rebalance-M

The power of dividends

Retrocessions
Saxo Be Invested

Saxo Bank

By Hans Oudshoorn

Summary: Dividends have great appeal for many investors because it is nice when an investment generates some cash flow. Indeed, those looking for extra income from their investments or long-term capital growth cannot ignore strong dividend stocks, research shows. 
my
In the first half of 2022, stock market indices and especially technology stocks fell sharply. After the summer catch-up of financial markets, prices faltered due to high inflation and price turbulence. It makes investors - who regularly hover between hope and fear - look for beacons in the stock market. In this article, we dive further into the world of dividends and show how it has historically been a beacon for investors.

The importance of dividends

When a listed company makes a profit, it may choose to distribute a portion of that profit to shareholders in the form of dividend. The payment of dividend is generally done on a quarterly basis but some companies pay dividends on a semi-annual or annual basis. In the long run, the total return on equities (within a portfolio or an index) is largely determined by dividends. According to a Hartford Funds study, dividends contribution averaged 40% of total return for the S&P 500 Index on a decade-by-decade basis over the period 1930 to 2021. 

The study further notes that wealth creation is enhanced when dividends are reinvested in the underlying stocks rather than distributed, as shown in the chart below. 
Power of dividend
According to the same Hartford Fund study, starting in 1960, 85% of the total return of the S&P 500 Index can be attributed to reinvested dividends. This clearly shows the power of 'dividend on dividend', also known as compound dividends. The important lesson is that investing is not just about share price gains.
 
What characterises strong dividend players?

Historically, the S&P 500 Index dividend yields have been nearly three per cent annually but within the index, there are companies that are invariably above this percentage – for example, ExxonMobil and Pfizer. In Europe, companies such as Shell and Unilever also have relatively high and stable dividends. Generally, those companies share a number of similar characteristics.

They are financially sound and have strong balance sheets.  
They often have a robust business model with one or more competitive advantages. These include cost advantages (for example, Unilever and Procter & Gamble can negotiate substantial discounts on purchasing due to their size), the so-called 'network effect' (credit card companies benefit when more and more retailers accept their cards), intangible assets (having special patents or patents) or 'switching costs' (an example, once you are a customer of Medtronic, which specialises in making pacemakers, among other things, you will not switch so quickly). 
They control a large market share as result of competitive advantages combined with strong brands. This gives them the power to raise prices without affecting sales volume. This, in turn, leads to their solid performance in terms of profitability in good and bad economic times and their ability to continue paying dividends. 
Finally, the companies often have good governance, communicate clearly and openly to shareholders and pay an attractive, but not too high, dividend.

The levels of dividends

Investors tend to focus on dividend levels. At first glance, an investment with a high dividend (yield) looks interesting. However, companies that pay too much dividend cannot reinvest that money to grow. By doing so, they possibly inhibit the development of profits and the share price. The rule of thumb is it’s good if a company does not pay out more than 75% of net profit. That way, at least 25% of net profit is used for future plans that keep profits up... and thus ultimately the dividend.

So as an investor, it is smart to read up on a company's dividend policy, or how they handle profit distributions. In short, companies that have a good balance between profitable investments and profit distributions perform best. These so-called 'dividend aristocrats' yield around 3-5% dividend yield. 

If the dividend is well above 5%, it makes sense to be vigilant as an investor. This is because it is questionable whether such a payout percentage is sustainable. Philips' dividend yield, for instance, is currently above 6.5%. After several profit warnings and an announced reorganisation, there are doubts about the company's future. This translates into a falling share price. Given the storm the company is in, the question is whether dividends will be paid at all in the (near) future. 

Investing in high dividends can be done by picking individual stocks or by investing in a mutual fund or ETF which have the advantage of being more diversified. 

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Outrageous Predictions

    China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Having created history’s most epic debt bubble, China boldly bets that fiscal stimulus to the tune o...

This content is marketing material. 

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice or a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Saxo partners with companies that provide compensation for promotional activities conducted on its platform. Some partners also pay retrocessions contingent on clients investing in products from those partners. 

While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all educational and research content remains focused on providing information to clients.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900 Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.