Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
For daily technical updates on FX: Cramers Corner Daily Technical Update or my Youtube channel Cramer's Corner YouTube
USDJPY is slowly ticking higher towards the 2.00 projection of the March correction at 155.29, as illustrated by the two vertical arrows.
However, a bullish move up to 156.36, which is the 1.382 projection of the November-December correction, should not be ruled out.
The RSI is showing positive sentiment but with minor divergence, indicating the USDJPY uptrend is getting close to exhaustion.
A close below 152 will negate the bullish scenario. A break below 153.50 and a close below the lower rising trendline is likely to be the first warning of a bearish correction scenario to play out
EURJPY is testing key resistance at around 165.35.
A daily close above, combined with a daily close on the RSI above the 60 threshold, is likely to result in a bullish move to 166-168.
If RSI is closing above both the 60 threshold and above its falling trendline, it will strengthen the bullish picture.
Failing to close above 165.35, EURJPY is stuck range-bound between 165.35-162.30.
AUDJPY is testing key resistance at 100.02. A close above is needed for further upside potential. If that scenario plays out, a bullish move to 100.81 is likely, with upside potential to 101.97.
No RSI divergence is supporting a bullish move in EURJPY, and a daily close back above 60 will confirm that picture.
2024: The wasted year
Markets are driven by election optimism, overshadowing growing debt and liquidity concerns. The 2024 elections loom large, but economic fundamentals and debt issues warrant cautious investment.
As US economic slowdown hints at a shift away from exceptionalism, USD faces downside with looming Fed cuts. AUD and NZD set to outperform as their rate cuts lag. JPY gains on carry unwind bets and BOJ pivot.
Uncover the shifting focus in 2024's FX markets towards growth resilience and relativity, away from bond yields and inflation stories.
Embrace the metal revolution on the commodity market in the coming year, with a focus on gold, silver, platinum, copper, and aluminum.
The gloominess of geopolitical conflicts and the repetitive nature of political agendas. What else does 2024 hold in store for us?
The disheartening cycle of unresolved geopolitical conflicts, the rise of polarizing political parties, and the stagnation of productivity.
Understand China's political landscape in Q4 2023 and the impact on counter-cyclical initiatives, with a focus on the pivotal Q1 2024.
Markets are driven by election optimism, overshadowing growing debt and liquidity concerns. The 2024 elections loom large, but economic fundamentals and debt issues warrant cautious investment.
As US economic slowdown hints at a shift away from exceptionalism, USD faces downside with looming Fed cuts. AUD and NZD set to outperform as their rate cuts lag. JPY gains on carry unwind bets and BOJ pivot.
Uncover the shifting focus in 2024's FX markets towards growth resilience and relativity, away from bond yields and inflation stories.
Embrace the metal revolution on the commodity market in the coming year, with a focus on gold, silver, platinum, copper, and aluminum.
The gloominess of geopolitical conflicts and the repetitive nature of political agendas. What else does 2024 hold in store for us?
The disheartening cycle of unresolved geopolitical conflicts, the rise of polarizing political parties, and the stagnation of productivity.
Understand China's political landscape in Q4 2023 and the impact on counter-cyclical initiatives, with a focus on the pivotal Q1 2024.