does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-sg/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.