Morning Brew April 27 2022
Senior Relationship Manager
Summary: A bad day for Risk - relief today?
It was a horrible day for stocks as Nasdaq has the worst day since 2020 and loses 3.9%. The S&P 500 looses 2.8% and the Dow 2.4%.
There was a flurry of bad news starting with Tesla falling on worries that Elon Musk may have to sell parts of his holding to pay for the Twitter purchase, sending the stock down 12% and weighing risk sentiment. The FAANG stocks all fell more than 3%, Amazon 4.5 and Nvidia 5.6%.
Russia announced to halt Natgas deliveries to Poland and Bulgaria - just now reports come in that service is renewed though, Poland has announced to deliver tanks to Ukraine, Germany has decided to provide heavy weapons after long wavering.
China is testing for Covid in Beijing and there are fears there could be a similar lockdown to Shanghai if there are high case numbers.
After the Bell, Google slightly missed expectations on lower add sales attributed to the Ukraine war while Microsoft could exceed them.
Credit Suisse posted a loss of 273 million Swiss franc, Deutsche Bank exceeds expectations
Earnings today are Meta, Boeing, Spotify, Ford, Paypal, T-Mobile before the big day tomorrow with Twitter, Amazon, Apple Intel, Mastercard Robinhood, McDonalds, Gilead
In the FX markets, volatility is back with the EURUSD 1 month at 9%, EURUSD is at a 2 year low, 1.0650 and 1.0580, 1.05 and 1.0350 are worth having an eye on. The USD Index is looking to test the 2020 high above 103. GBPUSD fell below 1.26. The Aussie was bested by the highest inflation number in 20 years, good for a jump from 0.7130 to 0.7180.
Gold and Silver held up well given the USD strength and are trading at 1899 and 23.55, Bitcoin fell to 38500.
Oil is supported by worries on deliveries in Ukraine and hopes on Chinese stimulus and Trafigura Group will stop all purchases of crude oil Rosneft by May 15.
As there is little economic data out today, except for he German Consumer sentiment at 8, I would expect the traders focus to be on Oil,, Ukraine and China as well as earnings numbers
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.