Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
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Weekly FX Chartbook: Fed’s hawkishness meets BOJ’s dovishness
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Summary:
- USD: Fed has a high bar to surprise hawkish, dollar to stay sideways
- JPY: 160+ zone in USDJPY could be tested if no intervention
- AUD: RBA rate hike risks and upbeat global risk sentiment to support
- CHF: CPI miss could increase odds of June rate cut
- CNH: Devaluation risks on watch
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Other recent Macro/FX articles:
29 Apr: Global Market Quick Take - Asia
26 Apr: JPY: Bank of Japan adds to reasons to stay bearish yen
25 Apr: JPY: Accelerated sell-off; can the BOJ halt yen's decline?
25 Apr: Thematic Podcast: Deciphering Asian forex interventions
23 Apr: Technical Update - USDJPY ticking higher. EURJPY and AUDJPY at key resistance levels. GBPJPY range bound, bullish breakout?
23 Apr: GBP: What can drive the next leg lower?
22 Apr: Weekly FX Chartbook: Stretched USD strength is raising intervention alert
19 Apr: FX 101: Using FX for portfolio diversification
18 Apr: JPY: Intervention alert, or a BOJ alert?
16 Apr: Chinese Yuan’s Double Whammy - Dollar Strength and Yen Weakness
12 Apr: Riding the Fed-ECB Policy Divergence
11 Apr: ECB rate decision: How to trade the event
9 Apr: CAD vulnerable as market underprices dovish Bank of Canada risks
9 Apr: US inflation report: How to trade the event
8 Apr: Macro and FX Podcast: NFP, CPI, ECB and Japan
8 Apr: Weekly FX Chartbook: US CPI, geopolitics and dovish pivots from ECB and Bank of Canada in focus
3 Apr: Chinese yuan bears are undeterred by PBoC’s grip
3 Apr: FX Quarterly Outlook: The rate cut race shifts into high gear
25 Mar: Macro & FX Podcast: Swiss central bank surprises; PCE and China
25 Mar: Weekly FX Chartbook: The return of US exceptionalism
22 Mar: Swiss National Bank’s bold move will kickstart the G10 rate cut cycle
20 Mar: Thematic Podcast: Japan's route to abolish negative interest rates
20 Mar: Japan’s exit from negative rates: Implications for the economy, yen and stocks
8 Feb: FX 101: USD Smile and portfolio impacts from King Dollar
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