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Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
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Chief Investment Strategist
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Technical Update - USDJPY ticking higher. EURJPY and AUDJPY at key resistance levels. GBPJPY range bound, bullish breakout?
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
- USDJPY higher eyeing 155.29 possibly 156.36
- EURJPY testing key resistance at 165.35.
- AUDJPY testing key resistance at 100.02.
- GBPJPY range bound 192.85 -190.00
For daily technical updates on FX: Cramers Corner Daily Technical Update or my Youtube channel Cramer's Corner YouTube
USDJPY is slowly ticking higher towards the 2.00 projection of the March correction at 155.29, as illustrated by the two vertical arrows.
However, a bullish move up to 156.36, which is the 1.382 projection of the November-December correction, should not be ruled out.
The RSI is showing positive sentiment but with minor divergence, indicating the USDJPY uptrend is getting close to exhaustion.
A close below 152 will negate the bullish scenario. A break below 153.50 and a close below the lower rising trendline is likely to be the first warning of a bearish correction scenario to play out
EURJPY is testing key resistance at around 165.35.
A daily close above, combined with a daily close on the RSI above the 60 threshold, is likely to result in a bullish move to 166-168.
If RSI is closing above both the 60 threshold and above its falling trendline, it will strengthen the bullish picture.
Failing to close above 165.35, EURJPY is stuck range-bound between 165.35-162.30.
AUDJPY is testing key resistance at 100.02. A close above is needed for further upside potential. If that scenario plays out, a bullish move to 100.81 is likely, with upside potential to 101.97.
No RSI divergence is supporting a bullish move in EURJPY, and a daily close back above 60 will confirm that picture.
GBPJPY is stuck range-bound between 192.85 and 190. A breakout is needed for direction.
There have been multiple attempts for a bullish breakout, but they have all failed.
A break above 192.85 is likely to also take out the previous peak at 193.51 and push GBPJPY higher towards 194.85-195.84.
There have been multiple attempts for a bullish breakout, but they have all failed.
A break above 192.85 is likely to also take out the previous peak at 193.51 and push GBPJPY higher towards 194.85-195.84.
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