Macro: Sandcastle economics
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Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Summary: EURSEK rejected at previous peak and is facing correction. But further SEK weakness could be seen
EURNOK bullish break out came to a halt at 11.15 but likely to move higher after a minor correction
EURSEK is being rejected around previous peaks around 11.40. However, there could be more upside in EURSEK this time around. Monthly RSI is still showing positive sentiment without divergence indicating higher EURSEK levels.
However, a correction from following the rejection is in the cards. RSI is forming a rising wedge and a bearish break out could see EURSEK drop to the 0.382 retracement at around 10.85 but a correction down to 0.618 retracement at around 10.48 should not be ruled out.
If EURSEK breaks above 11.50 a move to 1.382 projection of the 2020-2021 correction at around 12.05 could be seen.
EURNOK is dancing around the 0.382 retracement of the 2020-2022 bear trend around 10.90. EURNOK is in an uptrend on medium- to longer-term (weekly and monthly chart) supported by positive RSI sentiment and no divergence
Weekly chart EURNOK has broken resistance at around 10.67 and seems set for higher levels. Next resistance at around 11.15 is currently being tested and a close above could see EURNOK propelling to strong resistance at around 11.75-11.85 i.e., around the 0.618 retracement of the 2020-2022 bear move
For EURNOK to reverse the uptrend a close below 10.15.Disclaimer
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