Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
EURAUD is likely to test support at 1.4765 shortly. A likely move below will make EURAUD to test key support at 1.46. A move above 1.4980 will put the down trend on pause but likely not reverse it.
EURCAD has reached support at around 1.3025. Expect a rebound from here. Possibly up to the 0.236 retracement at 1.3728. Monthly chart.
EURCHF still trading in a steep falling trend. No support until around 0.9694. However, as can be seen on the weekly chart EURCHF seems to be unwinding a Shoulder-Head-Shoulder pattern with potential target around 0.90. To demolish that picture EURCHF needs to move above 1.0515.
Last week EURGBP broke bearish out of its wide rising channel, pausing at 100 and 200 SMAs. A daily close below 200 daily SMA will be a strong indication of EURGBP to drop further. If that scenario plays out next support at around 0.8375, which would then be likely to be taken out.
Weekly chart shows how EURGBP was rejected at 0.8720 and has resumed bear trend. RSI was rejected at 60 i.e. in negative sentiment. If EURGBP drops below support the pair is likely to find itself trading around its April lows possibly March lows between 0.8250 and 0.8200.
EURJPY has broken its rising trend line and below support at around 137.83 thereby confirming the Double Top pattern. EURJPY is set for further sell off down to around 133. If EURJPY trades above 139.20 the down trend will be put on hold and we could see EURJPY testing the rising trend line for beneath.
AI: The good, the bad, and the bubble
While a deep recession may not be iminent thanks to central bank policy, interest rates will have to stay high for longer, and this will be accompanied by volatility risk from the unwinding of bubbles, especially within AI.
Steen Jakobsen,
Chief Investment Officer
The emergence of advanced AI systems is by far the most surprising event this year, turning everything upside down, while risks and benefits are debated. AI will also become an arms race between the US and China.
Peter Garnry,
Head of Equity Strategy
As China navigates global fragmentation, its cycle of technology application, productivity enhancement, and growth is threatened by US breakthroughs in generative AI, limited computing power, and geopolitical tensions.
Redmond Wong,
Market Strategist
Japan’s expertise in semiconductors and robotic integration could be the foundation of AI dominance. Combining two of this year's themes, Japanese equities and artificial intelligence, brings a wave of opportunities.
Charu Chanana,
Market Strategist
The AI fever has turned the technology into a darling, pushing crypto further into no-man’s-land. There are striking similarities between AI and crypto, and if these are to come full circle, AI won't be spared for bubbles.
Mads Eberhardt,
Cryptocurrency Analyst
Stocks related to artificial intelligence (AI) have appeared on investors' radars. Expectations are high, but it may be necessary to consider how to get exposure to AI in a diversified way.
Hans Oudshoorn,
Trainer Academy
The USD is on its back foot as markets celebrate an eventual Fed rate peak and steady long US yields. The stakes are even higher for the Japanese yen if longer major sovereign yield curves have to price in economic acceleration.
John J. Hardy,
Head of FX Strategy
While commodities, broadly speaking, have faced some tough months, a partial reversal during June could signal that the asset class is getting back on its feet with energy holding up and precious metals with upside potential.
Ole S. Hansen,
Head of Commodity Strategy
As inflation remains high central banks face hard decisions about whether they should keep hiking interest rates or stop. Meanwhile, the rise of AI creates bubble-like conditions that only make the decision harder.
Althea Spinozzi,
Senior Fixed Income Strategist
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