Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Access both platforms from your single Saxo account.
Technical Update - Copper tanking looking at 372. Supports in Gold & Silver still holding on but probably not for long
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Summary: Copper have turned bearish and could drop to strong support at 372.
A correction in Gold and Silver has been looming for a couple weeks by now, but Buyers have been too strong to give in lifting the precious metals to close above key supports. But this week might be the time when Sellers will take control.
Key support in Gold 1,981 and Silver 24,64
Copper has been hit by heavy selling after being rejected at the resistance at around 416. Broken below short-term rising trendline and fast approaching minor support at around 382.
RSI is below 40 threshold and if closing below sentiment is negative. Copper could drop to key strong support 372 .
For Copper to demolish this bearish picture a close above the rising trend line and above 55 Moving Average is needed.
Gold. A correction has been looming in Gold for quite some time as indicated by both the Bearish Engulfing top and reversal pattern and the RSI divergence but the sell-off/correction has not yet materialised.
The precious metal has dipped below the support at around 1,981 three times the past week only to close back above. Sellers will quite possibly have another go next couple of days.
If Gold closes below 1,981 it could fuel a sell-off down to the 0.618 retracement at around 1,897. Strong support at around 1,949. Keep an eye on that level as it could prove too strong to break.
55 daily Moving Average is rising indicating underlying bullish sentiment.
For Gold to resume and extend uptrend a close above 2,050 is needed.
Silver is still holding on above support at around 24.64. A close below will unfold the reversal the Bearish Engulfing pattern is suggesting should hit Silver.
A close below 24.64 is likely to lead to a sell-off down to the 0.382 retracement and support at 23,70.
If Sellers really take control to close the precious metal below 23,69 Silver could drop as low as to the 0.618 retracement at 22,26.
For Silver to resume uptrend a move to cancel the Bearish Engulfing candle is needed i.e., a close above 26,10. No divergence on the RSI suggests this is not a scenario that should be ruled out.
A close below 24.64 is likely to lead to a sell-off down to the 0.382 retracement and support at 23,70.
If Sellers really take control to close the precious metal below 23,69 Silver could drop as low as to the 0.618 retracement at 22,26.
For Silver to resume uptrend a move to cancel the Bearish Engulfing candle is needed i.e., a close above 26,10. No divergence on the RSI suggests this is not a scenario that should be ruled out.
Latest Market Insights
Quarterly Outlook
-
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Upending the global order at blinding speed
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ... -
Quarterly Outlook
Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy