Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Investment and Options Strategist
Summary: BlackRock’s ETHA ETF has emerged as the institutional vehicle of choice for ethereum exposure, with strong inflows and a liquid options market. This article explores how tactical traders can build synthetic long positions -optionally with downside protection- to mirror ETHA performance with capital efficiency and directional precision.
Ethereum has evolved far beyond its origins as just another cryptocurrency. Today, it is a programmable platform that powers decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), tokenization of real-world assets, and much more. Until recently, gaining direct access to ethereum meant navigating crypto exchanges, wallets, and sometimes daunting technical hurdles.
That changed in June 2024, when BlackRock launched the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA) on Nasdaq. ETHA allows investors to gain regulated, direct exposure to spot ethereum—no private wallets, cold storage, or private keys required. With a 0.25% sponsor fee, institutional-grade custody, and nearly $4 billion in assets, ETHA has quickly become the leading choice for traditional investors seeking ethereum exposure.
Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it's crucial to make informed decisions.
In spring 2025, spot ethereum ETFs in the US set a record with nineteen consecutive trading sessions of net inflows between May 16 and June 12, totaling nearly $1.4 billion across all spot ethereum ETFs. BlackRock’s ETHA was the clear leader, capturing over $972 million—nearly 70% of all inflows during this period.
What’s especially notable: these inflows came even as spot bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows (for example, bitcoin ETFs lost $131.6 million in the week ending June 7, 2025), highlighting a shift in institutional preference toward ethereum exposure. Industry analysts and on-chain data consistently describe the ETHA flow pattern as deliberate institutional accumulation—driven by asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity—rather than short-term, retail-driven buying.
Each ETHA share currently represents about 0.00757 ETH (calculated from the latest prices -16 June 2025, 15:39 CET- : ETHA at $19.79, ETHUSD at $2,615.32). As the ETH price moves, ETHA should track it closely, aside from minor effects like fees and temporary premiums or discounts.
eth/usd | implied ETHA nav (0.00757/share) |
---|---|
2,000 | $15.14 |
2,500 | $18.93 |
3,000 | $22.71 |
4,000 | $30.28 |
5,000 | $37.85 |
10,000 | $75.70 |
For every $100 move in the price of ethereum, each ETHA share typically moves by approximately $0.76, based on the current ratio of 0.00757 ETH per share.
ETHA’s options market is fueled by the inherent volatility of ethereum—but even more importantly, by where that volatility sits relative to its own history. As of June 2025, ETHA’s implied volatility rank (IV Rank) is around 70%, meaning current implied volatility is higher than 70% of the readings over the past year. The 30-day implied volatility itself is around 73%, while comparable bitcoin ETFs like IBIT are trading with much lower IV and IV Rank (e.g., 14%).
In practical terms, this means option premiums on ETHA are relatively rich, creating opportunities for both directional traders and those looking to harvest volatility—especially when structured carefully.
For investors who want direct, leveraged exposure to ETHA, a synthetic long position is one of the cleanest and most capital-efficient ways to get it. And for those who may not have access to the ETF itself—such as investors in jurisdictions where certain ETFs are restricted—the listed options on ETHA may still be tradable, providing a way to gain similar exposure through listed derivatives.
This “combo” creates a delta of nearly 1, meaning the profit and loss profile closely mirrors owning 100 ETHA shares. The position benefits from any upside move in ETHA above $21 and carries downside exposure below that level.
If ETHA returns to its all-time high of $72 (seen in late 2021), the position would generate a profit of:
P&L = 100 × (72 − 21) = $5,100
Theoretically, the upside on this position is unlimited—as ETHA rises above $72, gains continue dollar-for-dollar with the underlying.
If ETHA falls back to its recent low of $10.99, the result would be:
P&L = 100 × (10.99 − 21) = −$1,001
If ETHA were to collapse to $0, the total loss would be:
P&L = 100 × (0 − 21) = −$2,100
For those who want upside exposure but a built-in safety net, consider adding a deep out-of-the-money put (such as the Dec $11 strike) to the synthetic long. This limits your downside, similar to a “collar with no stock,” for a modest reduction in net delta and slightly higher upfront cost.
This three-leg structure behaves like a synthetic long—until ETHA drops below $11. At that point, the long $11 put kicks in and caps your losses.
Just like the pure synthetic, if ETHA climbs to $72:
P&L = 100 × (72 − 21) = $5,100
After subtracting the $82 cost to enter the trade, the net profit would be approximately $5,018.
Here, the long $11 put provides near-full protection. Your loss is:
P&L = 100 × (11 − 21) = −$1,000
The long $11 put offsets any further losses below that level.
If ETHA were to go to $0, your loss would be capped at:
P&L = 100 × (11 − 21) = −$1,000
This is the defined loss bound between the short $21 put and the long $11 put. No matter how far ETHA drops, the position can't lose more than $1,000 (plus the initial $82 cost).
For completeness: If your market view is bearish, you can use the mirror image of the synthetic long—buy the put, sell the call at the same strike and expiry. This structure mimics shorting ETHA, but with defined risk if you also buy a further out-of-the-money call as protection. The mechanics are the same, just flipped for downside exposure.
ETHA’s rising inflows and vibrant options market create a unique opportunity for tactical investors. Whether your aim is pure directional exposure or risk-managed leverage, synthetic option trades offer flexibility and efficiency that’s hard to match elsewhere. As always, make sure you understand your risks and position size appropriately—especially when trading leveraged products on volatile assets like ethereum.