Focus: There is a ton on this wk, yet the clear focus (rightly or wrongly) will be on the US elections, whilst on the Dragon, KVP has been on the Blue Tsunami theme from back when it was an outlier – obviously anything is possible, including anchor bias – hence our tactical trade view scenarios around the US elections over the wkd…
Macro Dragon: Trading the US Elections on a Trump or Biden Victory, Let Alone A Contested Scenario...
…remember the epitome of a world class trader or/& investor is to consistently compound wealth overtime regardless of the outcome. Once again, its about daily-weekly-monthly process over out come
We’ll obviously be covering the election run-down Asia Wed’s morning, for the latest cut from our in house specialist, these are John “Big Hat” Hardy’s takes:
US Election Countdown: T-minus two days – What if I’m totally wrong?
US Election Countdown: T-minus three days – Election Night 2016 vs. 2020
US Election Countdown: T-minus four days - The polls are not tightening.
John was also generous enough to offer the following for those looking to follow the coverage in detail from various outlets:
Election Night resources
If you are looking at what to watch on Election Night to track the unfolding results, here are a few ideas. Besides the usual live coverage of major US news networks (via YouTube) like ABC and others, the CNN coverage should also be available there as it was in 2016, when it tended to be heavy on the live result updates. Also, look for written live blogs on major newspapers and TV networks, but also on FiveThirtyEight.com.
The FiveThirtyEight website offers the most comprehensive guide to each state’s election results, both in terms of poll closings, but also with a spin on the likely speed of counting and the partisan patterns that will unfold on election night due to different rules in early- and mail-in voting. A simpler, but very nice graphic overview on 270towin.com website is also available on poll closing times. Also note their great, interactive electoral map you can use as results come in or to test different scenarios.