Outrageous Predictions
Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026
Saxo Group
Investor Content Strategist
Chips with everything? When Jensen Huang talks about the AI industry as a “five-layer cake”, he’s describing how the modern AI ecosystem is stacking up — from the electricity powering data centres at the bottom, all the way to AI applications used by consumers and businesses at the top.
The key point for investors: AI is no longer just about semiconductor winners. The opportunity set is broadening across the entire stack. The cake is not fully baked yet but the appetite from investors is insatiable.
Here’s a simple breakdown of the five layers, what they mean, and which companies and ETFs are best aligned with each part of the AI value chain.
1. Energy: The Foundation of AI
AI models require enormous computing power — and therefore enormous electricity demand. Training large language models and running inference workloads is becoming one of the biggest power consumption stories in modern markets.
This is why utilities, nuclear, grid infrastructure and power equipment companies have suddenly become AI plays.
What matters here
Electricity generation
Grid upgrades
Cooling systems
Nuclear and gas baseload power
Energy infrastructure for hyperscale data centres
Stocks exposed to this layer
Constellation Energy — nuclear generation leveraged to AI power demand
Vistra Corp — power demand and merchant electricity pricing
Schneider Electric — data-centre electrical systems
Siemens Energy — grid and transmission infrastructure
GE Vernova — gas turbines and grid infrastructure
ETF idea
Global X Uranium UCITS ETF — indirect play on nuclear-powered AI electricity demand
Alternative broad exposure: iShares Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF
2. Infrastructure: Data Centres & Networking
This is the “picks and shovels” layer of AI. Before AI can function, companies need massive data centres, fibre networks, cooling systems and high-speed connectivity.
This has become one of the fastest-growing capex booms in decades.
What matters here
Hyperscale data centres
Networking equipment
Cloud infrastructure
Optical connectivity
Cooling systems
Stocks exposed to this layer
Equinix — premium hyperscale data-centre exposure
Digital Realty
Arista Networks — AI networking backbone
Vertiv Holdings
Broadcom — networking plus custom AI chips
ETF idea
UCITS alternative: L&G ROBO Global Robotics and Automation UCITS ETF
3. Chips: The AI Compute Arms Race
This is the layer most investors associate with AI today. GPUs and accelerators are the engines powering model training and inference.
NVIDIA dominates this layer, but competition is increasing rapidly.
What matters here
GPUs
AI accelerators
Memory chips
Semiconductor manufacturing
AI servers
Stocks exposed to this layer
NVIDIA — dominant AI GPU supplier
Advanced Micro Devices — emerging AI accelerator challenger
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company — manufactures advanced AI chips
SK Hynix — leader in high-bandwidth memory
ASML — critical lithography supplier
ETF idea
VanEck Semiconductor UCITS ETF
iShares Semiconductor ETF
4. Models: The AI Brains
This layer refers to the companies building the actual AI models — the foundational software systems trained on enormous datasets.
These firms control the intelligence layer and increasingly compete on reasoning, multimodal capabilities and agentic AI.
What matters here
Frontier AI models
AI platforms
Cloud AI ecosystems
Enterprise AI integration
Model distribution
Stocks exposed to this layer
Microsoft — OpenAI partnership and enterprise AI integration
Alphabet — Gemini ecosystem and AI search
Amazon — AWS AI infrastructure and models
Meta Platforms — open-source Llama ecosystem
Baidu — China AI model exposure
ETF idea
WisdomTree Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETF
Global X Artificial Intelligence ETF
5. Applications: Where AI Meets the Real Economy
This is likely where the biggest long-term economic value ultimately accrues.
Applications are the businesses using AI to improve productivity, automate work, personalise services or create entirely new products. This is also potentially the broadest and most underappreciated layer.
What matters here
AI software copilots
Automation
AI-enabled healthcare
Cybersecurity
Customer service and enterprise tools
Stocks exposed to this layer
Salesforce — enterprise AI agents
Adobe — generative AI for creators
ServiceNow — workflow automation
Palantir Technologies — AI operating systems for enterprises and governments
CrowdStrike — AI-driven cybersecurity
ETF idea
iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF
Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF
The Bigger Investor Takeaway
Huang’s “five-layer cake” framework matters because it suggests the AI trade is broadening beyond a handful of mega-cap semiconductor names. The first phase of the AI boom was dominated by chips. The next phase could increasingly shift toward:
electricity providers,
infrastructure builders,
enterprise software companies,
and eventually the businesses that successfully apply AI to boost productivity and profits.
In other words, the AI economy is evolving from a narrow hardware story into a full industrial ecosystem. For investors, the challenge now is not whether AI matters — but deciding which layer of the cake offers the best risk-reward from here.