Erik Schafhauser Zürich

Morning Brew January 17 2022

Morning Brew 1 minute to read
Erik
Erik Schafhauser

Senior Relationship Manager

Summary:  Markets mixed on US Holiday


Good Morning

Please remember that US Markets are closed due to Martin Luther King day, this may help traders find some direction after the mixed session last Friday.

 JPMorgan, Citi and Blackrock disappointed and their stocks fell by 6%, 1.3% and 2.2%. Wells Fargo can gain 3.7% after a positive surprise. And Indexes closed mixed. The Dow falls 0.56%, the S&P rises 0.08%, and the Nasdaq up 0.59%. Big Tech had a decent day, gaining near 1.5%. The University of Michigan Confidence came lower than expected.

Over night Chinas Retail Sales Disappointed at 1.7% vs 3.7% and Industrial output came better at 4.3% vs 3.6% and the central bank cut medium term lending rates.

Energy prices are becoming more of a subject with crude oil trading at the long term resistance. If Brent breaches the 86, there is significant upside potential.

The USD Index rebounds to 95.20 and the US 10 Year Yield is back at 1.77%, EURUSD  fell to 1.1400 and GBPUSD 1.3670, Gold 1818 and Silver near 23.00.  EURCHF is again in uncomfortable territory at 1.0440

Turkey attempted to verbally stabilize the TRY and briefly succeeded to reach 13.16 before we rose back to 13.55.

Corona-rule violations were in focus over the weekend with Credit Suisse Chairman Antonio Horta-Osorio resigning due to his conduct and Novak Djokovic has had his Australian visa cancelled by immigration minister Alex Hawke "on health and good order grounds"

This week will be driven by earnings including Goldman Sachs, Alcoa, Morgan Stanley, American Airlines, Netflix and Schlumberger starting tomorrow.

Key economic events are

Tomorrow:

German ZEW, Canada CPI, Japan Rate Decision

Wednesday: German and UK CPI

Thursday: Japan Trade Balance EU CPI, Turkey Rate decision

Friday UK Retail Sales and EU Consumer Confidence

Trade safely.

 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900
Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.